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TAR

Tarleton State 3 at Texas Tech 41

TTU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTAR aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTAR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:36 · Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+44.6Home team on offense+5.8Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+0.6Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:36: Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 28 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:35: Gino Garcia 43 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TAR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:23TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11TAR 4th & 5 at TAR 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:11TTU 4th & 1 at TAR 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:35TAR 4th & 3 at TAR 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:36TAR 4th & 1 at TTU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:53TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22TAR 4th & 5 at TTU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:22TTU 4th & 2 at TAR 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:17TTU 4th & 10 at TAR 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:55TAR 4th & 12 at TTU 37, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:37TTU 4th & 10 at TAR 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:06TAR 4th & 8 at TAR 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:50TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 48, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:35TTU 4th & 8 at TAR 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:55TAR 4th & 2 at TTU 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:53TAR 4th & 10 at TAR 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:04TAR 4th & 4 at TTU 4, down 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:05TAR 4th & 3 at TTU 46, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:33TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:19TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:36TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:50TTU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:23TTU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
98.2%
Tyler Shough sacked by Josh Griffis for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+3
98.2%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
98.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
98.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, downed at the TAR 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 2INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:502% → 2%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.0%
Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 37Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-54
98.0%
Malik Dunlap 54 Yd Interception Return (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.0%
Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 21Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
98.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 2 yds to the TAR 23Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Adrian Guzman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5298% → 98%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
97.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 38 yds to the TAR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 2 yds to the TAR 24Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+6
97.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 6 yds to the TAR 18Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
97.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TAR 17Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
97.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TAR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
97.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TAR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the TAR 29Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
97.8%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TAR 33Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
97.8%
Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 32Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Adrian Guzman punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
97.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 39Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+7
97.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
97.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.8%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TAR 36Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
97.8%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 8 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
98.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 28 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 7INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:342% → 2%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
98.1%
Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 26Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
98.1%
Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the TAR 30Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Otto for 6 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.0%
Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the TTU 46Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
98.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
97.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+5
97.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.0%
Victor Gabalis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:0998% → 98%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+15
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 15 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+8
98.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.1%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 3 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:312% → 2%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.2%
Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 22Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
98.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TAR 27Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
98.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 5 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+21
98.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 21 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+4
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.1%
Victor Gabalis run for 1 yd to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
98.1%
Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the TTU 35Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+3
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 3 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 6:0598% → 99%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 4
50
+2
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TAR 48Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
98.4%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 3 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.5%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TAR 42Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the TAR 36Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-1
98.5%
Xavier White run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 37Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+22
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 22 yds to the TAR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 11Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 1 yd to the TAR 10Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
98.5%
Gino Garcia 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.3%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
98.2%
Derrel Kelley III run for 25 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
97.9%
Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 37Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
98.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
98.1%
Adrian Guzman punt for 35 yds, downed at the TTU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 49 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
98.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 5Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+46
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 46 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
98.7%
Tyler Shough sacked by Kyle Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the TTU 44Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+7
98.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TAR 49Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, downed at the TAR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
98.3%
Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.3%
Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+11
98.3%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the TAR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
98.3%
Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Adrian Guzman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1699% → 99%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
98.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+5
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, downed at the TAR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 16INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:361% → 1%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
98.7%
Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 7Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
98.7%
Victor Gabalis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 4 yds to the TAR 23Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TAR 23Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-2
98.7%
Behren Morton sacked by Ahmir Crowder for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 25Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
99.7%
Gino Garcia 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the TAR 30Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Victor Gabalis run for 6 yds to the TAR 42Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 3 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-8
99.8%
Victor Gabalis sacked by Myles Cole for a loss of 8 yards to the TAR 47Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.8%
MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Jordan thrown to the TSU28. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on KURNS, Kasyus enforced 15 yards to the TSU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
99.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 9 yds to the TAR 23Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+8
99.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the TAR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 15 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 29Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.8%
Kayvon Britten run for 16 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
99.9%
Tarleton State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TAR 38Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 5
50
-5
99.8%
Victor Gabalis sacked by Myles Cole for a loss of 5 yards to the TAR 45Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Adrian Guzman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 7 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 4 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 15 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-3
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 9 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 10 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 8 yds to the TAR 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 6 yds to the TAR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
MORTON, Behren pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BRADLEY, Jerand thrown to the TSU0. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Dabari enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the TSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Behren Morton run for 6 yds to the TAR 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 22FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:190% → 0%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 32Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the TAR 39Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+33
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 33 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 6 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 12 yds to the TTU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
99.9%
LEWIS, Caleb rush to the right for no gain to the TTU6 (JORDAN, Brenden). PENALTY TSU Holding on OTTO, Dawson enforced 10 yards from the TTU6 to the TTU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+10
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Tucker Swoboda for 10 yds to the TTU 6Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TTU 4Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.9%
Adrian Guzman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
99.9%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Behren Morton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 24END OF GAME
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:050% → 0%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Caleb Lewis run for 6 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Daniel Greek run for 1 yd to the TTU 46Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Daniel Greek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Daniel Greek pass complete to Dawson Otto for 4 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+13
100.0%
Caleb Lewis run for 13 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Daniel Greek pass complete to Caleb Lewis for 3 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-5
100.0%
Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 28Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
100.0%
GREEK, Daniel pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Dejuan thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on HORN, Maurion enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TTU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
Daniel Greek sacked by Terrell Tilmon for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+8
100.0%
Daniel Greek pass complete to Tucker Swoboda for 8 yds to the TTU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 8:35
Gino Garcia 43 yd FG GOOD
+1
TD · Q1 4:36
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 28 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com