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UCF

UCF 18 at Boise State 16

BOIS
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1BOIS 49.2%Colton Boomer 55 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 10 · Q2 1:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:01 · Colton Boomer 55 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense−0.8Pregame prior−5.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score differential+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:20: Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:14: Jonah Dalmas 56 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:01: Colton Boomer 55 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +1.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: — UCF win probability +1.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:55: RJ Harvey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — BOIS win probability +15.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:27UCF 4th & 8 at BOIS 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:23BOIS 4th & 12 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:01UCF 4th & 1 at BOIS 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:07BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:32UCF 4th & 6 at BOIS 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:58UCF 4th & 4 at UCF 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:14BOIS 4th & 10 at UCF 38, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01UCF 4th & 6 at BOIS 36, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:37BOIS 4th & 6 at midfield, up 1
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:21BOIS 4th & 26 at BOIS 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−6.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:02UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 44, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:17BOIS 4th & 2 at UCF 32, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−4.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−10.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:20BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:5659% → 59%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
40.9%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-2
40.6%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 27Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+39
40.9%
Xavier Townsend run for 39 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
40.2%
pass incomplete to Javon BakerSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
40.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
40.4%
pass incomplete to Xavier TownsendSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
40.8%
Colton Boomer 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2INT
4 plays · 60 yds · 13:4561% → 60%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
39.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
41.4%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 49 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
39.6%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 11 yds to the BOIS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 13:4539% → 42%
Q1 13:45
3RD & 12
50
0
39.4%
pass incomplete to Ashton JeantySimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 12
50
0
40.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 50 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
41.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 8Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+9
41.6%
Taylen Green run for 9 yds to the BOIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
41.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+13
42.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
42.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 17 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
43.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
50
0
42.6%
pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
50
0
42.1%
pass incomplete to Ashton JeantySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 4:2045% → 47%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
45.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
46.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 23 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
47.3%
Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
47.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
47.1%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:0155% → 56%
Q1 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
44.6%
Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
46.0%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 20 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
44.7%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+29
44.5%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 29 yds to the BOIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
43.6%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the BOIS 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
43.6%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the BOIS 17Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
44.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:5346% → 46%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
45.8%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the BOIS 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
45.8%
Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+9
45.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 9 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
45.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
47.3%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
47.5%
pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
46.5%
pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
46.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7FG
3 plays · 78 yds · 6:1852% → 54%
Q2 9:22
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+14
47.6%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 14 yds to the BOIS 15Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
46.8%
Colton Boomer 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
46.1%
RJ Harvey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BOIS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 6:43
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
48.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 5:58
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+7
50.9%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 54 yds , Chase Penry returns for 7 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10FG
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 3:14
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
52.3%
Jonah Dalmas 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4751% → 53%
Q2 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
48.6%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-5
50.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (Lokahi Pauole) to the BOIS 36Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+55
49.2%
Colton Boomer 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.3%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:3553% → 53%
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
52.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
53.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 9 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
55.0%
pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
53.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:0955% → 56%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
54.5%
Jambres Dubar run for 6 yds to the BOIS 26Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
54.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 25Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
53.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Chase Penry for 8 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
55.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
57.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
57.6%
pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
56.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
50
0
57.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs, broken up by Ricky BarberSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 6
50
0
56.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:4157% → 56%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
57.4%
pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+13
56.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 13 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
57.8%
Jambres Dubar run for 24 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
62.2%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-10
62.1%
Maddux Madsen sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BOIS 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 43
-5
57.5%
Maddux Madsen sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 38Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 26
OWN 38
+5
56.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 53 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 5 yds to the UCF 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 12:5658% → 64%
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
57.5%
Taylen Green pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
58.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 17 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
63.1%
pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+21
62.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 21 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.3%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16INT
8 plays · 75 yds · 9:4652% → 50%
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
48.4%
John Rhys Plumlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
57.5%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+10
57.9%
RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
57.2%
RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+17
54.6%
Johnny Richardson run for 17 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
52.7%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+31
52.4%
Johnny Richardson run for 31 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
50.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:1748% → 44%
Q3 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
52.5%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
54.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 5 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
52.8%
Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
55.8%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
57.9%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+12
57.6%
RJ Harvey run for 12 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
57.2%
RJ Harvey run for 8 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
54.6%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
55.9%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0632% → 35%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Riley Smith for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
34.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
35.6%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 39Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+7
32.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+14
34.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 14 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
38.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
38.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
37.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+4
29.8%
Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
35.8%
Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
34.8%
pass incomplete to Shea WhitingSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Billy Bowens, broken up by Nikai MartinezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 7:5549% → 90%
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.6%
RJ Harvey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
12.5%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
12.3%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+16
13.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
12.4%
Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-10
12.0%
UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Zach Marsh Wojan) to the UCF 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+4
12.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+53
13.4%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 53 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
9.7%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the BOIS 8Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+4
9.7%
for a 1ST down Boise State Penalty, off-side (Demitri Washington) to the BOIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.7%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:3188% → 89%
Q4 0:31
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
12.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the BOIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
12.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 22Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
12.3%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
12.4%
pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
12.3%
UCF Penalty, false start (Marcellus Marshall) to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+16
12.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 16 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
11.5%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 11 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
10.6%
RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
10.6%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:55
RJ Harvey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+15.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-10.6
TD · Q1 4:20
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com