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KU

Kansas 32 at Oklahoma State 39

OKST
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+6.2OKST 37.7%Alex Hale 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 32 - HOME 27 · Q3 5:28
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:28 · Alex Hale 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior−4.8Home team on offense−3.5Garbage-time factor−3.3Score differential−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:52: Ollie Gordon II run for 42 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +11.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:06: Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 49 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KU win probability +10.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:13: Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 42 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK) — KU win probability +14.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:32: Alex Hale 21 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +10.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 2:33: Brennan Presley run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OKST win probability +39.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:25KU 4th & 8 at KU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:10OKST 4th & 7 at KU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:25OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:08OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 22, down 2
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:13KU 4th & 9 at KU 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:12OKST 4th & 10 at KU 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:40KU 4th & 8 at KU 16, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20OKST 4th & 6 at KU 41, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:28OKST 4th & 2 at KU 9, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−1.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−12.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:32OKST 4th & 4 at KU 4, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%−1.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−19.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:38OKST 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−3.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−14.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:23KU 4th & 5 at OKST 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−4.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:57KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:15OKST 4th & 1 at KU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:11OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:25OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:14KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:42KU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:41KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:52OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:06KU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:13KU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:33OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:2436% → 38%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+50
36.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 50 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
36.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
36.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the KU 22Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+5
36.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the KU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
37.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3463% → 61%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
37.5%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
37.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.1%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 35Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
38.7%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
39.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+46
39.5%
Damon Greaves punt blocked by Kam Franklin blocked by Kam FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 2:5040% → 46%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
39.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 18Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+11
39.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 11 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
40.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
40.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
41.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 4
50
+18
41.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 18 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
42.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the KU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
46.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 20 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0555% → 58%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.8%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.7%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
46.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 9 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
46.5%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
42.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 47 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
41.7%
Keller,Seth kick attempt failed (blocked by Ross,Xavier) (H: Addison,Grayden, LS: Hosford,Luke) PENALTY OSU Offside (Epps,Cameron) 2 yards from OSU03 to OSU01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:5244% → 47%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+40
44.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 40 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
45.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for no gain to the KU 31Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+17
45.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 17 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
46.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KU 12Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
46.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 1 yd to the KU 11Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Blaine GreenSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
46.5%
Alex Hale 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1654% → 58%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 26Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
48.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 10 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
47.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 10 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
47.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+5
48.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 5 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+18
50.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 18 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
48.7%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+30
42.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 30 yds for a TD (Seth Keller PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
42.1%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Keller,Seth) 5 yards from OSU03 to OSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:4745% → 44%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
45.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
44.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-5
44.3%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Bray,Jaden) 5 yards from OSU31 to OSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 17
OWN 26
-2
44.2%
Alan Bowman sacked by Cornell Wheeler for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 19
OWN 24
0
43.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:2955% → 61%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
45.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 28 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
39.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2042% → 41%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
41.6%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
42.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+2
41.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
40.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4160% → 59%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
40.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 1 yd to the KU 38Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
40.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
41.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
41.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds , Jaden Nixon returns for no gain to the OKST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:5042% → 42%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
41.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 2 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
41.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+12
41.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 12 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
44.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 12 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
45.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
44.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
43.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
41.7%
Wes Pahl punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2559% → 57%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
40.7%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-11
40.9%
Jason Bean sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 11 yards to the KU 5Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 19
OWN 5
-2
42.5%
PENALTY KAN Delay Of Game 2 yards from KAN05 to KAN03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 21
OWN 3
+13
42.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 13 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
43.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:3745% → 56%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
44.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
56.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 42 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3649% → 61%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
50.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 11 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
50.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
49.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+49
38.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 49 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:4044% → 44%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+19
44.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 19 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quentin Skinner) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
45.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
46.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
47.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
46.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
44.1%
Hudson Kaak punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
41.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4058% → 74%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.7%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
40.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
41.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 6 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
40.3%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the KU 37Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
41.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 3 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
41.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 9 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
40.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+42
25.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 42 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:3429% → 38%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
30.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 10 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
31.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-5
31.4%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass complete short right to Gordon,Ollie for 6 yards to the OSU50, out of bounds at OSU50 PENALTY OSU Illegal Motion (Bray,Jaden) 5 yards from OSU44 to OSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+8
29.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+13
31.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
32.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 12 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
33.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
33.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
31.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the KU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
33.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
33.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+6
31.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 6 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
37.7%
Alex Hale 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:4867% → 74%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
33.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+24
32.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 24 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
29.5%
Jason Bean sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the KU 48Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+13
31.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 13 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+21
29.7%
Jason Bean run for 21 yds to the OKST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
27.6%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the OKST 17Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
26.2%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:4635% → 47%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
35.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+8
37.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
35.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
38.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
38.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 23 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
41.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 25 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
41.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
41.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the KU 4Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
47.2%
Alex Hale 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3263% → 61%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
36.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the KU 28Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
37.5%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Trevor WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
39.3%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5853% → 48%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
53.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KU 29Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
53.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
51.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+43
48.0%
Alex Hale 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:0563% → 66%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
37.1%
Devin Neal run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
50
+5
33.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 20 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Devin Neal) to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
33.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
32.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
32.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-8
34.5%
Jason Bean sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Jason Bean fumbled, recovered by KU Bryce Cabeldue , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:3151% → 90%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
50
+9
51.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
51.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KU 41Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
48.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
49.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+19
46.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 19 yds to the KU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
49.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the KU 12Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
49.7%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the KU 10Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
46.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the KU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.7%
Brennan Presley run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2721% → 15%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
84.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26FG
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:3793% → 98%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
92.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
93.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
95.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+42
98.1%
Alex Hale 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:067% → 7%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.3%
Jason Bean sacked by Nickolas Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 26 Jason Bean fumbled, recovered by KU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:33
Brennan Presley run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+39.2
TD · Q3 11:13
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 42 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q2 2:52
Ollie Gordon II run for 42 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com