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LIU

Long Island University 7 at Baylor 30

BAY
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.5BAY 99.4%Sawyer Robertson pass complete toDrake Dabney for 3 yds for a TD(Isaiah Hankins KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 30 · Q4 5:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:45 · Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Drake Dabney for 3 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+22.6Garbage-time factor+13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:40: Chris Howell run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK) — LIU win probability +1.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:51: Richard Reese run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:51: Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the LIU 27 — LIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:43: Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Jake Roberts — BAY win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:45: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Drake Dabney for 3 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:31BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36LIU 4th & 1 at BAY 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36BAY 4th & 1 at LIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:59LIU 4th & 3 at LIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BAY 4th & 1 at LIU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:46BAY 4th & 2 at LIU 41, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:18LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:18BAY 4th & 1 at LIU 39, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:19LIU 4th & 17 at LIU 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:23BAY 4th & 15 at BAY 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:43LIU 4th & 6 at BAY 31, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:43BAY 4th & 1 at LIU 17, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−2.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45BAY 4th & 1 at LIU 3, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:54LIU 4th & 1 at BAY 24, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:28LIU 4th & 14 at BAY 26, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:44BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:27BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:40LIU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:51BAY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:45BAY Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the BAY 25Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the BAY 26Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Hal PresleySimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Palmer Williams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the LIU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Pat Bowen run for no gain to the LIU 33Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
99.1%
Chris Howell run for 10 yds to the LIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.1%
Chris Howell run for 9 yds to the BAY 48Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
99.1%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Leak Bryant for no gain to the BAY 48Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
99.1%
Chris Howell run for no gain to the BAY 48Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Will Lynch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 5:5299% → 99%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
98.8%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the BAY 13Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kelsey Johnson for 7 yds to the BAY 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.8%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 24Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Jake Roberts for 10 yds to the BAY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 11 yds to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Monaray BaldwinSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Kelsey JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
98.8%
Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the LIU 46Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+7
98.8%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 7 yds to the LIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Drake DabneySimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
98.8%
Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+21
98.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kelsey Johnson for 21 yds to the LIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.5%
Richard Reese run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Kyren PettewaySimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Zachary Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LIU 28Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.4%
Chris Howell pass complete to Maurice Smith for 4 yds to the LIU 32Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.3%
Will Lynch punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BAY 28 , Josh Cameron returns for 5 yds to the BAY 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
18 plays · 82 yds · 8:3298% → 98%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 21Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
98.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+15
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Robertson,Sawyer pass incomplete deep left to Roberts,Jake PENALTY LIU Pass Interference (Canterbury,Kam) 15 yards from BU21 to BU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Richard Reese run for no gain to the BAY 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds to the BAY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Monaray BaldwinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+22
98.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 22 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
98.2%
Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.2%
Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the LIU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+8
98.2%
Richard Reese run for 8 yds to the LIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the LIU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
98.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the LIU 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
98.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 2 yds to the LIU 4Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
98.1%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the LIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the LIU 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.2%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the LIU 1Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 6SF
6 plays · -25 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Leak BryantSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
98.1%
Ethan Greenwood sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 8 yards to the LIU 17Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
98.1%
PENALTY LIU False Start (Fernandez,Kristos) 5 yards from LIU17 to LIU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+1
98.1%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Pat Bowen for 1 yd to the LIU 11Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+11
98.1%
run for 11 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:0998% → 98%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.4%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the BAY 28Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
98.4%
RJ Martinez pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 2 yds to the BAY 30Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
98.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 9 yds to the BAY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.4%
RJ Martinez pass complete to Jonah Burton for 5 yds to the BAY 44Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
98.4%
RJ Martinez pass complete to Bryson Washington for 1 yd to the BAY 45Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
98.4%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 6 yds to the LIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
