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TCU

TCU 3 at Kansas State 41

KSU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:15 · Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+13.3Score differential+9.1Pregame prior+10.3Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:18: Avery Johnson pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 4:12: Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +1.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:06: Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 61 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 10:41: Chris Tennant 27 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:30: Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:12TCU 4th & 10 at KSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−3.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41KSU 4th & 5 at TCU 9, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:15TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:23KSU 4th & 4 at TCU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:43TCU 4th & 10 at KSU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00TCU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−1.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23TCU 4th & 2 at KSU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:45KSU 4th & 16 at TCU 45, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:31TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 11, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:59TCU 4th & 1 at KSU 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:45KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:06KSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:30KSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:59KSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1566% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.2%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
66.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 13 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
66.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+30
66.2%
Will Howard run for 30 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
66.2%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+11
66.2%
Will Howard run for 11 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
66.2%
Phillip Brooks run for 10 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.4%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2433% → 33%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
67.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Dylan Wright for 12 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.0%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
66.9%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
67.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
67.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:5768% → 73%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
67.5%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the KSU 27 Treshaun Ward fumbled, recovered by KSU Treshaun WardSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
67.4%
Avery Johnson run for 9 yds to the KSU 36Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+23
67.6%
Avery Johnson run for 23 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
67.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+14
67.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
67.9%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+26
67.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 26 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:0629% → 31%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.2%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
71.1%
Josh Hoover sacked by Desmond Purnell and Austin Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
71.4%
HOOVER, Josh pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Savion thrown to the TCU37. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on LEE III, Will enforced 15 yards to the TCU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
71.1%
Emani Bailey run for 35 yds to the KSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
70.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the KSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
70.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
70.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
70.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
69.0%
Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0670% → 76%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 8 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
70.4%
Keagan Johnson run for 6 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
76.0%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 61 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:0424% → 23%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.2%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
76.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 10 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
75.8%
Savion Williams run for 5 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
75.5%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-5
75.8%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
76.2%
Josh Hoover run for no gain to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
77.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:2178% → 86%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
77.5%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+6
78.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the KSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+43
77.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 43 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
78.8%
Avery Johnson run for 7 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
78.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+14
78.3%
Avery Johnson run for 14 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
78.6%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
80.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
80.0%
Keagan Johnson run for no gain to the TCU 9Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
85.7%
Chris Tennant 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:2115% → 13%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
85.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jared Wiley for 7 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
84.6%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
84.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Dylan Wright for 8 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
84.2%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.3%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
84.5%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
84.7%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
86.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5289% → 90%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
88.9%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+14
88.6%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 14 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
88.8%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
88.9%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
89.3%
Jadon Jackson run for 14 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
89.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
90.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4012% → 10%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.4%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
88.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Major Everhart for 13 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.8%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
88.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for no gain to the KSU 47Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
88.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 2:4392% → 93%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
91.6%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 17Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+10
91.5%
DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
91.4%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
91.5%
TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
92.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+23
92.2%
DJ Giddens run for 23 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
92.2%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
92.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-5
92.7%
JOHNSON, Avery pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to JACKSON, Jadon caught at the TCU14 and advanced to the TCU7 (BROOKS, Marcel). PENALTY Before the snap, KSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TCU17 to the TCU22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+40
93.1%
Chris Tennant 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:378% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
91.5%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+14
91.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.2%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
91.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 7 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-5
91.0%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Coltin Deery) to the KSU 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+7
91.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 7 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.0%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
90.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
90.5%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+3
91.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the KSU 19Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 2
OPP 19
0
94.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 7:5395% → 100%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
94.6%
Jayce Brown run for 1 yd to the KSU 20Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
94.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+11
94.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 11 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
94.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
94.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
95.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 7 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
97.0%
Anthony Frias II run for 3 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
97.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
97.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+7
96.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 7 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
97.0%
Will Howard run for 20 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
97.9%
HOWARD, Will pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to OAKLEY, Garrett caught at the TCU0 and advanced to the TCU0, TOUCHDOWN KSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:15 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY KSU Holding on MOORE, Christian enforced 10 yards from the TCU2 to the TCU12 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
97.9%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Dylan Wright for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+32
99.6%
Emani Bailey run for 32 yds to the KSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.6%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the KSU 26Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
99.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 5:11100% → 100%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 8 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+13
99.7%
DJ Giddens run for 13 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
99.7%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+10
99.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+15
99.8%
DJ Giddens run for 15 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-13
99.8%
Avery Johnson sacked by Namdi Obiazor for a loss of 13 yards to the KSU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 48
-5
99.7%
Kansas State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Avery Johnson) to the KSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 28
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 43
+12
99.7%
Avery Johnson run for 12 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
99.8%
punt for 34 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 9
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-4
99.9%
Josh Hoover sacked by Jevon Banks for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 11Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 5:32100% → 100%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+17
99.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Swanson for 17 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 8 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+12
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Swanson for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18END OF GAME
19 plays · 73 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 3 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 4 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 7 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Warren Thompson for 7 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Warren Thompson for 7 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 11 yds to the KSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Kansas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the KSU 5Similar
Q4 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 2 yds to the KSU 2Similar
Q4 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 10:41
Chris Tennant 27 yd FG GOOD
+5.8
TD · Q1 3:06
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 61 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q1 6:18
Avery Johnson pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com