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OKST

Oklahoma State 27 at Iowa State 34

ISU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:09 · Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialDefense timeouts
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−0.9Pregame prior+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−1.0Defense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:55: Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 29 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +10.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:01: Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +13.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: 41:01 available per score still needed).
  3. TD · Q3 5:30: Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 26 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +15.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Eli Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +12.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:46: Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 20 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +11.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:23OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:23ISU 4th & 2 at OKST 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:40ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:23ISU 4th & 3 at OKST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:09OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:12OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:12ISU 4th & 13 at OKST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:20OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:43ISU 4th & 7 at OKST 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−4.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:43ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 26, up 3
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:10ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:21OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:54OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 35, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%−3.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:11OKST 4th & 27 at OKST 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:32ISU 4th & 4 at OKST 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:22OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:40ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 28, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−1.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:13OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−1.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:46OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−2.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:29ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:26OKST 4th & 10 at ISU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:40OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:23ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:55ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:01OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:30ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:46OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3636% → 36%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
63.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
63.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:5164% → 64%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
63.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 3 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
63.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the ISU 33Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+13
63.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
63.6%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 6
50
+4
63.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 4 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-5
63.5%
Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+5
63.2%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the OKST 46Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
63.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0037% → 36%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3364% → 63%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.7%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
63.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
62.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
62.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:5437% → 42%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+71
62.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 71 yds to the ISU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
57.7%
Alan Bowman run for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1757% → 63%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
57.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 30 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
58.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
57.8%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+1
58.0%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+38
62.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 38 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:1439% → 40%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 24Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
60.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 10 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
59.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
59.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for no gain to the OKST 36Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
60.4%
Hudson Kaak punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5862% → 58%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
62.1%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 28Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
61.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+1
61.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 1 yd to the ISU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
57.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 53 yds, downed at the OKST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4842% → 41%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
57.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 16Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
57.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
58.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
58.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:1061% → 71%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
60.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 32 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
61.2%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+29
71.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 29 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5332% → 46%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
67.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 9 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
67.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+60
54.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:4859% → 66%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
62.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
64.2%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
64.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
65.4%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 32Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-1
64.9%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 33Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
63.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+51
66.2%
Chase Contreraz 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5132% → 31%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
68.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds, downed at the ISU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:2667% → 71%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
67.2%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 18Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
67.1%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+7
66.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
67.6%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+11
67.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Sanders for 11 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
68.6%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 43Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
67.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offsides (Nathan Latu) to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
68.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
70.5%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
70.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
70.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 3 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
70.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
69.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+46
70.5%
Chase Contreraz 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:4227% → 35%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
73.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+24
73.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 24 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
69.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
71.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 3 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
72.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 3 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
71.3%
Iowa State Penalty, Offsides (Gerry Vaughn) to the ISU 21Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+38
65.0%
Alex Hale 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2665% → 65%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
64.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
64.6%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+6
64.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 6 yds to the ISU 26Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
64.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 54 yds, downed at the OKST 20Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.9%
(13:33) BOWMAN, Alan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BRAY, Jaden thrown to the ISU40, clock 13:27. PENALTY ISU Offsides on PETERSEN, Joey enforced 5 yards from the OSU20 to the OSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:5936% → 39%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+2
64.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+12
63.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 12 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
63.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+24
63.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 24 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
61.4%
Alan Bowman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:0666% → 65%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.6%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
66.2%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
64.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 11 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
68.7%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 47Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
68.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
66.6%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 47Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
65.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4236% → 33%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
64.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 11Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
65.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
66.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
67.2%
Hudson Kaak punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the OKST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:4469% → 84%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
69.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 21 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
84.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 26 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:3522% → 28%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
78.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 14 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
77.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
75.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
76.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
76.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 2 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+53
71.6%
Alex Hale 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5976% → 97%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.7%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on OLIVER, Collin enforced (Collin Oliver) to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.2%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+14
79.1%
Eli Sanders run for 14 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
83.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 4 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+15
83.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 15 yds to the OKST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.5%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4210% → 10%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
88.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 14 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-17
88.0%
Alan Bowman sacked by J.R. Singleton for a loss of 17 yards to the OKST 34Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 27
OWN 34
0
90.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 27
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:3197% → 98%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.8%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the ISU 34Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
97.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 12 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 3 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
97.9%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:047% → 6%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
93.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Blaine Green for 17 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
93.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
98.6%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
98.7%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
98.8%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 28Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:475% → 16%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.7%
Alan Bowman run for 8 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
94.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
95.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
95.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 2 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+23
95.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 23 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
95.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+20
83.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 20 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1697% → 97%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.7%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
96.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Sanders for 7 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 30Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:568% → 6%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
92.7%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+13
93.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
93.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Alan Bowman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:4298% → 98%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.4%
(01:19) [NH] Kneel down by BECHT, Rocco at ISU37 (team loss of 2), clock 01:13.Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
98.3%
(00:37) [NH] Kneel down by BECHT, Rocco at ISU35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:30
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 26 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q2 11:01
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
-13
TD · Q4 14:54
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com