Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 24 at TCU 21

TCU
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:59 · Emani Bailey run for no gain to the WVU 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense+5.0Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:50: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +11.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Chandler Morris pass complete to Dylan Wright for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:29: Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +18.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:31: Michael Hayes 49 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +15.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:32: Kneel down by West Virginia at WVU36 for loss of 1 yard. — WVU win probability +18.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:06WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23TCU 4th & 21 at WVU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:35WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:59TCU 4th & 1 at WVU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:03WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55TCU 4th & 13 at TCU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:24TCU 4th & 3 at WVU 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%−0.2
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:42TCU 4th & 19 at TCU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:14WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 29, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:23TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:23WVU 4th & 5 at TCU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:24TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−4.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:29WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−22.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:20TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−5.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:31WVU 4th & 9 at TCU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:47TCU 4th & 1 at WVU 28, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%−1.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−18.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.9 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−7.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:32TCU 4th & 8 at WVU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−5.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−14.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:15TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:53WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:51TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:50WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:24TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:29WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5420% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 7 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
79.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
79.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
79.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Millard Bradford at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:5179% → 80%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
79.3%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
79.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 9 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.3%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
79.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to JP Richardson for 59 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2220% → 23%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
79.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
79.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+30
79.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 30 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
77.4%
Garrett Greene run for 35 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4MISSED FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 4:3078% → 77%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.2%
Chandler Morris run for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
78.4%
Chandler Morris run for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
78.7%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
78.6%
Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
78.8%
Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
78.8%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+10
78.7%
Chandler Morris run for 10 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.9%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the WVU 24Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
78.9%
JoJo Earle run for 4 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 14
OPP 28
-7
78.4%
TCU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-7 Yards) to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 21
OPP 35
+53
76.7%
Griffin Kell 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4824% → 24%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
75.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
75.8%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
76.2%
PENALTY WVU Delay Of Game (Greene,Garrett) 5 yards from WVU44 to WVU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
76.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds , JoJo Earle returns for 5 yds to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:4477% → 81%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
76.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
76.6%
Trey Sanders run for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+10
76.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Chase Curtis for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
76.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+26
76.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for 26 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
77.6%
Trey Sanders run for 5 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
77.6%
Jack Bech run for 3 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+31
80.5%
Chandler Morris run for 31 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2620% → 20%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
79.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
79.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
80.0%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Hudson ClementSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
80.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:1980% → 80%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.9%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
80.2%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Emani BaileySimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+18
79.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jack Bech for 18 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.7%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
80.6%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+15
80.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to JP Richardson for 15 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Chase Curtis for 2 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
80.9%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the WVU 20Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+4
80.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
80.2%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the WVU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:5621% → 19%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
79.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
79.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
79.5%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
79.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
79.5%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
80.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 58 yds , JoJo Earle returns for no gain to the TCU 7 JoJo Earle fumbled, recovered by TCU JoJo EarleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0880% → 79%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
80.3%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+5
80.2%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
79.8%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 13
OWN 4
0
79.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:0522% → 34%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
78.4%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+14
78.4%
Garrett Greene run for 14 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
77.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
77.5%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Rodney GallagherSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+8
78.4%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
77.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
77.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.5%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Hudson ClementSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
77.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 1 CJ Donaldson Jr. fumbled, recovered by WVU Treylan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:2672% → 80%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trent Battle for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
72.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Chase Curtis for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
72.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for 13 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
73.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Major Everhart for 9 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
74.4%
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
74.4%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Blake NowellSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
74.2%
Chandler Morris run for 7 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
72.8%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+36
80.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dylan Wright for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:2421% → 20%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
79.3%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
79.4%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
79.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 23 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
77.1%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Malone,Nick) 5 yards from TCU35 to TCU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+58
79.9%
Michael Hayes 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:1880% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.9%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
79.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dylan Wright for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
80.8%
Chandler Morris sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-6
79.7%
Chandler Morris sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 29
0
78.8%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
77.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:2821% → 22%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+37
78.7%
Jahiem White run for 27 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Damonic Williams) to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
75.5%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+1
75.6%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+6
78.1%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
78.1%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5180% → 80%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
80.1%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
79.8%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Blake NowellSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
79.0%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+15
79.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds for a 1ST down , Preston Fox returns for 15 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:5424% → 43%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
76.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
76.5%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
76.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+12
77.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 12 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
74.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Rodney GallagherSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
75.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 12 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
74.7%
Jahiem White run for 10 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun White,Jahiem rush left for 0 yards to the TCU05 (Williams,Damonic) PENALTY TCU Holding (Williams,Damonic) 3 yards from TCU05 to TCU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.3%
PENALTY TCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 1 yard from TCU02 to TCU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.4%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0067% → 64%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
67.0%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
66.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
65.1%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+17
64.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 57 yds , Preston Fox returns for 17 yds to the WVU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5540% → 42%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.5%
Rodney Gallagher run for 2 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
60.0%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+17
61.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
58.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+19
58.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to EJ Horton for 19 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
54.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to for 19 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
54.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
54.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds to the TCU 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 1Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0964% → 61%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
64.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jack Bech for 8 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+2
64.6%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
64.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
64.3%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Chase CurtisSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
62.7%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
61.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the TCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:4946% → 59%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
54.4%
Rodney Gallagher run for 15 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
52.9%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
52.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+2
56.0%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
40.9%
Michael Hayes 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:3648% → 46%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 9 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
51.4%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
49.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for 9 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+9
52.6%
Emani Bailey run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
50
+13
53.4%
Emani Bailey run for 13 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
54.0%
Chandler Morris sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 42Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+6
51.2%
Chandler Morris run for 6 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-5
53.1%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Wright,Dylan) 5 yards from WVU36 to WVU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+13
49.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dylan Wright for 13 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+46
45.8%
Griffin Kell 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike LockhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4769% → 74%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
30.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
28.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
27.8%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to Traylon RaySimilar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
25.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the TCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24MISSED FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 2:2839% → 25%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
38.5%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from TCU15 to TCU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+14
38.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 14 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
40.1%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
40.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to JP Richardson for 13 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to JP RichardsonSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
43.7%
Major Everhart run for 12 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
46.0%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
39.5%
Chandler Morris sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 37Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
28.9%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+55
24.7%
Griffin Kell 55 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Sean MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
6.4%
Kneel down by West Virginia at WVU36 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:29
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
-18.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:32
Kneel down by West Virginia at WVU36 for loss of 1 yard.
-18.3
FG · Q4 9:31
Michael Hayes 49 yd FG GOOD
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com