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KU

Kansas 31 at Nevada 24

NEV
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:20 · Damon Greaves punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−42.4Home team on offense−5.8Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:25: Sean Dollars 3 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick) — NEV win probability +9.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:07: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +7.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:33: Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +16.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:00: Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +12.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:37: Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +25.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:31NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:49NEV 4th & 22 at KU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:55KU 4th & 9 at NEV 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:52NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:20KU 4th & 3 at KU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:12NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:48NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:00NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:00KU 4th & 5 at NEV 35, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−0.4
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:19NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 31, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:44NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:25NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:07KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:33NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:00KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:37NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:153% → 4%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 5 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
3.4%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the NEV 34Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
3.4%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
3.4%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Sean Dollars, broken up by Mello DotsonSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
3.4%
Ashton Hayes run for 6 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
3.8%
Matt Freem punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1497% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
2.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 6 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
2.6%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+6
2.6%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+12
2.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 12 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
2.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 20 yds to the NEV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
2.6%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the NEV 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+17
2.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 17 yds to the NEV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:4296% → 96%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
3.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin Skinner for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Defensive pass interference (KK Meier) to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
3.8%
Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
3.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm Kansas Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the KU 30Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
3.9%
pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-10
3.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold Kansas Penalty, Offensive holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the KU 20Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 25
OWN 20
-10
3.9%
Jalon Daniels sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the KU 10Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 35
OWN 10
0
4.5%
Damon Greaves punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:005% → 6%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
4.7%
Jamaal Bell run for 1 yd to the KU 47Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
4.7%
Ashton Hayes run for 2 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+17
4.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 17 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
4.8%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+13
4.8%
for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (JB Brown) to the KU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-11
4.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for a loss of 11 yards Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by NEV Jamaal BellSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 21
OPP 23
-1
4.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 1 yard Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by NEVSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 24
0
5.4%
pass incomplete to Sean DollarsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 22
OPP 24
+42
5.9%
Brandon Talton 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:5494% → 93%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
6.1%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
6.0%
pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
6.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
6.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
6.3%
Kansas Penalty, false start (Mason Fairchild) to the KU 41Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+10
6.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the NEV 49Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
6.3%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the NEV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
6.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 8 yds to the NEV 35Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
6.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke Grimm, broken up by Jaden DedmanSimilar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
6.3%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the NEV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
6.1%
pass incomplete to Trevor KardellSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
6.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the NEV 24Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-4
7.3%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+44
6.7%
Seth Keller 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:037% → 7%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.9%
Sean Dollars run for 7 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
7.2%
Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
6.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 30Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
6.9%
Matt Freem punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3293% → 92%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
7.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
7.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
7.0%
pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
7.7%
Damon Greaves punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:558% → 18%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
7.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 3 yds to the NEV 25Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+20
7.9%
Ashton Hayes run for 10 yds to the NEV 35 Kansas Penalty, Defensive holding (Caleb Taylor) to the NEV 45Similar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
8.6%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 47Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
8.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the KU 49Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+9
8.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 9 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
9.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 10 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
9.3%
Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
9.3%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the KU 23Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+20
8.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 20 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.4%
Sean Dollars 3 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:2186% → 87%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
14.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 11 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
13.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
12.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
13.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 6 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
12.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild, broken up by Aedan Seiuli Kansas Penalty, Offensive holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the KU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4816% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.3%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
15.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis, broken up by O.J. BurroughsSimilar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
15.8%
Matt Freem punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11Uncategorized
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0085% → 87%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
14.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
14.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+21
14.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 21 yds to the NEV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
13.5%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the NEV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5420% → 21%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
20.2%
Ashton Hayes run for 1 yd to the NEV 40Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-1
20.2%
Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 39Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+2
19.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 41Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
20.6%
Matt Freem punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:4181% → 89%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
19.3%
Kansas Penalty, false start (Tanaka Scott) to the KU 11Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+5
19.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
19.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 11 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
19.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+8
18.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
17.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 13 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
17.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the NEV 40Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
18.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEV 36 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by KU Jared Casey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
19.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 6 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+29
18.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 29 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.4%
Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3415% → 34%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
14.5%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+53
15.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 53 yds to the KU 8 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Mello Dotson) to the KU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
17.7%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the KU 6Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
33.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3374% → 89%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
25.8%
Nevada Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Davion Blackwell) to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+59
23.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 59 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.0%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:2315% → 45%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.2%
Ashton Hayes run for 6 yds to the NEV 31Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
16.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the NEV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
15.5%
Ashton Hayes run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+7
15.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to John Jackson III for 7 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
15.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 5 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
15.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, off-side (Austin Booker) to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
18.0%
Ashton Hayes run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+8
16.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+7
17.6%
Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
18.7%
Ashton Hayes run for 5 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+35
18.7%
Ashton Hayes run for 35 yds to the KU 1 Ashton Hayes fumbled, recovered by NEV Spencer Curtis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
19.9%
Ashton Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.9%
Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:1989% → 91%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
10.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
10.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 37Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+7
10.7%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
9.8%
Devin Neal run for 16 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
9.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the NEV 39Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
8.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
8.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the NEV 35Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+34
8.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 34 yds Nevada Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaden Dedman) to the NEV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1786% → 89%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
13.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 9 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
12.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 6 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+24
12.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 24 yds to the NEV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
11.9%
Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
12.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the NEV 25Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+16
12.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 16 yds to the NEV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
11.8%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the NEV 3Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0117% → 16%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 5 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
16.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 31 Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by NEVSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
15.8%
Matt Freem punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1615% → 11%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
14.6%
Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+9
14.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the NEV 10Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
14.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 4 yds to the NEV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
15.1%
pass incomplete to Keleki LatuSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
14.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 9 yds to the NEV 23Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
15.3%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Tooni Ikahihifo Jr., broken up by Mello DotsonSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 1
OWN 23
-3
11.2%
Jamaal Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
7.7%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:37
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+25.6
TD · Q3 3:33
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 3:00
Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com