Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 66 at Tulsa 17

TLSA
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Chapman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:24 · Angus Davies punt for 53 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 8 yds to the OU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Pregame prior−3.4Home team on offense−58.0Score differential−45.8Garbage-time factor−19.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:34: Danny Stutsman 30 Yd Interception Return (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:30: Marquis Shoulders 19 Yd pass from Cardell Williams (Chase Meyer Kick) — TLSA win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:30: Devan Williams 18 Yd pass from Cardell Williams (Chase Meyer Kick) — TLSA win probability +2.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:54: Chase Meyer 21 Yd Field Goal — TLSA win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:08: Nic Anderson 42 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:03TLSA 4th & 13 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:30OU 4th & 5 at TLSA 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:30TLSA 4th & 4 at OU 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:30TLSA 4th & 12 at TLSA 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:54TLSA 4th & 2 at OU 2, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:29TLSA 4th & 28 at TLSA 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:33TLSA 4th & 7 at OU 46, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:47OU 4th & 4 at OU 41, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:24TLSA 4th & 14 at TLSA 19, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:31OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:34OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:25OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:30TLSA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:32OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:30TLSA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:08OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:23OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:07OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:09OU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
2.8%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 37Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
2.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds to the TLSA 45Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
3.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
3.0%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Anthony Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 46Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-26
3.1%
Roman Fuller pass intercepted Gentry Williams return for 11 yds to the OU 43 Oklahoma Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:2997% → 97%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+55
3.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 55 yds to the TLSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
3.1%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TLSA 34Similar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+34
3.1%
Jalil Farooq 34 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:073% → 4%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.1%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Luke McGary for 3 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
3.2%
Bill Jackson run for 5 yds to the TLSA 33Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
3.3%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Devan Williams for 4 yds to the TLSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
3.4%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the TLSA 37Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
3.4%
Jordan Ford run for 16 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.5%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the OU 47Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
3.6%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 13
50
0
3.7%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Ethan Hall for no gain to the 50 yard line Tulsa Penalty, Illegal Cut (Jordan Ford) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 13
50
0
3.6%
Angus Davies punt for 42 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 3:5996% → 96%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
3.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the OU 11Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+10
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Austin Stogner for 10 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 5 yds to the OU 26Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
3.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+17
3.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 17 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
3.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 32 yds to the TLSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
3.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the TLSA 16Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
4.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 5 yds to the TLSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
4.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 4 yds to the TLSA 7Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
4.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the TLSA 4Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
3.7%
Drake Stoops 4 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:564% → 3%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Devan Williams for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
4.1%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 31Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-30
3.1%
Danny Stutsman 30 Yd Interception Return (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:353% → 3%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.1%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 24Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
3.1%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Ethan HallSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
3.1%
Roman Fuller pass intercepted Kendel Dolby return for no gain to the TLSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:0497% → 98%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
2.8%
Major, Marcus rush for 23 yards to the TULSA14, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Rouse, Walter) 10 yards to the TULSA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+4
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 4 yds to the TLSA 43Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+34
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Gibson for 34 yds to the TLSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+5
2.7%
Major, Marcus rush for 2 yards to the TULSA7, PENALTY TULSA offside (Rogers, Everitt) 5 yards to the TULSA4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.4%
Drake Stoops 4 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:342% → 3%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
2.3%
Anthony Watkins run for 9 yds to the TLSA 34Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
2.3%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
2.3%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Ethan Hall for 21 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
2.5%
Tulsa Penalty, False Start (Nick Rempert) to the OU 48Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
2.5%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis ShouldersSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+3
2.4%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+12
2.4%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 12 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
2.5%
Tahj Gary run for 8 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
2.4%
Cardell Williams run for 4 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
2.5%
Tahj Gary run for 2 yds to the OU 19Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
2.5%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Braylin PresleySimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
3.4%
Marquis Shoulders 19 Yd pass from Cardell Williams (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:3597% → 98%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+37
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 37 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
2.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the TLSA 41Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
2.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the TLSA 37Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+1
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 1 yd to the TLSA 36Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+9
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 9 yds to the TLSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
2.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 28Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+28
2.1%
Nic Anderson 28 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:462% → 4%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
2.0%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 17Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
1.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds to the TLSA 25Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+3
1.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
2.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 9 yds to the TLSA 37Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
2.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+35
1.6%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 35 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
1.7%
Jordan Ford run for 6 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-2
