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OU

Oklahoma 34 at Texas 30

TEX
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Cotton Bowl
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.4TEX 58.9%Zach Schmit 27 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q2 14:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:14 · Zach Schmit 27 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+9.2Home team on offense−2.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:21: Tawee Walker 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +12.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:53: Bert Auburn 45 Yd Field Goal — TEX win probability +9.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:10: Jonathon Brooks 29 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +37.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:17: Bert Auburn 47 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +28.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +73.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:55TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42TEX 4th & 1 at OU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:02OU 4th & 13 at OU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44OU 4th & 3 at OU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:48TEX 4th & 19 at TEX 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14OU 4th & 8 at TEX 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:27TEX 4th & 1 at OU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−1.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53TEX 4th & 7 at OU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:01OU 4th & 2 at TEX 8, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%−1.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−9.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:10OU 4th & 8 at TEX 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:53TEX 4th & 8 at OU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:54OU 4th & 1 at TEX 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.6%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:30TEX 4th & 2 at OU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−18.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:55OU 4th & 5 at TEX 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−8.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:49OU 4th & 6 at OU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−2.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:17TEX 4th & 4 at OU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%−1.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−25.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:11OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:02TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:27TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:23OU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:21OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:10TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:15OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2963% → 63%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
62.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 17Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
62.5%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Gentry Williams return for no gain to the TEX 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:5438% → 38%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
62.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 2 yds to the TEX 20Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
62.4%
Jalil Farooq run for 7 yds to the TEX 13Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
62.4%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the TEX 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
62.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
61.7%
Dillon Gabriel 9 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3INT
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:5662% → 61%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
61.8%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 28Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-4
61.7%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Da'Jon Terry for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 24Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+8
61.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 8 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+20
61.3%
Jordan Whittington run for 20 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jonathon BrooksSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
61.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 8 yds to the OU 40Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
61.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the OU 39Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+25
61.2%
Savion Red pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 25 yds to the OU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
61.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 1 yd to the OU 13Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-7
61.4%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Kendel Dolby return for 7 yds to the OU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4340% → 37%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
60.5%
Jalil Farooq run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 6Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+1
60.5%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the OU 7Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
60.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
62.8%
Malik Muhammad 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
63.5%
Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TEX 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0138% → 38%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
62.2%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the OU 15Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
62.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 10 yds to the OU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marcus MajorSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.1%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 24Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
62.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 8 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+21
62.4%
Josh Plaster punt for 26 yds, downed at the TEX 42 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TEX 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:4263% → 61%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TEX 47Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
62.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
62.9%
Quinn Ewers run for 6 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
63.1%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 47Similar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
62.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 1 yd to the OU 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 14
OPP 46
-5
62.6%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Jaren Kanak for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 49Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 19
OWN 49
0
61.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
61.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:2138% → 41%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
61.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+5
61.7%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
61.6%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
61.3%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
61.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+5
61.9%
Plaster, Josh punt 49 yards to the TEXAS21, downed, PENALTY TEXAS running into kicker 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
60.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 43 yds to the TEX 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
59.2%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the TEX 20Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-2
59.1%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 22Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
59.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 11 yds to the TEX 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
58.9%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the TEX 10Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
58.9%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the TEX 9Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
59.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
58.9%
Zach Schmit 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:2859% → 65%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
59.3%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TEX 18Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+13
59.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the TEX 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
59.5%
Ewers, Quinn pass complete to Mitchell, Adonai for 14 yards to the TEXAS45, PENALTY TEXAS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXAS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+9
59.2%
CJ Baxter run for 9 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
60.2%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the TEX 38Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+31
60.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for 31 yds to the OU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
61.8%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 36Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-10
59.4%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Ethan Downs for a loss of 10 yards to the OU 46Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 25
OPP 46
+18
58.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 18 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+6
59.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 6 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+22
64.8%
Gunnar Helm 22 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5637% → 49%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.4%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
62.7%
Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
62.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 6 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
61.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the OU 44Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+19
61.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 19 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
61.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 15 yds to the TEX 22 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the TEX 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
60.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 9 yds to the TEX 2Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
60.0%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the TEX 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the TEX 1Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.1%
Tawee Walker 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:2255% → 63%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
55.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 39 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
58.2%
Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
59.1%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+7
