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OU

Oklahoma 33 at Kansas 38

KU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:16 · Damon Greaves punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior−14.3Home team on offense+3.9Garbage-time factor+1.4Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:05: Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +10.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:03: Jason Bean run for 38 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KU win probability +25.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:35: Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OU win probability +21.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KU win probability +22.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:22: Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OU win probability +39.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q3 9:01KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  2. Q4 0:58KU 4th & 6 at OU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−4.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:53KU 4th & 3 at OU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26OU 4th & 3 at KU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:17OU 4th & 3 at KU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−7.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:16KU 4th & 5 at KU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50KU 4th & 6 at OU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:54OU 4th & 8 at OU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:46OU 4th & 8 at OU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:01KU 4th & 4 at OU 11, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−11.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:43KU 4th & 14 at OU 24, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−4.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−15.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:11OU 4th & 4 at OU 48, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:59KU 4th & 4 at KU 42, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.3%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:05OU 4th & 12 at KU 40, up 1
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:25KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:06KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:15OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:23OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:03KU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:35OU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:25KU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:22OU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4645% → 44%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
44.5%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+6
45.4%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 24Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
45.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
44.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
43.8%
Damon Greaves punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:0157% → 66%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
56.5%
Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
57.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
50
0
62.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
50
+2
62.1%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+2
60.9%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+37
58.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 37 yds to the OU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.1%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:5529% → 32%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
29.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
29.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 6 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
30.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
30.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
30.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the OU 43Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+9
30.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for 9 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
31.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OU 34Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
31.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 3 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+4
31.7%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
31.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2368% → 67%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
31.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
31.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 8 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-37
33.5%
Mello Dotson 37 Yd Interception Return (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:4966% → 63%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
33.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 2 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
34.0%
Jalil Farooq run for 3 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+6
34.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 6 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
34.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OU 39Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
34.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+15
35.2%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete short middle to Anderson,Nic PENALTY KAN Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 15 yards from OKLA43 to KAN42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
34.9%
Gavin Freeman run for 6 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+9
35.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
34.9%
Jalil Farooq run for 3 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
35.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
36.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the KU 20Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
-1
37.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 5:0938% → 51%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
38.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
38.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+25
38.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 25 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
40.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 8
50
+2
40.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+9
40.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the OU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
42.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+21
43.1%
Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the OU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
43.2%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the OU 9Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
51.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4852% → 58%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.9%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
47.9%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
48.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 5 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+28
48.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Personal Foul (Craig Young) to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
47.7%
Jalil Farooq run for 4 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
47.8%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
48.8%
(12:10) PENALTY OKLA False Start (Gibson,Jayden) 5 yards from KAN19 to KAN24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
49.3%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+12
50.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 12 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
49.8%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the KU 7Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4846% → 45%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
46.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.1%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
46.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
45.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:0454% → 65%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
45.9%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
45.1%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
45.4%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
45.3%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
45.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+14
44.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 24 yds to the KU 11 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Block (Tawee Walker) to the KU 33Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+28
45.2%
Tawee Walker run for 28 yds to the KU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
45.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 3 yds to the KU 2Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.7%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3165% → 73%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
34.7%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the KU 8Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+6
34.8%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the KU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
34.9%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Walker,Tawee rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN02 (Taylor,Caleb) PENALTY OKLA Holding (Green,Cayden) 10 yards from KAN02 to KAN12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
35.2%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
27.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:2330% → 37%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
29.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
30.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.7%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
28.9%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kendel Dolby) to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
31.7%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+24
32.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 24 yds to the OU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
34.2%
Devin Neal run for 18 yds to the OU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
34.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the OU 6Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
36.6%
Seth Keller 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:5067% → 66%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OU 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
34.0%
D. Gabriel takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13Uncategorized
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:0065% → 64%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.6%
Jalil Farooq run for 6 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
33.5%
Tawee Walker run for 14 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
32.8%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the KU 49Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+1
32.3%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the KU 48Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
32.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for no gain to the KU 48Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 3
OPP 48
-5
34.6%
PENALTY OKLA Delay Of Game 5 yards from KAN48 to OKLA47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
35.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0263% → 63%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
36.6%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
36.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-14
36.7%
PENALTY OKLA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Byrd,Savion) 14 yards from OKLA28 to OKLA14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+5
38.3%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon rush left for 7 yards gain to the OKLA21 (Miller,Rich) PENALTY KAN Offside (Joyner Jr.,Patrick) 5 yards from OKLA14 to OKLA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+6
36.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
37.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:3641% → 48%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+39
40.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 39 yds to the OU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
44.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the OU 20Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+1
44.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the OU 19Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+8
40.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 8 yds to the OU 11Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
47.6%
Seth Keller 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4458% → 59%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
41.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 6 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
41.2%
Jalil Farooq run for 2 yds to the OU 38 Jalil Farooq fumbled, recovered by KU JB Brown (03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Farooq,Jalil rush left for 2 yards gain to the OKLA38 fumbled by Farooq,Jalil at OKLA38 forced by Brown,JB recovered by KAN Brown,JB at OKLA38, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
67.1%
Jason Bean run for 38 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1935% → 62%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.9%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
62.2%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
63.5%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+39
62.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 39 yds to the KU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
59.1%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the KU 12Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+9
59.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:3546% → 76%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
46.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
46.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
49.8%
PENALTY OKLA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Dolby,Kendel) 15 yards from KAN46 to OKLA39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
50.9%
PENALTY OKLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from OKLA39 to OKLA24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
53.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 23Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+17
53.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 17 yds to the OU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
53.5%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the OU 3Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3576% → 72%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
76.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 20 yds Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the OU 28Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 18
OPP 28
+3
75.5%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
76.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+1
74.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 24Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
72.2%
Seth Keller 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:2029% → 26%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
71.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 18 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
68.9%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
68.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+2
69.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
73.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Grimm at the KU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1980% → 81%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.5%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
81.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
81.3%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:1830% → 68%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
70.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the KU 8Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+5
70.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
71.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the KU 1Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:3449% → 51%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
48.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 11 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
50.8%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
54.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 42Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
51.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+10
48.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
55.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
54.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
51.4%
Jason Bean pass intercepted by Ethan Downs at OU 49 Downs, Ethan return 13 yards to the KU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25Uncategorized
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:1868% → 66%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
31.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the KU 39Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+1
30.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the KU 40Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+5
30.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 7
OPP 35
-5
32.4%
PENALTY OKLA False Start (Anderson,Nic) 5 yards from KAN35 to KAN40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
33.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:4215% → 15%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
84.6%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete short left to Barnes,Jovantae for 0 yards to the OKLA25, End Of Play PENALTY OKLA Holding (Mettauer,McKade) 10 yards from OKLA25 to OKLA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
84.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+19
84.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 19 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+39
86.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 39 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
76.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 4 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
80.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
84.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:22
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-39.3
TD · Q3 3:03
Jason Bean run for 38 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+25.8
TD · Q4 12:25
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+22.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com