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WVU

West Virginia 20 at Oklahoma 59

OU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:36 · Oliver Straw punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+35.4Score differential+29.0Garbage-time factor+9.7Blowout margin+15.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:06: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +6.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:20: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 32 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:07: Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +5.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:48: Drake Stoops 60 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +4.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:34: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 6:42WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:29WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:14WVU 4th & 7 at OU 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:54OU 4th & 5 at WVU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:03WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:03OU 4th & 5 at WVU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:09WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:01WVU 4th & 1 at OU 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00OU 4th & 9 at OU 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26WVU 4th & 9 at OU 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42OU 4th & 15 at OU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:06WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:49OU 4th & 1 at WVU 8, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:48WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 48, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:26OU 4th & 4 at OU 14, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:26WVU 4th & 1 at OU 35, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:00WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:27OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:16OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:06OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:20OU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:07WVU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:48OU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:28WVU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:34OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:46OU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0016% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.5%
EJ Horton run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
84.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
84.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 9 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
84.5%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
84.5%
Preston Fox run for 3 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
84.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 32 yds to the OU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
84.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 7 yds to the OU 13Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
82.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3383% → 83%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.5%
pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
82.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 19 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
82.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OU 45Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+23
82.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 23 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+30
82.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 30 yds to the WVU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.9%
Sawchuk,Gavin rush middle (Kpogba,Lee;Floyd,Marcis).Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.9%
pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4518% → 18%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.5%
Rodney Gallagher run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
82.4%
West Virginia Penalty, false start (Doug Nester) to the WVU 24Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
82.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 23Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
82.2%
pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
82.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2682% → 84%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
82.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 24 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
82.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 8 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
82.7%
pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
82.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
82.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 13 yds to the WVU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
82.7%
Dillon Gabriel sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+6
82.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+12
82.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 12 yds to the WVU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
82.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the WVU 2Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.7%
pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4717% → 16%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.5%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 24Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
83.8%
pass incomplete to Jahiem WhiteSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
83.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 37 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OU 33 Gavin Freeman fumbled, recovered by WVU Jared Bartlett Straw,Oliver punt 37 yards to the OKL39, Freeman,Gavin return loss of 6 yards to the OKL33, fumble by Freeman,Gavin recovered by WVU Bartlett,Jared, Bartlett,Jared return 0 yards to the OKL33. , return for no gain to the OU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1518% → 17%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
82.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
82.0%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-2
82.4%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 30Similar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
82.6%
Michael Hayes 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:2083% → 84%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
83.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+63
83.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 63 yds to the WVU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.0%
Gabriel,Dillon rush middle (Martin,Sean;McLaurin,Hershey).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.0%
pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq, broken up by Beanie Bishop Jr.Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
83.7%
Zach Schmit 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4217% → 16%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
83.4%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
83.1%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
83.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston Fox, broken up by Kobie McKinzieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:5784% → 91%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
84.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 4 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
84.3%
pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+1
84.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the WVU 41Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+8
83.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 8 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
84.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
84.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+23
84.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 23 yds to the WVU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
84.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the WVU 3Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5711% → 11%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
89.1%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to EJ Horton, broken up by Woodi WashingtonSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
89.2%
pass incomplete to Jahiem WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OU 14 Gavin Freeman fumbled, recovered by OU Gavin Freeman Straw,Oliver punt 45 yards to the OKL25, Freeman,Gavin return loss of 11 yards to the OKL14, fumble by Freeman,Gavin recovered by OKL Freeman,Gavin, Freeman,Gavin return 0 yards to the OKL14. , return for no gain to the OU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:4990% → 95%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
90.2%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 12Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+23
90.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 23 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
90.3%
Jalil Farooq run for 7 yds to the OU 42Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+26
90.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 26 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
94.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 32 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:197% → 6%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
93.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 14 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+49
93.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 49 yds to the OU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.6%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the OU 1Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.6%
Greene,Garrett rush middle (McKinzie,Kobie;Bothroyd,Rondell).Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.9%
Donaldson,CJ rush middle (Terry,Da'Jon;Lewis,Kip).Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:0195% → 95%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
95.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 4 yds to the OU 5Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+24
95.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 24 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.2%
pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
95.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic Anderson, broken up by Beanie Bishop Jr.Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-5
95.1%
Oklahoma Penalty, false start (Walter Rouse) to the OU 24Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+6
95.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
95.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:535% → 12%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
94.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 28 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
94.2%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston Fox for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Woodi Washington) to the OU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.7%
pass incomplete to Traylon RaySimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
93.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin Carter, broken up by Kani WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+1
94.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 31Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+13
94.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 13 yds to the OU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
93.7%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Hudson Clement for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kani Walker) to the OU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1291% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
91.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
90.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
95.9%
Drake Stoops 60 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:146% → 8%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.5%
pass incomplete to Treylan DavisSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
94.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
50
0
94.4%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Traylon Ray, broken up by Kani WalkerSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
50
+14
94.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 14 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
94.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
93.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 6 yds to the OU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
93.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin Carter, broken up by Kendel DolbySimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
94.1%
Greene,Garrett rush middle (Lewis,Kip).Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+15
96.3%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the OU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
95.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 7Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.9%
pass incomplete to Traylon RaySimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.6%
Devin Carter 7 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q3 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.1%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston Fox, broken up by Kendel DolbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4195% → 94%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
94.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 27Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+4
94.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-7
94.8%
Dillon Gabriel sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the OU 24Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
93.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 34 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the WVU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18INT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:156% → 6%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
93.6%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-15
93.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Traylon Ray West Virginia Penalty, personal foul (Jahiem White) to the WVU 29Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 23
OWN 29
0
94.1%
pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 23
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin Carter, broken up by Billy Bowman Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5396% → 99%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.6%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
95.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 21 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
95.6%
Sawchuk,Gavin rush (Kpogba,Lee), PENALTY OKL holding (Fanuiel,Josh) 10 yards to the WVU12. Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Fanuiel) to the WVU 32Similar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
95.6%
pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+6
95.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 6 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+17
95.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 17 yds to the WVU 9 for a 1ST down West Virginia Penalty, substitution infraction (Jaylen Anderson) to the WVU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:281% → 1%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 20Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
98.0%
Jahiem White run for 15 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
98.6%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 34Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
98.7%
pass incomplete to Traylon RaySimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
98.7%
pass incomplete to Jahiem WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:2099% → 100%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+5
99.2%
Daylan Smothers run for 5 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 25 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
99.4%
Jalil Farooq run for 22 yds to the WVU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 9Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Drake Stoops 9 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
pass incomplete to Justin Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:37100% → 100%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 35 yds to the WVU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the WVU 8Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Sawchuk,Gavin rush middle (Mulbah,Fatorma).Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the WVU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel 5 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for 13 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-3
99.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 48Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Justin Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Davis Beville run for 3 yds to the OU 11Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
Daylan Smothers run for 1 yd to the OU 12Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Davis Beville run for 2 yds to the OU 14Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 35 yds , Preston Fox returns for 5 yds to the OU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to Justin Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Jahiem White run for 9 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
100.0%
Davis Beville run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 5Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 5
-1
100.0%
Davis Beville run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:06
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 0:07
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q3 13:48
Drake Stoops 60 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com