1.5%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 20Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+2
1.4%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Ethan Hall for 2 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+18
4.0%
Devan Williams 18 Yd pass from Cardell Williams (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Demarco Jones return for no gain to the TLSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:404% → 4%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
3.7%
Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the TLSA 33Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
3.7%
Cardell Williams run for 2 yds to the TLSA 35Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-5
3.7%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 5 yards to the TLSA 30Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
3.7%
Angus Davies punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13END OF HALF
18 plays · 73 yds · 3:0897% → 98%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
2.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 26 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
2.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the TLSA 47Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
2.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
2.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the TLSA 30Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+7
2.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the TLSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
2.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds to the TLSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
2.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the TLSA 6Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
2.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the TLSA 5Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-10
2.0%
Gabriel, Dillon rush for 5 yards to the TULSA0, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Sexton, Jacob) 10 yards to the TULSA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+8
2.1%
Tulsa Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Everitt Rogers) to the TLSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 0
OPP 7
+5
1.9%
Gabriel, Dillon pass incomplete to Anthony, Andrel, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Carlisle, Tyree) 5 yards to the TULSA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Blake SmithSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
1.9%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the TLSA 2Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
1.9%
Zach Schmit 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:513% → 5%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.3%
Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the TLSA 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
3.5%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 28Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
3.3%
Tulsa Penalty, False Start (Ethan Hall) to the TLSA 23Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+26
3.2%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 26 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
3.7%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 26 yds to the OU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
3.3%
Tahj Gary run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 26Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+3
3.1%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+21
2.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 21 yds to the OU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.2%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the OU 2Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.0%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the OU 2Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.7%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis ShouldersSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
4.7%
Chase Meyer 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2798% → 99%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
2.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-5
2.3%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OU 30Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
2.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+8
2.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 8 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
2.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 17 yds to the TLSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for no gain to the TLSA 42Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
0.8%
Nic Anderson 42 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
0.9%
Cardell Williams sacked by Marcus Stripling for a loss of 13 yards to the TLSA 12 Tulsa Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the TLSA 12Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 23
OWN 12
-2
0.9%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 10Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+2
0.9%
Cardell Williams run for 2 yds to the TLSA 12 Cardell Williams fumbled, recovered by TLSA Cardell WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 23
OWN 12
-5
0.9%
Tulsa Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TLSA 7Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
0.8%
Angus Davies punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TLSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:4299% → 100%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
0.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 12 yds to the TLSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
0.7%
Jaquaize Pettaway run for 10 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
0.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for a loss of 3 yards to the TLSA 23Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
0.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+16
0.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 16 yds to the TLSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
0.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the TLSA 1Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Jovantae Barnes 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18INT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 26Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
0.3%
Cardell Williams sacked by Adepoju Adebawore for a loss of 10 yards to the TLSA 16Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
0.3%
Cardell Williams pass intercepted Key Lawrence return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
50
+50
0.3%
Nic Anderson 50 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20INT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Tahj Gary run for no gain to the TLSA 25Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Colby Powers for 8 yds to the TLSA 33Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
Tahj Gary run for 3 yds to the TLSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Carl ChesterSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Tahj Gary run for no gain to the TLSA 36Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-26
0.2%
Cardell Williams pass intercepted Trace Ford return for 26 yds to the TLSA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the TLSA 1Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Gavin Sawchuk 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-15
0.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TLSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Bill Jackson run for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+19
0.1%
Bill Jackson run for 19 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the OU 48Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the OU 48Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+2
0.1%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Angus Davies punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 5:39100% → 100%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
0.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+4
0.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 19Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
0.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the OU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
0.3%
Barnes, Jovantae rush for 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA25, PENALTY OKLAHOMA illegal formation 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+16
0.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 16 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
0.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 34Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
0.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 36Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
0.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 5 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Josh Plaster punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.1%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 25Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-4
0.1%
Roman Fuller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TLSA 21Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 12
OWN 21
-2
0.1%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 19Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+8
0.1%
Angus Davies punt for 53 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 8 yds to the OU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.3%
Daylan Smothers run for 4 yds to the OU 40Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
0.2%
Daylan Smothers run for 16 yds to the TLSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:30
Devan Williams 18 Yd pass from Cardell Williams (Chase Meyer Kick)
+2.6
FG · Q3 9:54
Chase Meyer 21 Yd Field Goal
+2.1
TD · Q3 7:08
Nic Anderson 42 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com