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SUU

Southern Utah 16 at BYU 41

BYU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:01 · Tyler Graham 45 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+21.5Home team on offense+17.0Score differential+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2Garbage-time factor+5.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:36: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 8 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 5:47: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 42 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:47: Timeout BYU, clock 05:47 — SUU win probability +2.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:30: Deion Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:00: Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK) — SUU win probability +2.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SUU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:23BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17SUU 4th & 4 at BYU 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:26SUU 4th & 9 at BYU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09SUU 4th & 13 at SUU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:10SUU 4th & 6 at SUU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:34BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:52BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:01SUU 4th & 4 at BYU 28, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:01BYU 4th & 3 at SUU 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:39SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:48BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 6, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:44BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 26, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:59SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 29, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SUU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:03BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:36BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:47BYU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30BYU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:00SUU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:36BYU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:39BYU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:15SUU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:3796% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Aidan RobbinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.3%
Parker Kingston run for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
96.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
96.3%
Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short middle to Roberts,Chase for 17 yards to the SUU42 (Gola-Callard,Tre) PENALTY BYU Illegal Touch-Pass (Roberts,Chase) 5 yards from BYU41 to BYU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
95.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SUU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:064% → 5%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
95.7%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 20 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
95.6%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 14 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
95.6%
Braedon Wissler run for 8 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
95.6%
Grady Robison pass incomplete to Isaiah WoodenSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
95.6%
Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Isaiah WoodenSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.6%
Targhee Lambson run for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
95.6%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Timothy PatrickSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
94.6%
Tyler Graham 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4295% → 95%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
94.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
94.5%
Kedon Slovis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:006% → 6%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
94.2%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
94.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Braedon WisslerSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
94.1%
Justin Miller punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:2394% → 94%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
93.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 11 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
93.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 13 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.0%
Deion Smith run for 7 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
94.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+16
94.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 16 yds to the SUU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
93.0%
Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the SUU 32Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
93.1%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+12
93.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 12 yds to the SUU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
94.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 20 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:157% → 7%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
Grady Robison run for 2 yds to the SUU 27Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
93.1%
Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Justin Miller pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.3%
Alyas Vigil punt blocked by Harrison Taggart blockedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:1294% → 95%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+17
93.5%
LJ Martin run for 17 yds to the SUU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
93.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to LJ Martin for 5 yds to the SUU 14Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
93.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 6 yds to the SUU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 8 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
Q2 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
95.3%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Etienne,Caleb) 5 yards from SUU03 to SUU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:276% → 6%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.3%
Justin Miller pass complete to Timothy Patrick for 11 yds to the SUU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.1%
Braedon Wissler run for no gain to the SUU 36Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
94.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.3%
PENALTY SUU Delay Of Game (Robison,Grady) 5 yards from SUU36 to SUU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+2
94.4%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 33Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
94.1%
Alyas Vigil punt for 45 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for no gain to the BYU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:2296% → 98%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Deion SmithSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
95.5%
Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+8
95.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+3
95.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for 3 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+19
95.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 19 yds to the SUU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for no gain to the SUU 42Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 42 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:374% → 4%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.9%
Braedon Wissler run for 5 yds to the SUU 30Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
95.8%
Landon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SUU 29Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Landon FreemanSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.0%
Alyas Vigil punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3698% → 97%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.6%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+4
97.6%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
97.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Wooden returns for no gain to the SUU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
96.1%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 2 yds to the SUU 18Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
96.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+18
96.2%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 18 yds to the SUU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Timothy Patrick for 5 yds to the SUU 41Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
95.7%
Justin Miller pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:3797% → 98%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+65
96.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 65 yds to the SUU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.8%
Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass incomplete short left to Robbins,Aidan PENALTY SUU Illegal Substitution 3 yards from SUU05 to SUU02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Targhee Lambson run for 3 yds to the SUU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:002% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 4 yds to the SUU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
97.5%
Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
97.6%
Justin Miller pass complete to Francisco Calderon for 6 yds to the SUU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
97.5%
Ethan Bolingbroke pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 27 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
97.3%
Southern Utah Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OPP 49
+16
97.6%
Targhee Lambson run for 16 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+33
95.4%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0297% → 97%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
97.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 12 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.0%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
96.9%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
96.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 64 yds , Ethan Bolingbroke returns for no gain to the SUU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:514% → 4%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
95.8%
Targhee Lambson run for no gain to the SUU 2Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
96.0%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Timothy PatrickSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+29
96.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 29 yds to the SUU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
95.3%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Ethan Slade) to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.9%
PENALTY SUU False Start (Leausa,Austin) 5 yards from BYU48 to SUU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+19
95.4%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 19 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.6%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Timothy PatrickSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
94.7%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 7 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+1
94.8%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
96.0%
Tyler Graham 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:2598% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.4%
Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass incomplete short right to Rex,Isaac QB hurried by Purcell,Anisi PENALTY SUU Roughing The Passer (Purcell,Anisi) 15 yards from BYU28 to BYU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
98.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the SUU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.5%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the SUU 45Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
98.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+6
98.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 6 yds to the SUU 39Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+8
98.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 8 yds to the SUU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
98.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keanu Hill for 25 yds to the SUU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Kedon Slovis run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:211% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Grady Robison run for 11 yds to the SUU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Isaiah Wooden run for no gain to the SUU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
99.0%
Justin Miller run for 8 yds to the SUU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.0%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Alyas Vigil punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.8%
Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the BYU 5Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
99.8%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 15
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 10
OWN 6
0
99.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the SUU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 39 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:240% → 0%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 1 yd to the SUU 24Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Landon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SUU 27Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
99.9%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 20 yds to the SUU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 7
50
+30
100.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 30 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
100.0%
Justin Miller pass complete to Francisco Calderon for 18 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Targhee Lambson run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Cade Fennegan run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Cade Fennegan run for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds , Ethan Bolingbroke returns for no gain to the SUU 29 Ethan Bolingbroke fumbled, recovered by SUU Ethan Bolingbroke , return for 3 yds to the SUU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jordan Jefferson run for no gain to the SUU 29Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Grady Robison run for no gain to the SUU 29Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jackson Berry pass incomplete to Nick MaciasSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Alyas Vigil punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Kneel down by BYU at BYU36 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Kneel down by BYU at BYU34 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:30
Deion Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 5:47
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 42 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q3 11:00
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com