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ISU

Iowa State 45 at BYU 13

BYU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:52 · Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase Roberts
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−41.2Score differential−38.2Pregame prior−8.9Garbage-time factor−15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:03: Eli Sanders run for 4 yds for a TD — ISU win probability +2.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:02: Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +7.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:28: Abu Sama III run for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:05: Timeout BYU, clock 10:05 — ISU win probability +3.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:27: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 66 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +8.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:34ISU 4th & 6 at BYU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:42BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:36ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:36BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:52BYU 4th & 9 at ISU 36, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:08BYU 4th & 3 at ISU 5, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:57ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:27BYU 4th & 16 at BYU 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:54ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:15ISU 4th & 6 at BYU 28, up 32
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00BYU 4th & 5 at ISU 14, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:32ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:47BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:03ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:02ISU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:28ISU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:05BYU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:27ISU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:36ISU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:1674% → 74%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
26.3%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+15
26.3%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:5074% → 73%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
26.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-5
26.4%
Shotgun Becht,Rocco pass complete short right to Noel,Jaylin for 4 yards to the BYU09 (Robinson,Jakob) PENALTY ISU Illegal Shift 5 yards from BYU13 to BYU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
26.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 5 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
26.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
26.7%
Chase Contreraz 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4726% → 29%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+36
26.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 36 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
26.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 9 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+1
26.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the ISU 23Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+19
26.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 19 yds to the ISU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
26.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the ISU 5Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
29.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2871% → 70%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
29.0%
Rocco Becht sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 9 yards to the ISU 16Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
29.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+4
29.3%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+2
30.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2729% → 29%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
29.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
28.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
28.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Ethan EricksonSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+12
28.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 57 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 12 yds to the ISU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:4971% → 75%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
29.5%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 27Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+7
29.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+15
29.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
29.0%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+16
28.7%
Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
28.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
28.5%
Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
28.5%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
25.5%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2626% → 25%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
25.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
25.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
26.1%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+2
25.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
25.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2773% → 83%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
26.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Becht,Rocco pass incomplete short right to Sanders,Eli PENALTY BYU Roughing The Passer (Batty,Tyler) 15 yards from ISU20 to ISU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
26.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 34Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
26.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
26.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
25.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
25.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+9
24.8%
Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
24.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
24.5%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+11
24.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 11 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
24.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
16.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1319% → 19%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
18.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
18.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+33
19.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 61 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 33 yds to the ISU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:1484% → 93%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
16.0%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
15.7%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 40Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
15.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
15.6%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
15.3%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
15.5%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
15.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
15.3%
Abu Sama III run for 13 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
7.3%
Abu Sama III run for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2814% → 14%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
13.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Caleb Bacon for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 18
OWN 27
-2
13.4%
Jake Retzlaff sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+10
13.5%
LJ Martin run for 10 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2492% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.3%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
8.3%
Jaylin Noel run for 1 yd to the ISU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
8.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
8.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 42 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 3 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3111% → 14%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
10.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
11.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
11.3%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+5
11.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
11.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Isaac Rex for 13 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
11.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Isaac Rex for 13 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
14.3%
Parker Kingston pass complete to Isaac Rex for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3890% → 98%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
10.3%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Noel,Jaylin) 5 yards from ISU25 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
10.4%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
2.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 66 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
1.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 11 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
0.8%
Chase Roberts run for 11 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
0.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the ISU 38Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+2
0.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
0.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:1699% → 99%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.6%
PENALTY BYU Offside (Cravens,Jackson) 5 yards from ISU36 to ISU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+59
1.2%
Abu Sama III run for 59 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:281% → 0%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.7%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
0.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 30 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.8%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
0.8%
Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake rush right for 4 yards gain to the ISU29 (Bacon,Caleb) PENALTY ISU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ISU33 to ISU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+16
0.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Carson Willich) to the ISU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
0.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
0.6%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the ISU 3Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
0.5%
Ray Paulo run for 2 yds to the ISU 5Similar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+1
0.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 1 yd to the ISU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:1199% → 99%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+23
1.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 23 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+12
0.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 12 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.6%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+3
0.6%
Tyler Perkins punt for 43 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 3 yds to the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 5 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 6 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
0.2%
LJ Martin run for 10 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Ethan EricksonSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+6
0.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 6 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.3%
Tanner Hughes run for 3 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
0.4%
Tanner Hughes run for 1 yd to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
0.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 8 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.3%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
0.3%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 35Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beni NgoyiSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
0.1%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+17
0.1%
LJ Martin run for 17 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Deion SmithSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hansen,Carson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BYU24 (Kaufusi,Ace; Esera,Siale) PENALTY ISU Holding (Burkle,Gabe) 10 yards from BYU32 to BYU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+2
0.2%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+6
0.2%
J.J. Kohl pass complete to Carson Hansen for 6 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+6
0.2%
Arlen Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
0.2%
J.J. Kohl pass incomplete to Beni NgoyiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+17
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 17 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.0%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Talmage GuntherSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+15
0.0%
Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete deep left to Gunther,Talmage PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer (Jones,Trent) 15 yards from ISU49 to ISU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 38Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+19
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ethan Erickson for 19 yds to the ISU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Miles DavisSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
0.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Dom HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:27
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 66 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q2 8:02
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q3 10:05
Timeout BYU, clock 10:05
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com