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ISU

Iowa State 30 at Cincinnati 10

CIN
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:10 · Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−46.0Score differential−25.5Garbage-time factor−18.0Pregame prior+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:48: Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +8.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:43: Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +10.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:45: Chase Contreraz 34 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +10.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:10: Chase Contreraz 30 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +6.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:00: Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +6.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:49CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:23ISU 4th & 13 at ISU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31ISU 4th & 9 at CIN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:23CIN 4th & 1 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 5 at CIN 15, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:37CIN 4th & 15 at CIN 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:47ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00CIN 4th & 7 at ISU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:45ISU 4th & 9 at CIN 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−8.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:03CIN 4th & 9 at ISU 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:10ISU 4th & 8 at CIN 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−11.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:05CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 22, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:36CIN 4th & 14 at CIN 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:20ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 22, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:10CIN 4th & 12 at ISU 41, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00ISU 4th & 5 at CIN 42, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:42CIN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:48ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:43ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:00ISU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0657% → 57%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
57.1%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
57.1%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
57.1%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the CIN 34Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
57.1%
Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the CIN 40Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
57.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
57.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:2643% → 43%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
57.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 17Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
57.2%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+4
57.3%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
57.2%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
57.1%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+15
57.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
57.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-3
57.1%
Rocco Becht sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
57.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the CIN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4057% → 57%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
57.3%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 17Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
57.2%
Emory Jones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1244% → 44%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
56.2%
Rocco Becht run for 7 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+15
56.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
56.1%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the CIN 11Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
56.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
56.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+30
56.4%
Chase Contreraz 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4956% → 62%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
56.1%
Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
56.9%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 40Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
56.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
56.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 1
50
+5
57.0%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
57.6%
JONES, Emory pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the ISU26. PENALTY ISU Holding on PURCHASE, Myles enforced 10 yards from the ISU45 to the ISU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
58.2%
Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
58.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
58.2%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
61.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 20 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
16 plays · 59 yds · 7:1240% → 50%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
60.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
59.4%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+20
60.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 20 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
58.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 3 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-5
58.5%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (James Neal) to the CIN 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+8
58.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+4
59.2%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
58.5%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the CIN 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
58.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the CIN 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
59.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+6
60.2%
Chase Contreraz run for 6 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
58.5%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the CIN 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
58.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
58.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CIN 2Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.4%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2654% → 52%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.1%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 26Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-15
54.0%
Cincinnati Penalty, Personal Foul (Payten Singletary) to the CIN 22Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
53.8%
Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
54.6%
Aaron Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 33Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
53.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
52.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:3947% → 60%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+75
52.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 75 yds to the CIN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
49.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylin Noel) to the CIN 12Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
49.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-2
49.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 14Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
39.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:0643% → 38%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for no gain to the CIN 25Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.4%
Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
41.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 25Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.2%
Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CIN 20Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
37.9%
Mason Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5062% → 62%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
37.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 4 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
37.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 2 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
37.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
38.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:4739% → 38%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
39.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 19 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
40.3%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
40.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+17
39.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
41.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 3 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
40.1%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the ISU 41Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
39.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
38.0%
Emory Jones pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 4:0364% → 73%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
36.2%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the CIN 22Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
36.2%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 22Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
36.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
36.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the CIN 16Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-1
36.2%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 17Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+1
37.1%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the CIN 16Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
26.6%
Chase Contreraz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 6:4232% → 29%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.9%
Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
32.6%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
32.6%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+10
33.3%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
34.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
34.1%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the ISU 42Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
33.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 3 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
34.1%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
35.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-10
34.0%
JONES, Emory scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the ISU30 (FREYLER, Beau). PENALTY CIN Holding on WILLIAMS, John enforced 10 yards from the ISU32 to the ISU42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+7
32.6%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
26.1%
JONES, Emory pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WIGGINS, Dee thrown to the ISU10, clock 04:56. PENALTY ISU Holding on WILLIAMS, Jontez declined ISU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jontez enforced 15 yards to the ISU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
29.5%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the ISU 19Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
27.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
28.9%
Carter Brown 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5374% → 83%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
26.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 30 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
24.7%
Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
24.7%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the CIN 12Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
22.8%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 12Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
23.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
16.8%
Chase Contreraz 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0522% → 19%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
22.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
21.2%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the CIN 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
20.1%
Emory Jones sacked by Ikenna Ezeogu and Zach Lovett for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 22Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
18.7%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0584% → 99%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
15.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+31
15.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 31 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
14.3%
Eli Sanders run for 12 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
13.8%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the CIN 26Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
6.7%
Rocco Becht sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 31Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+13
7.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the CIN 18Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+5
7.5%
Cincinnati Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Young) to the CIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
1.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:173% → 2%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
3.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
3.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 3 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+15
3.0%
JONES, Emory pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for METAYER, Chamon thrown to the CIN48. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on JAMES, Ta'Shawn enforced 15 yards to the CIN41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
3.2%
JONES, Emory pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the ISU7. PENALTY CIN Holding on GERHARDT, Gavin enforced 10 yards from the CIN41 to the CIN31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+3
3.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 3 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+8
3.0%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 42Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
3.1%
Emory Jones sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 37Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Mason Fletcher punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1699% → 99%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
1.4%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the ISU 15Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
1.5%
BECHT, Rocco pass to the right incomplete intended for NOEL, Jaylin thrown to the ISU30; QB hurried by JONES, Dorian. PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NEAL, James CIN Pass Interference on YOUNG, Jordan , Offsetting penalties [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
1.5%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
1.4%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the ISU 22Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
0.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 31 yds, downed at the CIN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:102% → 1%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
1.5%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Braden Smith for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
50
+6
1.5%
Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
1.6%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
1.6%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 44Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+3
1.5%
Brady Lichtenberg run for 3 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
1.5%
Brady Lichtenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
1.2%
Brady Lichtenberg pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:1099% → 99%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
0.7%
Carson Hansen run for 12 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
0.6%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the CIN 46Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
0.7%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the CIN 42Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
0.7%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the CIN 42Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+8
0.7%
Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 10:45
Chase Contreraz 34 yd FG GOOD
-10.5
TD · Q2 3:43
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 7:48
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com