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Oklahoma 24 at Oklahoma State 27

OKST
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:01 · Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the OU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Pregame prior−0.4Home team on offense+10.9Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:06: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +8.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:05: Tawee Walker run for 23 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +18.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:59: Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +28.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:59: Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +11.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:48: Zach Schmit 36 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +14.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:43OKST 4th & 8 at OU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:02OKST 4th & 3 at OU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34OU 4th & 7 at OU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:42OKST 4th & 6 at OU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:04OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:40OU 4th & 14 at OKST 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26OU 4th & 7 at OU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 46, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:57OKST 4th & 1 at OU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−2.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−11.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:27OKST 4th & 1 at OU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−4.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:17OU 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:42OU 4th & 5 at OKST 40, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−2.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:59OKST 4th & 7 at OU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−18.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:48OU 4th & 12 at OKST 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−5.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−12.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:53OKST 4th & 9 at OU 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−2.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01OU 4th & 5 at OU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:39OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:51OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:06OU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:05OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:59OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0927% → 30%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
27.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
27.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 11 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
28.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 14 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+26
28.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 26 yds to the OU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OU 20Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
30.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 20 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3570% → 71%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
30.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 5 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
29.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 64 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:5429% → 31%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
29.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
29.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
30.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 14 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
30.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OU 48Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
30.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
31.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
30.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds, downed at the OU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:2469% → 69%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
30.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 5Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
30.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+15
31.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 15 yds to the OU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
31.0%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 15Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+6
31.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the OU 21Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
31.5%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Xavier Benson for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 17 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by OU Dillon Gabriel , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+49
32.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 49 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
30.6%
Jovantae Barnes rush for loss of 9 yards to the OKLAST43, fumble by Barnes, Jovantae recovered by OKLAST Benson, Xavier at OKLAST43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:0333% → 41%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
32.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
33.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+9
33.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
34.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OU 37Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
34.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OU 36Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-10
34.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josiah Johnson) to the OU 46Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+10
34.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 10 yds to the OU 36Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+12
34.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
36.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 12 yds to the OU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
36.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 13Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
41.4%
Alan Bowman run for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:0060% → 58%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
39.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OU 17Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-5
40.1%
Oklahoma Penalty, Encroachment (Jalil Farooq) to the OU 12Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+7
40.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 7 yds to the OU 19Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
41.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
41.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:4541% → 46%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
41.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 20 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
42.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
43.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+18
43.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 18 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
44.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the OU 26Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
45.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
45.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
46.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OU 19Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
46.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
46.2%
Alex Hale 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1653% → 62%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
47.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 23Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
47.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
48.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 17 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
46.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 15 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
46.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OKST 44Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+27
46.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 27 yds to the OKST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
45.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
46.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
37.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5241% → 40%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
41.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
41.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
40.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 8
OWN 11
-5
40.2%
Kaak, Hudson punt 47 yards to the OKLAHOMA42, Bunkley-Shelton, LV return -5 yards to the OKLAHOMA37, fumble by Bunkley-Shelton, LV recovered by OKLAHOMA Bunkley-Shelton, LV at OKLAHOMA37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:1859% → 56%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
40.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 15 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
39.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 19 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
38.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
38.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-6
40.8%
Drake Stoops run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
44.5%
Zach Schmit 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1844% → 44%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
44.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
46.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for no gain to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
45.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
43.5%
Wes Pahl punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2456% → 53%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
44.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
43.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
45.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+14
47.1%
Luke Elzinga punt for 56 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 14 yds to the OKST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:1646% → 46%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
46.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
47.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 9 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
46.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
45.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
45.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:4554% → 56%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 4 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
45.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 15 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-26
44.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Dylan Smith return for 26 yds to the OKST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:5849% → 51%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
49.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 6 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
51.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-5
50.5%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+35
48.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 35 yds to the OU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
53.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OU 21Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
53.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OU 17Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
52.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OU 16Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
51.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:4351% → 69%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
48.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 20Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+9
49.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
48.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 24 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
45.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 5
OPP 42
-4
45.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 46Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-4
46.0%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Drake Stoops) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 13
50
+1
48.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Daylan Smothers for 1 yd to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+26
49.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 26 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
30.9%
Tawee Walker run for 23 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:0035% → 38%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
35.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 30 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
39.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
39.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OU 37Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
39.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OU 36Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-1
38.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:0267% → 69%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
33.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
31.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 2 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
31.7%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
29.0%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
28.6%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the OKST 35Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
27.5%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Tyler Guyton) to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
29.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+10
31.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 10 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
30.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Brenen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0735% → 42%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.8%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
34.4%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 29Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+12
32.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
37.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 31 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-39
41.6%
Ollie Gordon II pass intercepted Billy Bowman Jr. return for 39 yds to the OU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4072% → 70%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
28.3%
Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
27.5%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
27.6%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
28.1%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
30.2%
Dillon Gabriel punt for 37 yds, downed at the OKST 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 4:3534% → 74%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
34.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
33.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 8Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+15
32.3%
Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Makari Vickers) to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
35.2%
Oklahoma Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
36.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
36.9%
Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaiah Coe) to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
39.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
40.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 17 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
42.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 15 yds to the OU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
43.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 12 yds to the OU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
45.6%
Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Billy Bowman Jr.) to the OU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
63.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 19 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by OKST Kody Walterscheid TEAM rush for loss of 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA19, fumble by Gabriel, Dillon recovered by OKLAST Walterscheid, Kody at OKLAHOMA19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5174% → 84%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
74.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OU 16Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
72.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
84.2%
Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:5926% → 32%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
74.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+46
72.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 46 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
67.0%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Anthony Goodlow for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+1
69.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the OKST 18Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
71.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
67.6%
Zach Schmit 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:4775% → 87%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
80.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
82.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 19 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
88.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OU 43Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
88.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
88.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OU 43Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
87.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:4521% → 19%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
79.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 21 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
77.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+5
80.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 5 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+3
80.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the OU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:5193% → 95%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
50
-2
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:59
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
+28.2
TD · Q3 8:05
Tawee Walker run for 23 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
-18.3
FG · Q4 4:48
Zach Schmit 36 yd FG GOOD
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com