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WVU

West Virginia 39 at Houston 41

HOU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2023 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:12 · Laine Wilkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior−6.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:16: Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +20.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:02: Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +24.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:42: Garrett Greene run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrett Greene pass to Traylon Ray for Two-Point Conversion) — WVU win probability +28.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 0:12: Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +79.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 49 yds for a TD — HOU win probability +79.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:07HOU 4th & 6 at WVU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:16WVU 4th & 7 at HOU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12HOU 4th & 14 at HOU 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:35WVU 4th & 25 at WVU 34, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:21HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:12WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29HOU 4th & 18 at HOU 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:54WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:09HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:52WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:17HOU 4th & 11 at HOU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:12WVU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 13:06WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:15HOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:16WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:02HOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:28HOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:42WVU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.3%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:12WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:5342% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
41.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 16 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
41.5%
Parker Jenkins run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+4
41.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 4 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
41.5%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
41.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+1
41.5%
Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
42.6%
Laine Wilkins punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FG
17 plays · 82 yds · 7:5158% → 57%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
42.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+17
42.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 17 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
42.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+10
42.4%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
42.3%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
42.2%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (CJ Donaldson Jr.) to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
42.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+21
42.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 21 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
42.1%
Jaylen Anderson run for 8 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+9
42.0%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the HOU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.0%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the HOU 25Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
42.1%
Rodney Gallagher run for 7 yds to the HOU 18Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+6
42.1%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the HOU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
42.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-3
42.0%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 15Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+6
42.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 6 yds to the HOU 9Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
43.4%
Michael Hayes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4553% → 54%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
46.6%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+5
46.9%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+31
46.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 31 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
45.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
45.2%
EJ Horton run for 4 yds to the HOU 30Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+7
45.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the HOU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
45.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 18 yds to the HOU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4848% → 47%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
48.3%
Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
48.4%
Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
48.3%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-5
47.6%
Donovan Smith sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
47.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 11 yds · 4:3751% → 47%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
49.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
48.8%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
49.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.8%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
49.3%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
47.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the HOU 48Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-10
47.0%
CLEMENT, Hudson rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the HOU45 (HAULCY, A.J.;HAMILTON, Isaiah). PENALTY WVU Holding on DAVIS, Treylan enforced 10 yards from the HOU48 to the WVU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 17
OWN 42
-8
48.8%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 8 yards to the WVU 34 Jaylen Anderson fumbled, recovered by WVU Jaylen AndersonSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 25
OWN 34
0
49.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 25
OWN 34
0
52.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the HOU 19Similar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
52.9%
SMITH, Donovan pass up the middle complete for 1 yard to GOLDEN, Matthew caught at the HOU15 and advanced to the HOU15 (FLOYD, Marcis;RUFFIN, Malachi). PENALTY HOU Holding on MATHIS JR., Tony WVU Holding on LOCKHART, Mike , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1453% → 54%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
52.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for 3 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
52.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
52.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
52.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
53.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0948% → 45%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
52.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
51.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
53.0%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
54.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:4356% → 55%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
55.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 8 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+10
57.5%
Parker Jenkins run for 10 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
57.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-8
55.5%
Donovan Smith sacked by Tyrin Bradley and Edward Vesterinen for a loss of 8 yards to the HOU 40Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
54.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3546% → 43%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
54.5%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 13Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
54.8%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-2
56.3%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 14Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
57.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 yds , Malik Fleming returns for no gain Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the HOU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 1:2660% → 60%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
60.1%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the HOU 48Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
60.9%
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the HOU 49Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+10
59.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 10 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
61.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 7 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-2
61.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+9
60.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 9 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
62.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 11 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
62.5%
SMITH, Donovan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MANJACK IV, Joseph thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on FLOYD, Marcis enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the WVU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.9%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:2544% → 45%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
56.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
55.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:4747% → 61%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
52.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
52.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+19
54.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 19 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
38.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 35 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4743% → 42%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 24Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
43.1%
Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 21Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
41.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 12 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
42.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:2257% → 63%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+45
42.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 45 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
38.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 34Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
39.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for 10 yds to the HOU 24Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
39.8%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
38.4%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 24Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 13
OPP 24
0
37.5%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3244% → 66%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+58
43.5%
Stacy Sneed run for 58 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
49.6%
QB Keeper SMITH, Donovan rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the WVU15 (WILSON, Anthony). PENALTY HOU Holding on UNIJE, Reuben enforced 10 yards from the WVU22 to the WVU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+4
48.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 4 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+13
47.3%
Donovan Smith run for 13 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
66.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:5338% → 64%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
61.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 2 yds to the WVU 24Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
61.9%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
61.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
60.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 31Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+49
62.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 49 yds to the HOU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
55.8%
Rodney Gallagher run for 4 yds to the HOU 16Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
57.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 7 yds to the HOU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
55.4%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Zach Frazier) to the HOU 14Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
57.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 13 yds to the HOU 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the HOU 1Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.4%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0644% → 73%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
44.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
47.4%
SMITH, Donovan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Samuel broken up by RUFFIN, Malachi at the WVU10. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Malachi enforced 15 yards to the WVU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
46.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 25 yds to the WVU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
48.4%
Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the WVU 8Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
72.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0235% → 32%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
64.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
65.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
66.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
68.0%
punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:2472% → 92%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
71.8%
Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
72.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
73.0%
SMITH, Donovan scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the WVU41 (MCLAURIN, Hershey). PENALTY HOU Holding on PAUL, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the WVU45 to the HOU45 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-2
70.5%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 43Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 22
OWN 43
+27
69.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 27 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
73.4%
Donovan Smith run for 9 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
91.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4610% → 44%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
89.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
88.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
87.0%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the HOU10. PENALTY HOU Holding on EMERY, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the HOU45 to the HOU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
85.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 9 yds to the HOU 26Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
83.6%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
85.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
85.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 8 yds to the HOU 13Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+5
85.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.4%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrett Greene pass to Traylon Ray for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:1778% → 89%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
78.2%
Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
84.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 35Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
83.9%
SMITH, Donovan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MANJACK IV, Joseph thrown to the WVU35. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on FLOYD, Marcis enforced 15 yards to the HOU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
50
0
88.9%
Donovan Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
50
0
88.5%
Stacy Sneed run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
50
+4
87.2%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 6
OPP 46
-5
86.9%
Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the HOU 49Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
89.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 1:0513% → 94%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
86.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+21
86.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
50
0
83.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
50
0
84.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
50
0
85.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 10
50
+50
5.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:0716% → 95%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
16.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 8 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+49
95.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 49 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:12
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 50 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
-79.9
TD · Q4 0:00
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 49 yds for a TD
+79.2
TD · Q4 3:42
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrett Greene pass to Traylon Ray for Two-Point Conversion)
-28.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com