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TTU

Texas Tech 14 at BYU 27

BYU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:26 · Jake Strong pass complete to Jordan Brown for 36 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense+28.1Pregame prior−3.6Score differential+22.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:19: Jake Strong pass complete to Xavier White for 72 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +4.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:11: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +11.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:11: Timeout BYU, clock 06:11 — TTU win probability +4.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:41: Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +3.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:41: Timeout BYU, clock 08:41 — BYU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 4:41TTU 4th & 1 at BYU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−2.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:18BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:18BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:24TTU 4th & 9 at BYU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:32BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 17, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07TTU 4th & 4 at BYU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59BYU 4th & 3 at TTU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:08TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:51BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:51TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:31TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:25BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 16, up 17
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:33TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:09BYU 4th & 13 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:19BYU 4th & 5 at TTU 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−3.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00TTU 4th & 22 at TTU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:26BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:26TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:40BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 33, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:18BYU 4th & 19 at midfield, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:34BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:10BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:19TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:11BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:41TTU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2634% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+55
34.0%
LJ Martin run for 55 yds to the TTU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
34.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kody Epps for 9 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
34.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the TTU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
34.0%
Keelan Marion run for 4 yds to the TTU 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
34.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 2 yds to the TTU 3Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 3 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2DOWNS
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:5363% → 59%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
36.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
36.5%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Mills,Monroe) 5 yards from TTU34 to TTU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
36.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
36.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
36.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
36.3%
Drae McCray run for 4 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+20
36.3%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 20 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
36.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Drae McCray for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
36.1%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+8
36.3%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 8 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
36.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
36.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
36.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+3
41.3%
Jake Strong run for 3 yds to the BYU 7 Jake Strong fumbled, recovered by TTU Jake StrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2342% → 42%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
41.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+5
41.7%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
41.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
41.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
41.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+37
42.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 58 yds , Myles Price returns for 37 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+37
42.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 58 yds , Myles Price returns for 37 yds to the TTU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
47.8%
Eddie Heckard 5 Yd Fumble Return (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:4652% → 48%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.0%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Eakin,Coy) 5 yards from TTU25 to TTU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
48.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 21Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
48.3%
Jake Strong pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
48.2%
Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
49.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 1 yd to the TTU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
49.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
49.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
48.9%
Coy Eakin run for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
49.7%
Jake Strong run for 2 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
49.6%
Jake Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
52.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5258% → 61%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
58.0%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
58.9%
Parker Kingston run for 2 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+1
58.2%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+4
60.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Myles Price returns for 4 yds to the TTU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:1345% → 50%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
55.1%
Jake Strong run for 2 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-10
55.1%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
56.1%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+72
51.6%
Jake Strong pass complete to Xavier White for 72 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
49.9%
PENALTY TTU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (York,Jayden) 15 yards from TTU35 to TTU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:0356% → 68%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
55.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kody Epps for 12 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+32
55.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 32 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
57.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+27
57.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 27 yds to the TTU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
56.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
56.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 6 yds to the TTU 4Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:3437% → 35%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
63.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
63.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 7 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
63.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
63.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Strong,Jake pass incomplete short middle to Eakin,Coy PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Tooley,Max) 14 yards from TTU31 to TTU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
62.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 46Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
62.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+5
63.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+9
63.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
61.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 5 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
64.6%
Jake Strong pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3475% → 76%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
74.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 6 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+9
74.1%
Deion Smith run for 9 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
72.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
72.1%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the TTU 24Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+6
71.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 6 yds to the TTU 18Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
75.7%
Will Ferrin 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11INT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:5926% → 25%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.2%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 9 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
72.2%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jerand BradleySimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
74.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
73.5%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 2 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+17
75.0%
Jake Strong pass complete to Xavier White for 17 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
71.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Strong,Jake pass incomplete short right to Brown,Jordan PENALTY TTU Holding (Brooks,Tahj) 10 yards from BYU47 to TTU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
74.5%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jerand BradleySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 43
0
74.8%
Jake Strong pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5225% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.0%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1777% → 80%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
76.9%
LJ Martin run for 16 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.7%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
77.7%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
76.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
79.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TTU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:2020% → 17%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
79.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 18 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
78.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
77.8%
Jake Strong pass complete to Coy Eakin for 3 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
78.0%
Jake Strong run for no gain to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+4
78.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 37Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
77.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
78.5%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
82.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0688% → 88%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
88.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Aidan RobbinsSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
88.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+7
87.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for 7 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+26
88.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 70 yds , Myles Price returns for 26 yds to the TTU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:5217% → 14%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
82.9%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 1 yd to the TTU 41Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
83.1%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 6 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-10
82.7%
Shotgun Valdez,Cam'Ron rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU49 (Vongphachanh,AJ) PENALTY TTU Holding (Rogers,Caleb) 10 yards from TTU47 to TTU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+10
84.6%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 10 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
85.7%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2493% → 94%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
92.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
92.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 8
OPP 45
-5
92.5%
Rehkow,Ryan punt 37 yards to the TTU08 PENALTY BYU Illegal Formation 5 yards from TTU45 to TTU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 13
50
+35
94.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 41 yds , Myles Price returns for 35 yds to the TTU 44 Myles Price fumbled, recovered by BYU Ryan RehkowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:5095% → 98%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
95.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 6 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
94.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 9 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
95.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+3
94.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
98.0%
Will Ferrin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -12 yds · 1:094% → 3%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
96.5%
Shotgun Brooks,Tahj rush left for 32 yards gain to the BYU35, out of bounds at BYU35 PENALTY TTU Holding (Staats,Rusty) 10 yards from TTU33 to TTU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+3
96.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 17
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rayshad Williams) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 17
OWN 26
-5
96.8%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Watts,Cameron) 5 yards from TTU26 to TTU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
97.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 57 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to LJ Martin for 3 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+5
99.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kody Epps for 5 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 4:452% → 6%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+5
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
98.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Xavier White for 9 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+1
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Tahj BrooksSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 6 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+36
98.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jordan Brown for 36 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.1%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
98.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+11
98.3%
Jake Strong pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
98.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 7 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0198% → 99%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+18
98.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 47 yds , Myles Price returns for 18 yds to the TTU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:524% → 4%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
95.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Drae McCray for 13 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.6%
Jake Strong run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
96.1%
Jake Strong pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24PUNT
14 plays · 12 yds · 5:3099% → 99%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
98.9%
BYU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kedon Slovis) to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+13
98.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 13 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
98.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 8 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
99.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
99.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.2%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the TTU 41Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 8 yds to the TTU 49Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+4
99.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 14
OPP 45
-5
99.0%
PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TTU45 to TTU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 19
50
0
99.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:11
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+11
TD · Q2 9:19
Jake Strong pass complete to Xavier White for 72 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q2 6:11
Timeout BYU, clock 06:11
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com