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OKST

Oklahoma State 48 at West Virginia 34

WVU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+11.2WVU 59.2%Michael Hayes 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 27 · Q4 9:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:39 · Michael Hayes 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+2.8Pregame prior+1.4Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:52: Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +20.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:30: Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 32 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +21.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:16: Ollie Gordon II run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +23.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:00: Brennan Presley 29 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alex Hale Kick) — OKST win probability +28.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:37: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +26.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:53WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00OKST 4th & 11 at WVU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:23OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:49WVU 4th & 3 at OKST 16, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:06OKST 4th & 7 at WVU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13OKST 4th & 4 at WVU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.4
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:54OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:46WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:16WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:11OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−2.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:39WVU 4th & 11 at OKST 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−4.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−17.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:25WVU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:42WVU 4th & 5 at OKST 12, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:19OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:17WVU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:37WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:52OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:30WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:16OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:00OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:15OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:37WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−1.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:40OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5259% → 59%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
59.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
59.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
59.2%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-2
59.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 33 Brennan Presley fumbled, recovered by WVU Hudson ClementSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0760% → 60%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.5%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
59.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds Kole Taylor fumbled, forced by Kendal Daniels, recovered by OKST Kendal DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:3041% → 41%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
59.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
59.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+32
59.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 32 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
58.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
58.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the WVU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
58.8%
Alan Bowman run for 4 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
58.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
58.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 15
-5
59.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 20Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
58.9%
Alex Hale 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:3559% → 59%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
59.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
59.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-16
58.8%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Korie Black return for 16 yds to the WVU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:4142% → 45%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
58.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 16 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
57.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 6 yds to the WVU 17Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+13
57.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 13 yds to the WVU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
57.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the WVU 2Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:5856% → 60%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.9%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
55.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
55.3%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
55.7%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-1
55.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
54.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Hudson ClementSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+15
54.3%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
50
0
55.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
50
+10
53.7%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
54.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
53.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
52.9%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
53.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
52.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+19
51.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 19 yds to the OKST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.5%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3744% → 43%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
56.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
56.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+4
57.0%
Alan Bowman run for 4 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
57.1%
Wes Pahl punt for 24 yds, downed at the WVU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:1158% → 60%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
58.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 5 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
58.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
58.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+23
58.8%
Garrett Greene run for 23 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
59.5%
Garrett Greene sacked by Collin Oliver and Collin Clay for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+7
59.2%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+3
58.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 3 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
60.3%
Michael Hayes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:1442% → 47%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 9 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
55.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
57.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
55.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKST 42Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+14
55.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 14 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
54.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 29 yds to the WVU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
53.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
53.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-2
53.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 12Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
53.2%
Alex Hale 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5554% → 65%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
54.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 18 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
56.2%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+6
56.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
57.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 45Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
56.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Traylon RaySimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+45
65.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 45 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:0237% → 38%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
63.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 1 yd to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+12
63.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 12 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
61.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 6 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+34
60.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 34 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
58.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the WVU 14Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-5
58.2%
Jaden Bray run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 19Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
58.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the WVU 14Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
62.5%
Alex Hale 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
64.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:5436% → 36%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
63.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 15Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+15
64.3%
West Virginia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
63.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
62.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
63.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
61.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
61.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
61.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
63.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds, downed at the WVU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4364% → 65%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
63.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 7Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
63.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 2 yds to the WVU 9Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
65.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
65.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 53 yds, downed at the OKST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2035% → 38%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
64.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 7 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
63.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
63.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+7
62.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
62.0%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Anthony Wilson return for no gain to the WVU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3168% → 66%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
67.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
67.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 7
OWN 7
0
66.3%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 7
OWN 7
0
65.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5637% → 59%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
63.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 27 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
60.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
60.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+12
62.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 12 yds to the WVU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
61.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the WVU 5Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
41.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1550% → 75%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
49.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
53.0%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-1
53.5%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
51.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.7%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
53.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+13
53.1%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
74.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 32 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3932% → 29%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
67.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
68.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
69.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 10 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
66.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Blaine GreenSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
67.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-3
69.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
70.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the WVU 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKST Parker RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:4439% → 62%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
61.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
61.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
38.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:2148% → 59%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
47.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 26 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
51.1%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
51.2%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+30
49.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 30 yds to the OKST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
50.3%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 10Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
50.7%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 11Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
48.0%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
59.2%
Michael Hayes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:1547% → 83%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
53.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+20
52.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST down West Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
47.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
45.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+29
17.0%
Brennan Presley 29 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0525% → 24%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
24.5%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 17 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
26.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
24.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
25.4%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 2
50
-4
24.3%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
4.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 46 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:234% → 21%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
4.3%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
4.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 6 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+14
4.0%
Garrett Greene run for 14 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
4.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 16 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
4.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 34 yds to the OKST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
30.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
21.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2092% → 98%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
8.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+53
2.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 53 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:523% → 4%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+24
3.1%
Garrett Greene run for 24 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.4%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+29
3.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 29 yds to the OKST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
4.0%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
3.9%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
3.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+5
3.2%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKST 12Similar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 5
OPP 12
0
3.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28Uncategorized
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
2.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:00
Brennan Presley 29 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alex Hale Kick)
-28.5
TD · Q4 2:37
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+26
TD · Q4 13:16
Ollie Gordon II run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
-23.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com