RJ Martinez pass incomplete to Cameron BonnerSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.4%
Richard Reese run for 8 yds to the LIU 41Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Dawson Pendergrass run for no gain to the LIU 41Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
98.1%
RJ Martinez pass incomplete to Dawson PendergrassSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:063% → 4%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Howell,Chris rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIU40 (Evans,Jeremy) PENALTY LIU Illegal Block in Back (Duenas,Isaac) 10 yards from LIU41 to LIU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+24
97.7%
Pat Bowen run for 24 yds to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+35
97.3%
Chris Howell pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 35 yds to the BAY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.0%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Aviyon Smith-MackSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.6%
Chris Howell run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
96.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 18 yds Kam Canterbury fumbled, recovered by LIU Ja'Nyus MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.9%
Chris Howell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 2 yds to the BAY 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:424% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Pat Bowen run for 3 yds to the LIU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
95.9%
Chris Howell sacked by TJ Franklin for a loss of 5 yards to the LIU 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
96.2%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Pat BowenSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Will Lynch punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 6:2796% → 98%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
95.8%
Sawyer Robertson run for 14 yds to the BAY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
96.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 7 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
96.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Jake Roberts for 1 yd to the BAY 44Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+8
95.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 8 yds to the LIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Bryson WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the LIU 44Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
96.0%
Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the LIU 39Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
95.8%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the LIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
96.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
96.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 6 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
96.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+7
96.1%
Bryson Washington run for 7 yds to the LIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.0%
Richard Reese run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:323% → 3%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.0%
Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
96.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 14 yds to the LIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Owen GlascoeSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Aviyon Smith-MackSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-10
96.9%
Shotgun Howell,Chris pass complete short left to Wells,Davon for 7 yards to the LIU48 (Bobby,Devyn), out of bounds PENALTY LIU Holding (Hardin,Donnie) 10 yards from LIU41 to LIU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 20
OWN 31
+3
97.1%
Chris Howell pass complete to Jaden Dawkins for 3 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Will Lynch punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5698% → 98%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.8%
Jordan Nabors run for 4 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
97.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 7 yds to the BAY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
98.0%
Bryson Washington run for 11 yds to the LIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Monaray BaldwinSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.0%
Monaray Baldwin run for 5 yds to the BAY 47Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Jonah BurtonSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Palmer Williams punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 5:403% → 3%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
97.0%
Davon Wells run for 22 yds to the LIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.8%
Pat Bowen run for 3 yds to the LIU 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
96.6%
Kyren Petteway run for 9 yds to the BAY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
96.6%
Ethan Greenwood run for 6 yds to the BAY 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
96.4%
Aviyon Smith-Mack run for 3 yds to the BAY 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
96.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the BAY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.2%
Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the BAY 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
96.2%
Ethan Greenwood run for 8 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
96.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 4 yds to the BAY 31Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-12
96.8%
Ethan Greenwood sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 12 yards to the BAY 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:5898% → 99%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+31
97.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 31 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.0%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the LIU 22Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
98.0%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
97.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the LIU 17Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
97.7%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 5 yds to the LIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.0%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the LIU 10Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+7
97.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 7 yds to the LIU 3Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Drake Dabney for 3 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:171% → 0%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
99.5%
Jaden Dawkins run for 42 yds to the BAY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.4%
Chris Howell run for 1 yd to the BAY 32Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+7
99.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 7 yds to the BAY 25Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
99.5%
Aviyon Smith-Mack run for 1 yd to the BAY 24Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
99.5%
Pat Bowen run for 2 yds to the BAY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.4%
Chris Howell pass complete to Davon Wells for 1 yd to the BAY 23Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+2
99.5%
Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the BAY 21Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-5
99.5%
PENALTY LIU False Start (Hardin,Donnie) 5 yards from BU21 to BU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 14
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Davon WellsSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+28
99.6%
Michael Coney 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Trey Wilson , Alfonzo Allen return for 28 yds to the LIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
99.7%
Jordan Jenkins run for 16 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.7%
Jordan Jenkins run for 3 yds to the LIU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:51
Richard Reese run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q4 5:45
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Drake Dabney for 3 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 0:40
Chris Howell run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com