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ISU

Iowa State 7 at Ohio 10

OHIO
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:03 · Jared Wheatley punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense+25.8Garbage-time factor+14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+18.5Score differential+3.5Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:18: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +11.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:23: Timeout Ohio, clock 07:23 — OHIO win probability +9.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:15: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — ISU win probability +36.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:15: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down — OHIO win probability +20.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:13: [NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU27 (team loss of 11). — OHIO win probability +9.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:29OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27ISU 4th & 4 at OHIO 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:29OHIO 4th & 12 at ISU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:29ISU 4th & 1 at OHIO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55ISU 4th & 14 at OHIO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:50OHIO 4th & 9 at ISU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:27ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:01ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:15ISU 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−4.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:36OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−1.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:45ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 42, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:58OHIO 4th & 6 at ISU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−10.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23ISU 4th & 1 at OHIO 19, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%−2.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−6.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:03OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:21OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 11:18OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:15ISU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2747% → 47%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
46.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 17Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
46.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
46.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for no gain to the OHIO 17Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
46.9%
Jared Wheatley punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0253% → 53%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.8%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
46.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
46.8%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 42Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
47.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:5847% → 48%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
47.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 6Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+13
47.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 13 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
47.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
47.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
48.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 12 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
49.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
49.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 8 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
49.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+1
48.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the ISU 48Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
48.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
48.1%
Jared Wheatley punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:3452% → 51%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
48.2%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 15Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
48.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+45
48.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 45 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
47.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
47.0%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the OHIO 36Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+9
47.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
47.4%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
46.5%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 28Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+4
46.9%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-5
47.1%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
48.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
49.2%
Chase Contreraz 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0550% → 51%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
50.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for no gain to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
50.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
49.8%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WIGLUSZ, Sam thrown to the ISU44. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on COOPER, Jeremiah enforced 15 yards to the OHI48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
51.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+22
51.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 22 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
52.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
52.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the ISU 25Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
51.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
51.4%
Gianni Spetic 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2351% → 50%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
49.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
48.3%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+2
49.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+6
49.9%
Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
49.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 6:3252% → 51%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
52.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 12Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
51.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+12
50.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 12 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
52.1%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
51.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
52.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
53.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
53.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
54.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
55.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-8
54.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 46Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
51.1%
Jared Wheatley punt for 42 yds, downed at the ISU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5451% → 49%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
48.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 12 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
48.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 7 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-4
48.2%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 27Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
50.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
51.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 36 yds · 1:0153% → 56%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
53.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
53.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
52.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
54.0%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JONES, Jacoby thrown to the ISU28. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PORTER, Darien enforced 15 yards to the OHI48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
56.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 10 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
57.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
55.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:4351% → 51%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
49.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
48.9%
Rocco Becht pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0457% → 69%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
57.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
57.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the ISU 16Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+11
56.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the ISU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the ISU 5Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0335% → 36%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
63.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 14 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
62.4%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
63.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 31 yds, downed at the OHIO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3971% → 66%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
71.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
70.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 21Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
69.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
70.4%
Jared Wheatley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the ISU 33Similar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
65.6%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Gabe Burkle) to the ISU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5132% → 31%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+7
67.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
66.6%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+7
68.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the ISU 42Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
69.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds, downed at the OHIO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15FG
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:4775% → 85%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+22
74.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 22 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+20
74.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 20 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
76.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the ISU 39Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+15
75.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
76.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 5 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
81.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the ISU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
82.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
82.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
81.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
85.2%
Gianni Spetic 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:3019% → 14%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
80.9%
Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
79.6%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
80.9%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
79.9%
Rocco Becht sacked by Kwame Sutton for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 28Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+10
81.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 10 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
78.9%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
78.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+19
79.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
76.6%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+6
74.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 6 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
75.6%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+12
78.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 12 yds to the OHIO 19Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
86.1%
Chase Contreraz 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:2097% → 92%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
96.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
96.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Jared Wheatley punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
92.3%
BECHT, Rocco pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the OHI22; QB hurried by WATKINS, Vonnie. PENALTY OHI Pass Interference on BIRCHETTE, Justin enforced 15 yards to the ISU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:489% → 45%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+39
91.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 39 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
55.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5476% → 83%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
75.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.9%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 41Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
85.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-2
84.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
83.3%
Jared Wheatley punt for 48 yds, downed at the ISU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
78.8%
Rocco Becht pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -26 yds · 2:1389% → 96%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
88.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU27 (team loss of 11).Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 21
OPP 27
0
88.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU35 (team loss of 8).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 29
OPP 35
0
95.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at ISU42 (team loss of 7), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:15
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-36.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:15
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down
+20
TD · Q3 11:18
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com