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Missouri State 17 at Kansas 48

KU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.7KU 93.1%Seth Keller 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 17 · Q2 1:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:05 · Seth Keller 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+33.3Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+1.5Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:03: Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:05: Seth Keller 28 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:29: Dylan McDuffie run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:57: Jmariyae Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK) — MOST win probability +6.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:18: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MOST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:00MOST 4th & 16 at MOST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22MOST 4th & 5 at MOST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47MOST 4th & 8 at KU 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:21KU 4th & 1 at MOST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:11MOST 4th & 2 at KU 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07MOST 4th & 2 at MOST 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05KU 4th & 5 at MOST 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12MOST 4th & 8 at MOST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:25MOST 4th & 1 at MOST 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:18KU 4th & 17 at MOST 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:49KU 4th & 5 at MOST 6, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:20MOST 4th & 3 at MOST 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MOST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:11KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:24MOST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:03KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:29KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:57MOST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:18KU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:49KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:57KU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MOSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Tchio,Gilles) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
97.3%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 3 yds to the MOST 23Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
97.2%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 24Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
97.1%
Jacob Clark sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 19Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Grant Burkett punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:4397% → 97%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
97.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
96.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
97.0%
Devin Neal run for 48 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:383% → 3%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.9%
Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 8 yds to the MOST 33Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.8%
Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 28Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
96.8%
Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the MOST 30Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Grant Burkett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0997% → 97%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 7 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
96.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 44Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
96.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 46 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by MOST Todric McGeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 5TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:374% → 6%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
96.4%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Moore,Stetson) 5 yards from KAN46 to MSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+4
96.5%
Jacob Clark run for 4 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
96.4%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the KU 49Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+5
96.3%
Jacob Clark run for 5 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+15
96.2%
Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 15 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KU 30Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+1
95.8%
Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the KU 29Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+15
95.8%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Sharpe,Raylen QB hurried by Booker,Austin PENALTY KAN Roughing The Passer (Booker,Austin) 15 yards from KAN29 to KAN14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
95.6%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+15
95.4%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 15 yds Hunter Wood fumbled, recovered by MOST Hunter Wood for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.3%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Raylen SharpeSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.3%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 2 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:4995% → 95%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
94.9%
Jason Bean run for 14 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jared Lloyd) to the MOST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
95.0%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the MOST 30Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+3
94.8%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the MOST 27Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
94.7%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the MOST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 7FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:496% → 8%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
94.1%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 29Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+17
94.0%
Jacob Clark run for 17 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
93.5%
Jacardia Wright run for 26 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.0%
Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
92.8%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
92.7%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
92.4%
Owen Rozanc 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0392% → 94%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+52
92.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 52 yds to the MOST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:516% → 7%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
94.3%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 20Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+8
94.1%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
93.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 27Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+10
93.8%
Jacob Clark run for 10 yds to the MOST 37Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
93.4%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.1%
Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 40Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
93.1%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the MOST 48Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
92.6%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to DVontae KeySimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5693% → 93%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
92.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 16 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
92.7%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
92.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+18
92.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
92.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 1 yd to the MOST 48Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+32
92.7%
Jason Bean run for 17 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Todric McGee) to the MOST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
92.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the MOST 15Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
92.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 1 yd to the MOST 14Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
92.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 3 yds to the MOST 11Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
93.1%
Seth Keller 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:537% → 7%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.2%
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game (Clark,Jacob) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Raylen SharpeSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
93.4%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass complete short right to Sharpe,Raylen for 6 yards to the MSU26 (Logan Jr.,Kenny), out of bounds PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ike,Danielson) 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
93.3%
Celdon Manning run for 3 yds to the MOST 18Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+9
93.4%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 9 yds to the MOST 27Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0893% → 93%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
92.5%
J. Bean takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:1392% → 96%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
92.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 15 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.8%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the MOST 45Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
92.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
92.5%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
92.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the MOST 33Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
92.5%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
92.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 9 yds to the MOST 20Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+3
92.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 3 yds to the MOST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
95.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:575% → 5%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 3 yds to the MOST 28Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
94.8%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 30Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
94.7%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 1 yd to the MOST 29Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.1%
PENALTY KAN Offside (Purdy,Kaleb) 5 yards from MSU29 to MSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:0196% → 97%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
95.6%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+4
95.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Torry Locklin for 4 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+14
95.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 14 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
95.9%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
95.9%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+47
95.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 47 yds to the MOST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the MOST 7Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jared CaseySimilar
Q3 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
96.0%
Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the MOST 2Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
95.6%
PENALTY KAN UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ford Jr.,Michael) 15 yards from MSU02 to MSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
97.0%
Seth Keller 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:043% → 11%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
96.9%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 22 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
96.7%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 27 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
96.2%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KU 27Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+18
96.3%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 18 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
96.4%
Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.5%
Jmariyae Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3092% → 98%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
91.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the KU 29Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
91.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
92.5%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+11
92.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 11 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
92.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MOST 40Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+16
92.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 16 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Jacob Clark pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1098% → 99%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
97.9%
Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the MOST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the MOST 14Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+8
98.0%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the MOST 6Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
98.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 6 yds for a TD (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 20INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:321% → 1%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 21Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Jacob Clark pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.5%
Sevion Morrison run for 9 yds to the MOST 14Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+3
99.5%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the MOST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.6%
Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds to the MOST 5Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the MOST 29Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Jayden Becks run for 3 yds to the MOST 32Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae RobinsonSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Grant Burkett punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds to the MOST 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
100.0%
C. Ballard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
Jmariyae Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q4 10:18
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q3 10:29
Dylan McDuffie run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com