Try the model
SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 0 at Kansas State 45

KSU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameKEY PLAY-0.7KSU 95.4%Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to RyanFlournoy for 6 yds to the KSU 37AWAY 0 - HOME 7 · Q1 4:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:39 · Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the KSU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+42.7Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:33: Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — SEMO win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 4:39: Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the KSU 37 — SEMO win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:57: Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:13: Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 37 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:35: Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SEMO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:36SEMO 4th & 13 at SEMO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:39SEMO 4th & 8 at KSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:42SEMO 4th & 15 at SEMO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00KSU 4th & 1 at SEMO 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:29SEMO 4th & 4 at SEMO 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14SEMO 4th & 23 at SEMO 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:17KSU 4th & 16 at SEMO 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:01SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:58KSU 4th & 5 at SEMO 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:12SEMO 4th & 4 at SEMO 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:00SEMO 4th & 12 at KSU 40, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46KSU 4th & 4 at SEMO 4, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:36SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 8, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:46KSU 4th & 22 at KSU 46, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:33KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:57KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:13KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:35KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:38KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:30KSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.8%
Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMO 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
96.8%
Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Austin Moore and Damian Ilalio for a loss of 4 yards to the SEMO 22Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
96.6%
Adam Heston punt for 45 yds, downed at the KSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:0397% → 96%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
96.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for a loss of 9 yards to the KSU 24Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+17
96.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
96.6%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.6%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 4
50
-5
96.6%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 45Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
96.6%
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the SEMO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the SEMO 40Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
96.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 5 yds to the SEMO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
96.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 2 yds to the SEMO 33Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
96.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:544% → 5%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.1%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMO 22Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
96.1%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 10 yds to the SEMO 32 Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SEMO 20Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Geno Hess run for no gain to the SEMO 20Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+24
96.2%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 24 yds to the SEMO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.1%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the SEMO 46Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
96.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 7 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
96.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 5 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
96.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-15
96.1%
Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SEMO 45Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+12
96.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 12 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+6
95.4%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the KSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3196% → 95%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
95.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
95.4%
Will Howard pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:265% → 5%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
95.1%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 47Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-4
95.3%
Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Austin Moore and Uso Seumalo for a loss of 4 yards to the SEMO 49Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Adam Heston punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:4595% → 96%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
95.2%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 17Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+40
95.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 40 yds to the SEMO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.4%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the SEMO 40Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
95.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the SEMO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
94.9%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the SEMO 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
94.9%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the SEMO 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
94.7%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the SEMO 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
94.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+15
94.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 15 yds to the SEMO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the SEMO 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Will Howard run for no gain to the SEMO 1Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.9%
Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:285% → 5%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 6 yds to the SEMO 31Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
95.3%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 12 yds to the SEMO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.3%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 6 yds to the SEMO 49Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Adam Heston punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:1696% → 98%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
95.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KSU 14Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+13
95.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 13 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
95.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
96.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 9 yds to the SEMO 42Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
96.1%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the SEMO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
97.8%
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 37 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:493% → 3%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Geno Hess run for no gain to the SEMO 18Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Adam Heston punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:4298% → 99%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
98.0%
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 9 yds to the SEMO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
97.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 33 yds Ben Sinnott fumbled, recovered by KSU RJ Garcia II for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:211% → 1%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 6 yds to the SEMO 31Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
99.2%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 16 yds to the SEMO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
99.2%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 13 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-13
99.2%
Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 13 yards to the SEMO 47Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 23
OWN 47
-1
99.3%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 46Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+1
99.3%
Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMO 47Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Adam Heston punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+43
99.2%
DJ Giddens run for 43 yds to the SEMO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.2%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the SEMO 44Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+12
99.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the SEMO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.2%
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 11 yds to the SEMO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.2%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the SEMO 13Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+5
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the SEMO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.4%
Treshaun Ward pass complete to Will Howard for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.6%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 4 yds to the SEMO 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
99.6%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 8 yds to the SEMO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.5%
DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.5%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the SEMO 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+19
99.5%
DJ Giddens run for 19 yds to the SEMO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.5%
HOWARD, Will pass to the right incomplete intended for BROOKS, Phillip thrown to the SEM15. PENALTY KSU Holding on WILLIS, Carver enforced 10 yards from the SEM27 to the SEM37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+3
99.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the SEMO 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+1
99.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 1 yd to the SEMO 33Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 16
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 16
OPP 33
+51
99.6%
Chris Tennant 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Danny Joiner for 16 yds to the SEMO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.6%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 3 yds to the SEMO 44Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-5
99.6%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 5 yds to the SEMO 49 Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SEMO 38Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-15
99.7%
DELAURENT, Paxton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FLOURNOY, Ryan thrown to the KSU41. PENALTY SEM Pass Interference on ANDERSON, Dorian enforced 15 yards to the SEM23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 28
OWN 23
+14
99.7%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 14 yds to the SEMO 37Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Mitchell Sellers for 6 yds to the SEMO 43Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Adam Heston punt for 54 yds, downed at the KSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+44
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 44 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KSU 48Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+4
99.7%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the SEMO 48Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Jack Blumer punt for 40 yds, downed at the SEMO 8Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
99.8%
DELAURENT, Paxton pass to the left incomplete intended for VICK, Damoriea thrown to the SEM18. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on GARBER, Keenan enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the SEM18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Jack Clinkenbeard for 5 yds to the SEMO 23Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
99.8%
Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMO 24Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+11
99.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 11 yds to the SEMO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 34Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 8 yds to the SEMO 42Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
99.8%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 41Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Adam Heston punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:42100% → 100%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KSU 22Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.8%
Avery Johnson run for 15 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 16 yds to the SEMO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
99.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 24 yds to the SEMO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Anthony Frias II run for 6 yds to the SEMO 7Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Avery Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD (Leyton Simmering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Keveon Robbins run for no gain to the SEMO 25Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Mitchell Sellers for 15 yds to the SEMO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the SEMO 46Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+16
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 16 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 40Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 12
OPP 40
-16
99.9%
Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 16 yards to the SEMO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the SEMO 39Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+15
99.9%
Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Personal Foul (Henry Pickens III) to the SEMO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the SEMO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the SEMO 9Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.9%
Avery Johnson run for 8 yds to the SEMO 1Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMO 4Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.9%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMO 5Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for no gain to the SEMO 5Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
Patrick Heitert run for 3 yds to the SEMO 8Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Adam Heston punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the SEMO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jayce Brown run for no gain to the SEMO 42Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 21
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 22
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-11
99.9%
JACKSON, Joe rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the SEM38 (MORRISSEY, Jacob). PENALTY KSU Holding on HECHT, Sam enforced 11 yards from the SEM42 to the KSU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 22
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jack Blumer punt for 42 yds, downed at the SEMO 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 28 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
100.0%
Patrick Heitert pass complete to Jaylan West for 8 yds to the SEMO 20Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the SEMO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for 11 yds to the SEMO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for 1 yd to the SEMO 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the SEMO 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:13
Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 37 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 5:35
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 11:57
Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com