57.7%
Savion Red run for 7 yds to the OU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
59.2%
CJ Baxter run for no gain to the OU 20Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
58.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 10 yds to the OU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
58.8%
CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the OU 6Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
58.7%
Jordan Whittington run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 10Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
58.4%
Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the OU 7Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
63.3%
Bert Auburn 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 67 yds · 1:3941% → 50%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 9 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
56.7%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
57.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marcus MajorSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+34
57.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 34 yds to the TEX 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
52.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tawee Walker for 12 yds to the TEX 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
52.5%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the TEX 15Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-5
52.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 20Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+12
53.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 12 yds to the TEX 8Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
53.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tawee WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
50.4%
Zach Schmit 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3047% → 65%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.7%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
52.3%
Jalil Farooq run for 10 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
50.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 3 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
50.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 8 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
49.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
49.8%
Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the TEX 43Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
49.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
49.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 11 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
47.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 11 yds to the TEX 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
47.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the TEX 9Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+6
47.5%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the TEX 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.4%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the TEX 1Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.6%
Tawee Walker 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3337% → 34%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
36.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+11
35.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 11 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+13
35.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 13 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
37.4%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Ethan Downs for a loss of 6 yards to the TEX 41Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+4
35.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the TEX 45Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+5
34.0%
Quinn Ewers run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Peyton Bowen, recovered by OU Gentry Williams , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1168% → 68%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
50
0
32.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
50
+2
31.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tawee Walker for 2 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
30.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
32.4%
Josh Plaster punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:0531% → 39%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
31.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the TEX 6Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+26
30.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 26 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
31.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 9 yds to the TEX 41Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+19
33.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for 19 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
33.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 7 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
34.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
34.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 8 yds to the OU 21Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-4
34.4%
CJ Baxter run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 25Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+3
31.6%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 3
OPP 22
-5
29.3%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 27Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
38.8%
Bert Auburn 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:5167% → 68%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
33.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 18 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
30.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+9
32.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
32.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:1342% → 36%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
42.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 3 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+15
40.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 15 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
43.1%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the OU 34Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
42.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 5 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+28
39.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 28 yds to the OU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the OU 1Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.7%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the OU 1Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
39.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 2Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the OU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:2570% → 78%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
29.6%
Tawee Walker run for 12 yds to the OU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
28.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jayden GibsonSimilar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-1
27.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 12Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+12
26.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 12 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
24.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jayden GibsonSimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+44
24.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 44 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
19.1%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the TEX 31Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-1
18.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 32Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
19.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 5 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
22.4%
Zach Schmit 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:3929% → 68%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
28.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+16
29.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the TEX 33 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the TEX 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
31.3%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Whittington, Jordan, PENALTY TEXAS illegal motion 5 yards to the TEXAS43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+17
27.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 17 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
30.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
67.8%
Jonathon Brooks 29 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0648% → 45%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
51.6%
Drake Stoops run for 3 yds to the OU 36Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
50.2%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the OU 37Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
51.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
54.8%
Josh Plaster punt for 50 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for no gain to the TEX 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 3:2559% → 91%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
59.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+12
59.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 12 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
59.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 16 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
63.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 1
50
+1
65.7%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
65.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
65.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 11 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
68.0%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Jacob Lacey for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 38Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+3
63.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
64.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
90.6%
Bert Auburn 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5613% → 96%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 11 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
85.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 16 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
83.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 28 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
77.7%
Gabriel, Dillon pass incomplete to Anderson, Nic, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 14 yards to the TEXAS6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
77.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the TEX 3Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0617% → 19%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
17.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 19 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
20.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 12 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
19.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:15
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
-73.4
TD · Q4 6:10
Jonathon Brooks 29 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)
+37.6
FG · Q4 1:17
Bert Auburn 47 yd FG GOOD
+28.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com