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TCU

TCU 28 at Texas Tech 35

TTU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2023 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:21 · Griffin Kell 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+0.5Pregame prior+7.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:08: Emani Bailey run for 16 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +17.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:47: Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +17.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:06: Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD (Behren Morton pass to Jerand Bradley for Two-Point Conversion) — TTU win probability +26.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:33: Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 44 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +8.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:54: Trey Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +11.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 14:19TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:59TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:55TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:12TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:13TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:32TTU 4th & 5 at TCU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:21TCU 4th & 2 at TTU 25, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:12TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:53TTU 4th & 18 at TCU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:59TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:37TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.9%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:21TTU 4th & 16 at TTU 42, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−5.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TCU 4th & 1 at TTU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−7.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:46TCU 4th & 7 at TTU 40, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:33TCU 4th & 4 at TTU 12, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−5.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:18TTU 4th & 5 at TCU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:12TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:13TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:46TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08TCU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:47TCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:06TTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:33TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:54TCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4138% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
62.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2062% → 62%
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
62.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 27Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+5
62.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
62.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
62.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:0438% → 38%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
62.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Dylan Wright for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
62.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
62.0%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
62.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:4362% → 65%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
62.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 21Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+19
62.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 19 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
62.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 49Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
62.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
62.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
62.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 9 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
62.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
62.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
62.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+16
62.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
62.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 16Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
62.6%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 4 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+3
62.5%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 3 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
65.1%
Behren Morton run for 9 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5935% → 40%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.8%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
64.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 6 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
64.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 19 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
63.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Malik Dunlap) to the TTU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
63.3%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
63.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
60.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 17 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:4162% → 63%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
61.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 13 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
62.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
62.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 7 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
62.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 1 yd to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
62.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+5
62.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 5 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+3
61.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
63.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+7
63.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 7 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
62.9%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
62.0%
MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROOKS, Tahj thrown to the TCU10. PENALTY TCU Pass Interference on FONTENETTE, Randon enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TCU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
63.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 3 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
62.9%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
63.0%
Gino Garcia 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3437% → 36%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, Roughing the Passer on ROBERTS, Ben enforced (Ben Roberts) to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
62.5%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+24
62.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 24 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
60.7%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
60.7%
JoJo Earle run for 7 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
62.6%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TTU 25Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
63.8%
Griffin Kell 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3564% → 75%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Texas Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam'Ron Valdez) to the TTU 13Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+1
64.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 1 yd to the TTU 14Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+20
63.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 20 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
63.6%
QB Keeper MORTON, Behren rush to the right for no gain to the TTU34 (HODGES, Johnny). PENALTY Before the snap, TCU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the TTU34 to the TTU39 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
65.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-3
66.0%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
64.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
66.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 1 yd to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
66.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+8
65.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 8 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
66.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 14 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.1%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
75.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 25 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3424% → 23%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 12
OWN 6
+1
76.4%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+24
76.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for 24 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
75.1%
Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
73.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
74.8%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
76.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:1977% → 81%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
76.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 30 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
77.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-13
78.8%
Behren Morton sacked by Namdi Obiazor for a loss of 13 yards to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 17
OPP 36
-1
77.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 18
OPP 37
+55
81.4%
Gino Garcia 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2220% → 19%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.7%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
82.4%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0181% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
81.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 2 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
80.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 2 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
82.2%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-5
81.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Jacoby Jackson) to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
82.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 3:5118% → 36%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
81.8%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
82.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+29
82.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 29 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
80.8%
HOOVER, Josh pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Jaylon thrown to the TCU46. PENALTY TCU Holding on COLEMAN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the TCU38 to the TCU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+6
81.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 6 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
81.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+35
82.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 35 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
78.8%
Josh Hoover run for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-5
78.9%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 35Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+19
81.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 19 yds to the TTU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
64.1%
Emani Bailey run for 16 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3172% → 71%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 25Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.0%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Baylor Cupp) to the TTU 20Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
70.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 14 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
70.9%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:5036% → 54%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
63.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 4 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
63.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Major Everhart for 4 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
64.9%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TTU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
63.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 21 yds to the TTU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.6%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 3:2654% → 49%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 9 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
57.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.6%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 37Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
55.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
56.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 6 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
58.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Caleb Fox for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
56.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-5
54.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
53.2%
MORTON, Behren pass to the right complete for 11 yards to FOUONJI, Loic caught at the TCU48 and advanced to the TCU47 (NEWTON, Josh). PENALTY TTU Illegal Touch-Pass on FOUONJI, Loic enforced 0 yards from the TTU42 to the TTU42, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
49.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:4148% → 49%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
52.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 12 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
51.0%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3459% → 85%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
59.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
85.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD (Behren Morton pass to Jerand Bradley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:1424% → 21%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
75.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 9 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
72.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 3 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.5%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
74.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 9 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
72.1%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
74.4%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
72.5%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
72.9%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
73.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for no gain to the TTU 40Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
79.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 1:1383% → 95%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+39
83.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 39 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
86.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+44
95.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 44 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:398% → 22%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.7%
Major Everhart run for 7 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
90.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 10 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
90.8%
Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
50
+10
90.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Major Everhart for 10 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
90.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for 6 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
89.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for no gain to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
89.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 5 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
89.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds to the TTU 21Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
89.1%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+7
89.6%
Josh Hoover run for 7 yds to the TTU 16Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+4
89.9%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TTU 12Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+4
90.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TTU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.1%
Josh Hoover run for 5 yds to the TTU 3Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.1%
Josh Hoover run for 2 yds to the TTU 1Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
89.1%
HOOVER, Josh pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to WILEY, Jared caught at the TTU13 and advanced to the TTU13 (BASKERVILLE, CJ). PENALTY TCU Illegal Touch-Pass on WILEY, Jared enforced 5 yards from the TTU18 to the TTU23, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.0%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3690% → 94%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
89.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
91.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 6 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
94.4%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-1
94.4%
Behren Morton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
93.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 34 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:2311% → 14%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
88.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for 6 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+5
88.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
88.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 7 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+8
87.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 8 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
86.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 18 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
84.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
86.5%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5296% → 96%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TTU at TTU21 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
95.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TTU at TTU20 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
96.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TTU at TTU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:06
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD (Behren Morton pass to Jerand Bradley for Two-Point Conversion)
+26.1
TD · Q3 4:47
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q3 8:08
Emani Bailey run for 16 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
-17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com