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Texas Tech 13 at West Virginia 20

WVU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.6WVU 32.6%Gino Garcia 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 8:40
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Q1 8:40 · Gino Garcia 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior−17.8Home team on offense−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:53: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +5.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:34: Michael Hayes 28 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +9.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:54: Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 6 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +19.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:49: QB Keeper MARCHIOL, Nicco rush to the left for no gain to the WVU21 (BRADFORD JR., Tony). PENALTY TTU Face mask on BRADFORD JR., Tony enforced 15 yards from the WVU21 to the WVU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — WVU win probability +10.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:33: Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +19.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TTU made the numbers' call on 14 of 16
  1. Q1 12:45WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40TTU 4th & 7 at WVU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:16TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:42TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:42WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:34WVU 4th & 9 at TTU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:43TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:23TTU 4th & 6 at WVU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:25WVU 4th & 1 at TTU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:52TTU 4th & 25 at TTU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:43WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 42, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:53TTU 4th & 1 at WVU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.8%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:11WVU 4th & 6 at TTU 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:30TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:36WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:00TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.1%−2.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 44, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:25TTU 4th & 2 at WVU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−1.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−1.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:45TTU 4th & 10 at WVU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−3.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:45WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:45TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−5.2
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:43TTU 4th & 2 at WVU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−6.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−9.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:19TTU 4th & 10 at WVU 11, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:53WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:54TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:33WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1530% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 9 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
30.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
30.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+1
30.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TTU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-6
30.4%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Jaylon Hutchings for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
31.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2769% → 68%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
31.5%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TTU 14Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
31.5%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the TTU 14Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
31.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 7
OWN 14
0
32.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4432% → 33%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
32.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
32.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5468% → 67%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
31.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
31.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
31.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
31.9%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
31.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
32.6%
Gino Garcia 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4733% → 39%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
32.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 15 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
33.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
32.8%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
32.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+9
33.2%
Rodney Gallagher run for 9 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+10
33.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 10 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
33.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
33.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds to the TTU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
33.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the TTU 17Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
33.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TTU 16Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+3
33.2%
MARCHIOL, Nicco pass to the right complete for 3 yards to ANDERSON, Jaylen caught at the TTU19 and advanced to the TTU13 (ROBERTS, Ben). PENALTY TTU Holding on PIERRE, Jesiah enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the TTU16 to the TTU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the TTU 8Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
33.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 6 yds to the TTU 2Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3063% → 61%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
37.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Drae McCray for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 36Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+6
38.0%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
37.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
39.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5039% → 38%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
39.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cortez Braham for 5 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
39.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
38.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
38.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2861% → 58%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
39.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-6
39.7%
Behren Morton sacked by Davoan Hawkins for a loss of 6 yards to the TTU 16Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+4
40.3%
Behren Morton run for 4 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
41.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, downed at the WVU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 6:0841% → 51%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
40.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
40.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
40.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for 7 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+1
40.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
41.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
41.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 3 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+19
41.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 19 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
42.4%
Traylon Ray pass complete to Kole Taylor for 21 yds to the TTU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
42.4%
run for 1 yd to the TTU 10Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
42.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the TTU 10Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
41.7%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
51.1%
Michael Hayes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4650% → 47%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
50.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
50.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
51.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
52.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2754% → 49%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
53.7%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
53.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Treylan Davis for 1 yd to the WVU 49Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
54.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
50
-10
49.4%
BROOKS, Tahj rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the WVU39 (WILSON, Anthony). PENALTY TTU Holding on THARP, Mason enforced 10 yards from the WVU50 to the TTU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2547% → 46%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
53.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+14
54.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 14 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
53.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:5856% → 60%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
55.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+15
55.0%
MARCHIOL, Nicco pass deep to the right incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon thrown to the TTU26. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on LUX, Bralyn enforced 15 yards to the TTU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
56.6%
Jaylen Anderson run for 5 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
56.8%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
57.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+46
60.0%
Michael Hayes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:1439% → 40%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
60.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+11
60.2%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 11 yds to the TTU 33 fumbled, recovered by TTU Nehemiah Martinez I for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0440% → 34%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
60.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+20
58.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
50
-1
57.4%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 49Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
58.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-14
59.5%
Behren Morton sacked by Marcis Floyd for a loss of 14 yards to the TTU 35Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 25
OWN 35
0
65.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0965% → 66%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
65.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
65.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
65.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
66.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the TTU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 1:5034% → 33%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
66.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
66.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 9 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+4
67.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
66.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 18 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
65.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
64.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
67.4%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the WVU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:4271% → 72%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
70.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+9
69.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cortez Braham for 9 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+3
70.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
68.7%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Zach Frazier) to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
71.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 27 yds, downed at the TTU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4129% → 25%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
71.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
70.4%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
70.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Cole Spencer) to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
71.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+6
72.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 6 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
75.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds , returns for no gain to the WVU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5474% → 76%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
74.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
74.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+9
73.1%
MARCHIOL, Nicco pass to the left incomplete intended for FOX, Preston thrown to the WVU26. PENALTY TTU Holding on BASKERVILLE, CJ enforced 9 yards from the WVU15 to the WVU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
74.5%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
74.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
74.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 31Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
75.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:4224% → 46%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
76.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
75.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
75.9%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+1
80.1%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
78.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
76.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
77.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
78.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+15
80.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 15 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
75.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+27
74.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 27 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
54.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 6 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:1665% → 90%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
65.1%
QB Keeper MARCHIOL, Nicco rush to the left for no gain to the WVU21 (BRADFORD JR., Tony). PENALTY TTU Face mask on BRADFORD JR., Tony enforced 15 yards from the WVU21 to the WVU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
66.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 37Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+17
66.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for 17 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
69.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Preston Fox for 15 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
70.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 8 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-3
70.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
68.8%
MARCHIOL, Nicco pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FOX, Preston thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on BASKERVILLE, CJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TTU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
70.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the TTU 9Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
89.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 2:4011% → 17%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 7 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
87.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
86.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 12 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
86.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
86.0%
VALDEZ, Cam'Ron rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the WVU43 (DUROJAIYE, Tomiwa). PENALTY WVU Offsides on COLLINS III, Raleigh enforced 5 yards from the WVU48 to the WVU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
85.4%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
86.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 1 yd to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+8
87.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
84.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
85.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+16
86.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 16 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
84.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
86.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
83.2%
Gino Garcia 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5390% → 91%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
89.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
91.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25DOWNS
17 plays · 61 yds · 3:2614% → 12%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
84.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
84.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
83.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+4
84.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
82.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 26 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
79.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the WVU 17Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
79.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
79.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+4
82.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the WVU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
85.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 11
0
88.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
95.9%
[NH] Kneel down by WVU at WVU10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:54
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 6 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
-19.7
TD · Q4 7:33
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+19.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:49
QB Keeper MARCHIOL, Nicco rush to the left for no gain to the WVU21 (BRADFORD JR., Tony). PENALTY TTU Face mask on BRADFORD JR., Tony enforced 15 yards from the WVU21 to the WVU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com