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Kansas 28 at Iowa State 21

ISU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:09 · Damon Greaves punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense−11.5Score differential−5.9Garbage-time factor−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Pregame prior+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:21: Rocco Becht pass intercepted for a TD Mello Dotson return for 50 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +8.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:24: Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK) — KU win probability +14.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:59: Eli Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (E. Sanders Run For Two-point Conversion) — ISU win probability +15.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:34: Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST down — ISU win probability +25.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 7:51: Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 80 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK) — KU win probability +30.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:12ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28KU 4th & 10 at ISU 34, tied
    Close callWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:48ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:01KU 4th & 3 at ISU 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.6%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:47ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:13KU 4th & 6 at KU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:35ISU 4th & 16 at KU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:09KU 4th & 6 at KU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37ISU 4th & 4 at KU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.9%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:38KU 4th & 9 at ISU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:08KU 4th & 16 at ISU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:53ISU 4th & 9 at KU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:40KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:21KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:24KU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:59ISU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:51KU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2154% → 54%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.2%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
54.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 2 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
54.2%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
54.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 53 yds, downed at the KU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:2546% → 49%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
54.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 14Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+31
54.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 31 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
54.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 21 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
54.0%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 35Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
53.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+1
54.3%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the ISU 34Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+27
54.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 21 yds to the ISU 13 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Roughing Passer (6 Yards) to the ISU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
53.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 0
OPP 7
-5
53.8%
Kansas Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ISU 11Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 0
OPP 11
+5
53.8%
Neal, Devin rush for 5 yards to the IOWAST6, PENALTY IOWAST offside 5 yards to the IOWAST6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
51.3%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:4552% → 51%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.2%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
52.4%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 32Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
52.0%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 27Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
51.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 10 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
51.9%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-6
52.0%
Rocco Becht sacked by Craig Young and Caleb Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 35Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
50.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+13
50.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 42 yds , Luke Grimm returns for 13 yds to the KU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:4150% → 52%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
50.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 35Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
50.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 3 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
49.7%
Iowa State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
49.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+2
48.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+17
48.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 17 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
47.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
47.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
47.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
48.2%
Seth Keller 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1349% → 49%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
49.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 15 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
49.7%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 36Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
48.9%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ISU 36Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+9
48.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
48.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 38 yds, downed at the KU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2752% → 51%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
47.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 4 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
47.6%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 21Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
48.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
48.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4649% → 38%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
49.1%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 41Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-50
40.5%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted for a TD Mello Dotson return for 50 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
38.0%
Kansas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mello Dotson) to the KU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2941% → 38%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
41.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the KU 30Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
40.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-7
39.5%
Rocco Becht sacked by Rich Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the KU 37Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
37.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1664% → 63%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.4%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the KU 20Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
36.4%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
36.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
36.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:3237% → 35%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
37.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 21 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
37.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Cartevious Norton for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 43Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-1
36.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 44Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+9
35.5%
Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+3
35.4%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the KU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:3167% → 72%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
33.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+1
31.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
31.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
30.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+21
30.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Doug Emilien for 21 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
28.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the ISU 33Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
27.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
28.0%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the ISU 33Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
28.5%
Owen Piepergerdes 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:3130% → 38%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
29.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
30.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+13
30.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
50
+9
31.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 9 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+24
31.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 24 yds to the KU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
32.0%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Easton DeanSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+35
38.4%
Chase Contreraz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1265% → 86%
Q3 14:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
34.6%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.2%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
34.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
33.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+11
32.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 11 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
31.6%
Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the KU 42Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+8
32.1%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 12
50
+23
31.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+23
29.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 23 yds to the ISU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
29.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the ISU 1Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1118% → 32%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
18.6%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 36Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+15
17.6%
Kansas Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
19.3%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 9 yards to the ISU 42Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+4
17.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+15
16.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 15 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
18.0%
Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KU 49Similar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+5
17.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 5 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+1
16.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the KU 43Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+32
15.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 32 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
17.1%
Kansas Penalty, Illegal Procedure (5 Yards) to the KU 6Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+6
32.4%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (E. Sanders Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:4273% → 74%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 26Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
26.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 27Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+30
27.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 30 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
23.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the ISU 42Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-10
23.2%
Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KU 48Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+3
24.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
24.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
26.3%
Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:2624% → 47%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
24.3%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the ISU 17 Iowa State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tyler Moore) to the ISU 9Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 11
OWN 9
-1
24.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 8Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
23.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for no gain to the ISU 8Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+18
21.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 18 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
23.1%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.1%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+42
21.8%
Jaylin Noel pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 42 yds to the KU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
26.2%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
21.9%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
47.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0750% → 15%
Q4 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
49.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 7 yds to the KU 2Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.8%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
14.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 80 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:4815% → 24%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.3%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
16.6%
Kansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
17.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+35
17.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds to the KU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
18.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the KU 11Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
17.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
15.3%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the KU 11Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
23.6%
Chase Contreraz 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 21 yds · 4:4585% → 95%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 26Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
14.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
13.0%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KU 27Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
13.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 11 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
10.3%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
9.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
5.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 13 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
4.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the ISU 41Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-11
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the KU 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 48
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:51
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 80 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)
-30
TD · Q4 9:34
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST down
+25.3
TD · Q3 3:59
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (E. Sanders Run For Two-point Conversion)
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com