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ISU

Iowa State 20 at Oklahoma 50

OU
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDSAFETYFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:26 · Josh Plaster punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+28.9Blowout margin+13.8Garbage-time factor+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 67 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +2.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:49: Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +2.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:32: Zach Schmit 46 Yd Field Goal — OU win probability +2.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:07: Drake Stoops 2 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:26: Jayden Gibson 41 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:50OU 4th & 1 at ISU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:14ISU 4th & 15 at OU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:05OU 4th & 7 at ISU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06ISU 4th & 7 at OU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:00OU 4th & 2 at ISU 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32OU 4th & 10 at ISU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:26OU 4th & 7 at ISU 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:01ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:05OU 4th & 10 at OU 49, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:51ISU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:26ISU 4th & 5 at OU 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:41OU 4th & 5 at ISU 12, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:54ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 44, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:26OU 4th & 6 at OU 21, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:45ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:03OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:50ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:27OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:26OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:55ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:49OU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:07OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:26OU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:579% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.4%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 26Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-44
91.2%
Billy Bowman Jr. 44 Yd Interception Return (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:139% → 10%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+14
91.2%
Rocco Becht run for 14 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
91.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 20 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
91.2%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 46Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 13
OPP 46
-5
91.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+51
90.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 51 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2390% → 91%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
90.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 16 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
90.3%
Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
90.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive holding (Walter Rouse) to the OU 49Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+19
90.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 19 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+4
90.5%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.5%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
90.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+4
90.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 4 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
90.3%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
90.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 16 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:1310% → 12%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
90.1%
Abu Sama III run for 39 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
89.8%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
89.6%
pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
89.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 10 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
89.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+3
89.6%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the OU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
89.6%
pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
89.6%
Iowa State Penalty, illegal shift (Dimitri Stanley) to the OU 17Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
89.7%
Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
90.0%
pass incomplete to Carson HansenSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
88.3%
Chase Contreraz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4288% → 90%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 7 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
88.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 17 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Nic Anderson, broken up by Myles PurchaseSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+10
88.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
90.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Nic Anderson for 39 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3110% → 13%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
pass incomplete to Stevo KlotzSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 8 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
87.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 67 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:5087% → 87%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+54
87.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 54 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
88.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the ISU 18Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
88.2%
pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
87.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Jeremiah CooperSimilar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
87.0%
Zach Schmit 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:5913% → 16%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
86.9%
Rocco Becht sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 16Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+17
87.0%
Abu Sama III run for 17 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
86.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
86.2%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
86.0%
Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
85.7%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
85.6%
pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
86.1%
pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
84.4%
Chase Contreraz 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1785% → 89%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
85.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
85.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 12 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
86.0%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 8
50
+49
86.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 49 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jamison Patton) to the ISU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
86.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, false start (McKade Mettauer) to the ISU 6Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:4311% → 11%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel Iowa State Penalty, illegal shift (Dimitri Stanley) to the ISU 20Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
88.7%
pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
88.8%
pass incomplete to Easton DeanSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
89.2%
pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
89.3%
Iowa State punt blocked, recovered in end zone. SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:2889% → 91%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
89.3%
for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyler Onyedim) to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
89.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
89.5%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the ISU 34Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
89.1%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 35Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+7
88.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
89.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Austin Stogner, broken up by Myles PurchaseSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
89.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete, broken up by Ikenna EzeoguSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
88.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq, broken up by T.J. TampaSimilar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
91.4%
Zach Schmit 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:269% → 10%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.6%
Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.7%
Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
90.3%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins, broken up by Danny StutsmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 1:5992% → 97%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
92.4%
Drake Stoops run for 13 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
92.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+6
92.4%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
92.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel Anthony, broken up by T.J. TampaSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
92.4%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 12Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+6
92.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Myles Purchase for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, off-side (Joey Petersen) to the ISU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
92.6%
Dillon Gabriel sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 12Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
92.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marcus Major for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive holding (Dimitri Stanley) to the ISU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
92.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Myles Purchase for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Myles Purchase) to the ISU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
Drake Stoops 2 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.4%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:3497% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
96.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 15 yds to the OU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
96.9%
Marcus Major run for 14 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake Stoops, broken up by Ben NikkelSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
97.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 12 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 3 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+41
99.2%
Jayden Gibson 41 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 26Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:5699% → 100%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 8 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Brenen ThompsonSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.4%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
99.4%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
99.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 6 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.4%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 47Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+2
99.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 2 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Luke Elzinga punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 18Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+5
99.6%
Oklahoma Penalty, off-side (Trace Ford) to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 15 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.6%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-3
99.6%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 11
50
0
99.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 5 yds to the OU 26Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
99.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 6 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 31Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 5 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the OU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:45100% → 100%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 6 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 9 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 4 yds to the ISU 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the ISU 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jayden Gibson, broken up by Trevon HowardSimilar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Zach Schmit 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ISU 40Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 4 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 2 yds to the OU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the OU 23Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-5
99.9%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OU 28 Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive holding (J.J. Hester) to the OU 18Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 21Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Josh Plaster punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24Uncategorized
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Carson Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 41Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
J.J. Kohl run for 4 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+8
100.0%
J.J. Kohl run for 8 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
J.J. Kohl pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 4 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
J.J. Kohl pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 8 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
99.9%
J.J. Kohl pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 37Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
J.J. Kohl pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 4 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-2
100.0%
J.J. Kohl run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:07
Drake Stoops 2 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)
+4.5
TD · Q2 6:49
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
+2.8
FG · Q2 3:32
Zach Schmit 46 Yd Field Goal
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com