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KENT

Kent State 6 at UCF 56

UCF
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Curtis Douglas run for 12 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:56: John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 9 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — KENT win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:07: John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 3:20: Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:46: Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:37: John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 50 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 8:57KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:20KENT 4th & 7 at UCF 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:31KENT 4th & 10 at UCF 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00UCF 4th & 2 at KENT 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:34KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:43KENT 4th & 6 at UCF 49, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:55UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:33KENT 4th & 9 at UCF 44, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:49KENT 4th & 14 at UCF 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:13KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 35, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:00KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:56UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:07UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:46UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:37UCF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:07UCF Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:26UCF Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:54UCF Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 10:5698% → 97%
Q1 10:56
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
98.0%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 9 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 13 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
96.8%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
96.9%
UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Drake Metcalf) to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+4
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Demarkcus Bowman for 4 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+15
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 15 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+10
96.8%
RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
96.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 19 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.9%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the KENT 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
96.9%
pass incomplete to Javon BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 8:572% → 3%
Q1 8:57
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
97.9%
Josh Smith punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.7%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
96.6%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-5
96.7%
Kent State Penalty, false start (Andrew Page) to the KENT 23Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-6
96.8%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 6:0798% → 98%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.0%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
97.6%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 16 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
97.7%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
97.6%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the KENT 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
97.6%
Kent State Penalty, off-side (Oliver Billotte) to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
97.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
97.7%
RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:203% → 3%
Q1 3:20
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+45
97.3%
Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray Kent State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the KENT 20Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+26
97.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, roughing passer (Tre'Mon Morris-Brash) to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 10 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
96.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
96.8%
pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 13 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
96.7%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+5
96.7%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Brandon AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5Uncategorized
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.0%
RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+32
97.0%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 32 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
97.1%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 8 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-10
97.1%
UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Tylan Grable) to the KENT 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+7
97.1%
Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the KENT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:293% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
96.9%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+13
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 13 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.8%
pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
96.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.8%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
96.7%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+9
96.8%
Michael Alaimo run for 9 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
96.7%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
96.8%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
96.7%
Andrew Glass 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:4597% → 98%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.9%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-5
96.8%
UCF Penalty, false start (Bula Schmidt) to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+32
96.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 32 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.0%
pass incomplete to Xavier TownsendSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
97.0%
Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+23
96.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Devin Nicholson) to the KENT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
97.0%
Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+5
97.0%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the KENT 7Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
97.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 5 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.8%
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 7:563% → 1%
Q2 7:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Josh Smith punt for 24 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Brandon AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 4:5799% → 99%
Q2 4:57
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
98.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.2%
Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
99.2%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Demarkcus Bowman for 3 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
99.2%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the KENT 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+3
99.1%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.2%
Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the KENT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10INT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:483% → 1%
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Michael Alaimo pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+15
98.8%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Braeden Marshall) to the KENT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.8%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-2
98.7%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+8
98.8%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+8
98.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 8 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+13
98.8%
Johnny Richardson run for 13 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 3 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 2 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+22
98.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 22 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
99.0%
Xavier Townsend run for 28 yds to the KENT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.1%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Alec Holler for 18 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.1%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 12:341% → 1%
Q3 12:34
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Josh Smith punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.5%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 6 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 10:37100% → 100%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.7%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 50 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 8:430% → 0%
Q3 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Josh Smith punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray, broken up by Nikai MartinezSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Hayden Junker for 11 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Chrishon McCray run for 3 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr., broken up by Corey ThorntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 6:55100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 1 yd to the UCF 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+21
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 21 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Javon BakerSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, false start (Marcellus Marshall) to the UCF 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Randy Pittman Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 4:331% → 0%
Q3 4:33
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
99.4%
pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+24
99.9%
Michael Alaimo run for 24 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Treymon EcholsSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
99.9%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q3 4:07
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+48
99.9%
RJ Harvey run for 48 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jaylon Griffin for 8 yds to the KENT 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 0:49
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Andrew Glass 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+36
99.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 36 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+13
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 13 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-6
99.9%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20Uncategorized
7 plays · 63 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+33
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 43 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (Jarrad Baker) to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the KENT 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+24
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 24 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Jarrad BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 10:130% → 0%
Q4 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Josh Smith punt for 27 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
100.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
100.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 14 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
100.0%
Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Trell Harris, broken up by Corey ThorntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 7:26100% → 100%
Q4 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+33
100.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jordan McDonald for 33 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 3 yds to the KENT 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to Trent WhittemoreSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+16
100.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
100.0%
Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q4 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Charlie Durkin punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
100.0%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 5 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 9 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 4 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 10 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to Tyler GriffinSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+22
100.0%
Timmy McClain run for 22 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 12 yds to the KENT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 6 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Curtis Douglas run for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+12
100.0%
Curtis Douglas run for 12 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:07
John Rhys Plumlee run for 17 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 8:46
Jordan McDonald run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q1 3:20
Andrew Glass 45 yd FG GOOD
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com