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BYU

BYU 27 at Kansas 38

KU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:06 · Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 16 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+17.0Home team on offense−2.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:00: LJ Martin 10 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +5.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:38: Kenny Logan Jr. 30 Yd Interception Return (Seth Keller Kick) — KU win probability +11.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:53: Luke Grimm 5 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick) — KU win probability +11.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:36: Luke Grimm 13 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick) — KU win probability +5.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:02: Keelan Marion 6 Yd Run (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +7.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:52KU 4th & 6 at BYU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:15BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:02KU 4th & 18 at KU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:51BYU 4th & 17 at BYU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:20KU 4th & 24 at KU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:06BYU 4th & 2 at KU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13BYU 4th & 2 at KU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.5
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:14BYU 4th & 7 at KU 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:33KU 4th & 6 at BYU 6, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:42BYU 4th & 20 at BYU 37, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:38KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:48BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:33KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:00BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:38KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:53KU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:36KU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:02BYU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5681% → 80%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
80.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+7
80.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
80.7%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+24
80.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 24 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
80.5%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
80.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-5
80.3%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
80.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:0820% → 19%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
79.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+22
80.7%
Cobee Bryant 22 Yd Fumble Return (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4419% → 23%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.7%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
80.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 9 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
80.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 8 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+14
80.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 14 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
80.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 14 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
80.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
80.0%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the KU 18Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+5
80.1%
Kansas Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the KU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
79.8%
Kedon Slovis run for 1 yd to the KU 12Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+5
79.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 5 yds to the KU 7Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
77.5%
Darius Lassiter 7 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:0378% → 81%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
78.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 11 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.0%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
77.5%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
78.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 21 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
78.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 1 yd to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+21
78.3%
Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
78.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
81.2%
Trevor Kardell 15 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:2020% → 26%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
79.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
79.2%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
79.3%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
79.3%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
78.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 15 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
78.4%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
77.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 7 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
77.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for 7 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
77.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+10
78.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for 10 yds to the KU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
77.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Deion SmithSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.9%
LJ Martin 10 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
74.1%
Kansas Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:4375% → 73%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
75.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 24Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-7
74.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 27 Kansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KU 17Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+1
74.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 1 yd to the KU 18Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 18
OWN 18
0
73.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 18
OWN 18
0
73.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:0528% → 27%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
71.9%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
72.6%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Jereme Robinson and Austin Booker for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-3
72.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for a loss of 3 yards Darius Lassiter fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 17
OWN 34
+13
72.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 35 yds , Torry Locklin returns for 13 yds to the KU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:2775% → 72%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
75.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
75.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
75.6%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-12
73.7%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Ben Bywater for a loss of 12 yards to the KU 41Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 24
OWN 41
0
71.7%
Damon Greaves punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:5730% → 38%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
70.2%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
69.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 2 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+18
70.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 18 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
66.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
66.9%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the KU 48Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+8
67.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 8 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+16
67.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 16 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
63.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
63.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 16
0
64.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+33
62.2%
Will Ferrin 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1066% → 66%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.7%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
66.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1736% → 24%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
64.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-30
76.0%
Kenny Logan Jr. 30 Yd Interception Return (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:2825% → 28%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
74.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 50 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
71.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+14
71.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 14 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
70.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-14
70.0%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 14 yards to the KU 23Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 0
OPP 23
+6
73.1%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
71.6%
Will Ferrin 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5874% → 89%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
75.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the KU 34Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
73.9%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KU 29Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
72.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
74.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 17 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
75.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 17 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
77.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+14
77.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for 14 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
76.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
76.8%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
88.5%
Luke Grimm 5 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:3316% → 15%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.8%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+37
83.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 37 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
81.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-3
83.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for a loss of 3 yards to the KU 40Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+6
84.9%
Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 7
OPP 34
-24
84.8%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Cobee Bryant return for 24 yds to the KU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:3189% → 96%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
88.6%
Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
89.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+10
90.0%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
90.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
90.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+7
90.7%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
95.9%
Luke Grimm 13 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:286% → 14%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.1%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
94.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 16 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
94.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
94.4%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+10
94.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 10 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
94.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 11 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
94.4%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the KU 45Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+1
95.4%
Kedon Slovis run for 1 yd to the KU 44Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 24
OPP 44
+3
95.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Talmage Gunther for 3 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 21
OPP 41
+15
95.9%
Kansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the KU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+20
95.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 20 yds to the KU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.9%
Keelan Marion 6 Yd Run (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
86.0%
BYU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the KU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:2092% → 97%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.5%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
93.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 40Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
93.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
95.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 10 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
95.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 24 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
96.0%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+9
96.5%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.6%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the BYU 8Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
97.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
97.1%
Seth Keller 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:493% → 2%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 22 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
97.2%
Kedon Slovis sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
97.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 20
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 20
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:38
Kenny Logan Jr. 30 Yd Interception Return (Seth Keller Kick)
+11.9
TD · Q3 4:53
Luke Grimm 5 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Seth Keller Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q4 8:02
Keelan Marion 6 Yd Run (Will Ferrin Kick)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com