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BYU

BYU 6 at Texas 35

TEX
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:30 · Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 11 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+32.2Home team on offense+6.4Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:58: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 30 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:51: Timeout BYU, clock 00:51 — TEX win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — BYU win probability +2.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:58: Will Ferrin 32 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +2.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:07: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 13 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:12TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:53BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:30BYU 4th & 2 at TEX 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57BYU 4th & 7 at TEX 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:41TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 31, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:58BYU 4th & 12 at TEX 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:04TEX 4th & 2 at BYU 2, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:00BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 7, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:10TEX 4th & 1 at BYU 2, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45BYU 4th & 11 at TEX 20, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:17TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 17, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:10TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:58TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:07TEX Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:43TEX Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4293% → 93%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 23Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
93.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 16 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.1%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
93.0%
Savion Red run for 6 yds to the TEX 45Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
92.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
92.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:557% → 7%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Ray Paulo for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
92.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
92.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+74
92.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 55 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 74 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:127% → 7%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
92.8%
Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-3
92.7%
Kedon Slovis run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+8
92.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 8 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+15
92.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 15 yds to the TEX 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0793% → 93%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TEX 39Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+20
92.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 20 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-30
92.5%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Crew Wakley return for 20 yds to the BYU 21 BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (Max Tooley) to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:038% → 8%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
92.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 7 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
92.0%
Keelan Marion run for 3 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-40
91.9%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Terrance Brooks return for 40 yds to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5092% → 93%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
92.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 4 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
92.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 7 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
92.2%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
92.2%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
91.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 5 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:567% → 7%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
92.6%
Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 13Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
92.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
92.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4693% → 93%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
93.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 2 yds Xavier Worthy fumbled, recovered by TEX Xavier Worthy at BYU38.Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
93.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 7 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-5
92.9%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Christian Jones) to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+8
92.9%
CJ Baxter run for 8 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.0%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+15
93.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for 15 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-18
93.0%
Maalik Murphy sacked by Isaiah Bagnah for a loss of 18 yards to the BYU 29 Maalik Murphy fumbled, forced by Isaiah Bagnah, recovered by BYU Isaiah Bagnah , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9FG
20 plays · 64 yds · 9:538% → 9%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
92.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
92.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 7 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
91.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+2
92.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
92.4%
Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+8
92.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
92.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 7 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
92.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 5 yds to the TEX 42Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+3
91.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 3 yds to the TEX 39Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+11
91.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 11 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
91.1%
Deion Smith run for 18 yds to the TEX 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
91.0%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 14Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
91.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for 5 yds to the TEX 9Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
91.4%
Kedon Slovis run for 7 yds to the TEX 2Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 0
OPP 2
-5
91.6%
BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TEX 7Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
91.1%
Will Ferrin 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5092% → 95%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 9 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
91.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TEX 34Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the TEX 40Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+14
91.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 14 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
92.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
92.2%
CJ Baxter run for 7 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
92.3%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
92.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+30
95.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 30 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:506% → 4%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
94.4%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Kody Epps) to the BYU 10Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+4
96.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+11
96.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 11 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:406% → 5%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
94.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Aidan Robbins for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
94.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds, downed at the TEX 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
95.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 8 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
95.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TEX 31Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
96.0%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+12
95.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 64 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 12 yds to the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:345% → 7%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
94.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 19 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+47
94.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 47 yds to the TEX 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
94.4%
Keelan Marion run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 16Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+2
94.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 2 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-1
95.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 15Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
93.0%
Will Ferrin 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:3994% → 96%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
94.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 22Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+38
94.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 38 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
95.1%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+17
95.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 17 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
95.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
96.2%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
96.4%
Savion Red run for 5 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.5%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.5%
Savion Red run for 1 yd to the BYU 2Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q3 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:595% → 4%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
95.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
95.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 6 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
95.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
95.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:4597% → 96%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
96.6%
CJ Baxter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+18
96.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 18 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+23
96.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 23 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion SandersSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
96.9%
CJ Baxter run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+10
96.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 10 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
96.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18INT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:534% → 4%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
95.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+7
95.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 7 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+5
95.9%
Texas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaray Bledsoe) to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
95.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 6 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
95.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
95.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-45
96.2%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Michael Taaffe return for 45 yds to the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0498% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
97.6%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Helm) to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 13 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 6 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 5 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.3%
Miles Davis run for 13 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.4%
Kedon Slovis run for 21 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
99.4%
Slovis, Kedon pass incomplete to Davis, Miles, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Red, Savion) 15 yards to the TEXAS19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 20Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 11
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.7%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Malik Agbo) to the TEX 15Similar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TEX 18Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
99.7%
CJ Baxter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 17Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+5
99.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-5
99.7%
Texas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TEX 17Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 6 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-13
99.6%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Justice Finkley for a loss of 13 yards to the BYU 39 Kedon Slovis fumbled, forced by Justice Finkley, recovered by TEX Jaray Bledsoe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.8%
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+7
99.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+34
100.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 34 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
100.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 15 yds to the TEX 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
100.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Miles Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 7 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+20
100.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kody Epps for 20 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 30 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+3.2
FG · Q3 7:58
Will Ferrin 32 yd FG GOOD
-2.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com