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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 13 at Cincinnati 66

CIN
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-0.4CIN 92.5%Emory Jones pass complete to XzavierHenderson for 49 yds for a TD (CarterBrown KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 7 · Q1 11:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:45 · Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 49 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+41.5Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:45: Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 49 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — EKU win probability +0.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:52: Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 39 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — CIN win probability +1.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:41: Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — CIN win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:47: Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — CIN win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:17: Emory Jones run for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — CIN win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:45CIN 4th & 5 at EKU 49, tied
    Close callWent for it · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:59EKU 4th & 9 at EKU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:27EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:41CIN 4th & 1 at EKU 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:21EKU 4th & 4 at EKU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:21CIN 4th & 19 at EKU 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:02EKU 4th & 1 at CIN 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:12EKU 4th & 17 at CIN 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:30EKU 4th & 7 at CIN 26, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:35EKU 4th & 2 at EKU 33, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:18CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 38, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9EKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:45CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:41CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:47CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:17CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:08EKU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:49CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:42CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:39CIN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:37CIN Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0993% → 93%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
93.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
93.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the CIN 35Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+11
93.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 48Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
93.0%
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
50
-10
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Emory pass complete short middle to Henderson,Xzavier for 13 yards to the EKU37 (Bembry,Deonta; Blake,Logan) PENALTY CIN Holding (Williams,John) 10 yards from EKU50 to CIN40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+11
92.9%
Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the EKU 49Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+49
92.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 49 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:388% → 8%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
92.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 9 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
92.4%
Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the CIN 45Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
92.4%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Bunn,Isaiah) 5 yards from CIN45 to CIN50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 6
50
-3
92.4%
Parker McKinney sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 47Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+8
92.1%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 48 yds , Braden Smith returns for 8 yds to the CIN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 2:0792% → 93%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
92.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the CIN 19Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+2
92.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the CIN 21Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+9
92.0%
Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
92.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 31 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
93.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 39 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Joshua Carter run for no gain to the EKU 25Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 29Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jalen BurbageSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
92.7%
Edwards,Jeremy punt 42 yards to the CIN29 fair catch by Smith,Braden at CIN29 PENALTY CIN Running Into The Kicker (Williams,Jah-Mal) 5 yards from EKU29 to EKU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.6%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 49 yds , Braden Smith returns for 3 yds to the CIN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4693% → 95%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 22Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+25
93.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 25 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
93.1%
Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 48Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
93.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
93.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chris Scott for 32 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
93.2%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the EKU 4Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Evan PraterSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.1%
PENALTY EKU Offside (Fall,Cheikh) 2 yards from EKU04 to EKU02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.1%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the EKU 1Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.5%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6INT
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:255% → 5%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
94.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker sacked for loss of 2 yards to the EKU25 (Pace,Deshawn) PENALTY EKU Holding 10 yards from EKU27 to EKU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+21
94.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 21 yds to the EKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.6%
Parker McKinney run for 3 yds to the EKU 41Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-5
94.6%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Magloire,Kyeandre) 5 yards from EKU41 to EKU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
95.0%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+23
95.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
94.7%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 3 yds to the CIN 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+13
94.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Kyeandre Magloire for 13 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.6%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
94.8%
Parker McKinney pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:2395% → 98%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+54
95.3%
Corey Kiner run for 54 yds to the EKU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
95.5%
Aaron Turner run for 13 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
95.5%
Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the EKU 1Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.6%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
97.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the EKU 23Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Parker McKinney run for 1 yd to the EKU 24Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+11
97.8%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 52 yds , Braden Smith returns for 11 yds to the CIN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:0498% → 99%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
97.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 29 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
97.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the EKU 27Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
97.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
97.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 10 yds to the EKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.7%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
97.7%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the EKU 12Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
98.5%
Emory Jones run for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:031% → 2%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
98.7%
Joshua Carter run for 34 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 3 yds to the CIN 37Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+20
98.5%
Joshua Carter run for 20 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 4:1499% → 99%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.5%
Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the CIN 19Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
98.5%
Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the CIN 21Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+7
98.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 7 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
98.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Evan Prater for 13 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.6%
Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+1
98.8%
Ethan Wright run for 1 yd to the CIN 44Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+13
98.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 13 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Emory pass complete short right to Montgomery,Ryan for 5 yards to the EKU38, out of bounds at EKU38 PENALTY CIN Holding (Buford,Deondre) 10 yards from EKU43 to CIN47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+5
99.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 48Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+48
99.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 48 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the EKU 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:121% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Hunter BrownSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
Parker McKinney sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 5 yards to the EKU 20 Parker McKinney fumbled, recovered by CIN Daniel Grzesiak , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14FG
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.2%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the EKU 16Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
99.3%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the EKU 20Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.2%
PENALTY CIN False Start (Tinsley,Dartanyan) 5 yards from EKU20 to EKU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-4
99.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Ryan Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the EKU 29Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 19
OPP 29
+46
99.4%
Carter Brown 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the EKU 36Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+21
99.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 21 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
99.4%
Joshua Carter run for 13 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 8 yds to the CIN 22Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
99.3%
Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the CIN 21Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+4
99.2%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the CIN 25 Joshua Carter fumbled, recovered by EKU Isaiah BunnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.6%
Emory Jones sacked by Cheikhsaliou Fall for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 19 Emory Jones fumbled, recovered by EKU Cheikhsaliou Fall , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds to the CIN 10Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-5
99.4%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Ezirim,Josiah) 5 yards from CIN10 to CIN15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Bryant JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-11
99.5%
Parker McKinney sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 11 yards to the CIN 26Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+42
99.5%
Patrick Nations 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.6%
Corey Kiner run for 14 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.6%
Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+9
99.6%
Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.7%
Aaron Turner run for 12 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 13 yds to the EKU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.7%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the EKU 20Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the EKU 18Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+8
99.6%
Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.7%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the EKU 7Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the EKU 6Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jackson HensleySimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+16
99.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mena Mannan for 16 yds to the EKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jayden WestSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.8%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 9 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+9
99.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the EKU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 9 yds to the EKU 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the EKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the EKU 4 Myles Montgomery fumbled, recovered by CIN Myles MontgomerySimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Brady Lichtenberg run for 4 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 7:090% → 0%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKU 37Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.9%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Collins,Payton) 5 yards from EKU47 to EKU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the EKU 42Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 13 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 4 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the CIN 42Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
Brayden Latham run for 10 yds to the CIN 32Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Cameron Hergott pass incomplete to Ethan BednarczykSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 8 yds to the CIN 21Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Cameron Hergott run for 5 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
100.0%
Patrick Nations 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CIN 24Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Ethan Wright run for 1 yd to the CIN 25Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Ethan Wright for 10 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
100.0%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Barry Jackson Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 4 yds to the EKU 29Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 31Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 33Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+12
100.0%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 12 yds to the CIN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Brady Drogosh run for 8 yds to the CIN 48Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Brady Drogosh run for 3 yds to the CIN 45 Brady Drogosh fumbled, recovered by CIN Brady DrogoshSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Brady Drogosh run for 2 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 7
OWN 43
-5
100.0%
PENALTY CIN Delay Of Game 5 yards from CIN43 to CIN38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the EKU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:47
Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q1 1:41
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 6:52
Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 39 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com