Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 16 at Kansas 13

KU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:28 · Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the TTU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−3.5Pregame prior+7.6Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 2:56: Gino Garcia 31 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +8.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:12: Devin Neal run for 60 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +17.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:38: Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 25 — TTU win probability +10.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:25: Seth Keller 22 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +24.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Gino Garcia 30 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +32.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12KU 4th & 9 at KU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46KU 4th & 9 at KU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12TTU 4th & 1 at KU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24TTU 4th & 13 at KU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:28KU 4th & 2 at TTU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:00KU 4th & 1 at TTU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−7.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:58TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.0%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:28TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:24KU 4th & 2 at KU 18, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:45TTU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:56TTU 4th & 11 at KU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−10.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:31KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:54TTU 4th & 12 at KU 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:39TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 43, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:42KU 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.0%−2.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−15.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:20TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:25KU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−5.2
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−36.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:18TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:12KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4260% → 60%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.3%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
60.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
60.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
60.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4540% → 42%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
50
+4
60.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
60.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
60.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
59.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
59.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+4
59.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
59.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 8 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
57.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2659% → 57%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 24Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
58.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
57.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
57.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:1443% → 45%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
57.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 11 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
56.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
56.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
56.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for no gain to the KU 36Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
56.6%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the KU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
55.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
55.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for no gain to the KU 27Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
55.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the KU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
54.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 11 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
54.6%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the KU 11Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
54.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KU 7Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
54.4%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Drae McCraySimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+32
54.7%
Gino Garcia 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:4954% → 52%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.9%
Jason Bean run for 11 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
53.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 37Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+13
53.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
53.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
53.6%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
53.1%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
52.9%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
53.5%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
52.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q2 14:28
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+2
51.8%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the TTU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4148% → 51%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
51.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
51.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
50.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 49Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
50.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
50.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
50.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 5 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+9
50.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.4%
Behren Morton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7DOWNS
20 plays · 93 yds · 8:3748% → 45%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
48.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+6
48.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
48.2%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
48.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
46.6%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
47.8%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-6
47.7%
Cole Ballard sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the KU 26Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+12
45.7%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 12 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
46.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
47.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
46.4%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
46.7%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Torry Locklin for 25 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
47.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
47.4%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+11
46.0%
Cole Ballard run for 11 yds to the TTU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
47.9%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
47.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the TTU 1Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the TTU 1Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
44.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the TTU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2657% → 60%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
43.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+9
43.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
41.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
41.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
42.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
40.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
40.6%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 4:2260% → 63%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 2 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
39.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
39.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
38.4%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
36.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 37Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-12
36.1%
Behren Morton sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 12 yards to the TTU 25 Behren Morton fumbled, recovered by TTU Jacoby Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+11
37.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 11 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
37.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5535% → 32%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
35.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
34.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+2
33.1%
Cole Ballard run for 2 yds to the KU 18Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
32.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3367% → 67%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
33.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
32.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 1 yd to the TTU 49Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
33.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 2
50
0
33.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
32.3%
Cole Ballard pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:3470% → 82%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
30.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
28.7%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+9
29.7%
Behren Morton run for 9 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
28.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 11 yds to the KU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
28.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 16
OPP 19
-5
26.1%
Behren Morton sacked by Rich Miller for a loss of 5 yards to the KU 24Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 21
OPP 24
+8
25.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 8 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+2
26.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the KU 14Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
18.0%
Gino Garcia 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2024% → 22%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
24.0%
Cole Ballard sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the KU 15Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
21.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Devin Neal for 10 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Damon Greaves punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:2984% → 85%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
15.6%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 4 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+31
14.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 31 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
13.3%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 1 yd to the KU 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-7
13.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Mello Dotson for a loss of 7 yards to the KU 34Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+4
14.2%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 4 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
15.5%
Gino Garcia 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:3921% → 39%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
20.8%
Cole Ballard run for 5 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+16
20.7%
Devin Neal run for 16 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
22.0%
Cole Ballard sacked by Dadrion Taylor-Demerson for a loss of 11 yards to the KU 40Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 21
OWN 40
+60
39.4%
Devin Neal run for 60 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2670% → 73%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 25Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
31.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 10 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
28.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Drae McCraySimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
29.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 8 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
25.4%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
27.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:5035% → 41%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
34.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
34.1%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+31
32.1%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 31 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
40.0%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
40.0%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
40.1%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+15
38.8%
Cole Ballard run for 15 yds to the TTU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
38.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the TTU 6Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
37.5%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the TTU 6Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
34.0%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
40.9%
Seth Keller 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1871% → 78%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.7%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 25Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
26.4%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
22.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 2 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
19.6%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
19.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
21.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 1:5332% → 60%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.7%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
30.7%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
28.3%
Cole Ballard run for 10 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
30.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Doug Emilien for 4 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
31.5%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 15 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
34.7%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 8 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
37.0%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+17
35.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 17 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
38.9%
Cole Ballard run for no gain to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
33.8%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Devin Neal for 2 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
31.3%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
39.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
39.9%
Cole Ballard run for 4 yds to the TTU 3Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.3%
Devin Neal pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
60.1%
Seth Keller 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 0:2051% → 96%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
49.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 16 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
44.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 14 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
42.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 33 yds to the KU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+30
4.4%
Gino Garcia 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.5%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Gino Garcia 30 yd FG GOOD
-32.9
FG · Q4 0:25
Seth Keller 22 yd FG GOOD
+24.8
TD · Q4 12:12
Devin Neal run for 60 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com