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VT

Virginia Tech 55 at Virginia 17

UVA
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:46 · Daniel Sparks punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−11.3Score differential−5.8Garbage-time factor−3.1Pregame prior−6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:58: John Love 41 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +1.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:21: Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 44 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +3.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:53: Tucker Holloway run for 33 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +9.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:30: Bhayshul Tuten run for 32 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +7.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:12: Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 84 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +6.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:58VT 4th & 16 at UVA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:56UVA 4th & 12 at UVA 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26VT 4th & 11 at VT 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:45UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21VT 4th & 2 at UVA 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−1.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:25UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:46UVA 4th & 18 at UVA 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:04VT 4th & 2 at UVA 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.5%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:25UVA 4th & 12 at UVA 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:59VT 4th & 4 at VT 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02UVA 4th & 29 at VT 37, down 24
    Numbers favored punt by 2.9 ptsWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    16.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:27UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:44UVA 4th & 6 at VT 7, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:34VT 4th & 10 at UVA 29, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:45UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:21VT 4th & 11 at VT 34, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:17UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:46VT 4th & 14 at VT 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:21VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:53VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:30VT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:12VT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:28VT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:18UVA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:53VT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:0260% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.7%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
39.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
39.7%
PENALTY VPI False Start (Schick,Bob) 5 yards from VPI34 to VPI29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
39.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 11 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
39.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 14 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
39.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+23
39.7%
Kyron Drones run for 23 yds to the UVA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
39.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lane,Jaylin rush right for 0 yards to the UVA17 (Carter,Jahmeer) PENALTY VPI Holding (Wright,Dae'Quan) 10 yards from UVA17 to UVA27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 27
0
39.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+4
39.7%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the UVA 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 23
0
39.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+41
41.3%
John Love 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0241% → 41%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.9%
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the UVA 23Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
40.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
40.5%
Daniel Sparks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3059% → 58%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
41.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
41.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 4 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Peter Moore punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4141% → 42%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
41.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 3 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
41.5%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
41.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
41.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:2459% → 62%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
41.5%
Jaylin Lane run for 4 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
41.1%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
41.2%
Jaylin Lane run for 6 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+2
41.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+44
37.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 44 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5637% → 36%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
37.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush right for 0 yards to the UVA25, out of bounds at UVA25 PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Misch,Grant) 12 yards from UVA25 to UVA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+13
37.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 13 yds to the UVA 26Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
37.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Kobe PaceSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
36.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
36.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:3263% → 73%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
37.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-9
36.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass complete deep middle to Lane,Jaylin for 74 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:38 PENALTY VPI Holding (Moore,Kaden) 9 yards from VPI26 to VPI17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+6
37.3%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+39
37.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 39 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
36.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 5 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+33
26.8%
Tucker Holloway run for 33 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3530% → 29%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
29.7%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the UVA 38Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
30.4%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
28.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted Mansoor Delane return for no gain to the UVA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0775% → 76%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
25.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
25.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 11 yds to the UVA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
25.2%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the UVA 5Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
25.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the UVA 3Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
24.0%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the UVA 2 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by UVA Jonas Sanker No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UVA02 fumbled by Drones,Kyron at UVA02 forced by Herard,Dave recovered by UVA Sanker,Jonas at UVA02, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2527% → 26%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
27.0%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the UVA 2Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
26.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+15
26.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete deep left to Fields,Malachi PENALTY VPI Roughing The Passer (Fuga,Josh) 15 yards from UVA02 to UVA17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
27.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete deep middle to Washington,Malik PENALTY VPI Roughing The Passer (Powell-Ryland Jr.,Antwaun) 15 yards from UVA17 to UVA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
27.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Suderian HarrisonSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
27.2%
Anthony Colandrea sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 31Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-7
27.1%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 7 yards to the UVA 24Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
26.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:1677% → 84%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
23.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
23.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 7 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
23.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the UVA 47Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+15
23.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 15 yds to the UVA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
16.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 32 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0521% → 19%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
20.6%
Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UVA 33Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 17
OWN 33
+5
19.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the UVA 38Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
19.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
19.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
19.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2685% → 85%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
15.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 20Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
15.1%
Jaylin Lane run for 2 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
15.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
14.8%
Peter Moore punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14DOWNS
16 plays · 26 yds · 2:5719% → 24%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
18.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
19.2%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the UVA 45Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
20.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 2 yds to the UVA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
20.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 48Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+12
19.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 12 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
19.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Kobe PaceSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
19.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 5 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+17
17.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 17 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
18.9%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Cole Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 21Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-18
23.0%
Anthony Colandrea sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the VT 39Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 31
OPP 39
+2
23.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 29
OPP 37
0
24.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
9.7%
K. Drones takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:3314% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the UVA 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
14.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Ethan Davies for 4 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
14.8%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
14.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Ethan DaviesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
14.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
14.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 1 yd to the UVA 41Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
10.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for no gain to the VT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
4.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 84 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:284% → 2%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.3%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
4.1%
Jack Griese run for 6 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
4.2%
Jack Griese run for 1 yd to the UVA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
4.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 31 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
5.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 11 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Mansoor Delane) to the VT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
5.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
2.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jack Griese for 3 yds to the VT 8Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+1
2.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 1 yd to the VT 7Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
1.9%
Will Bettridge 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
1.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
1.0%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+38
0.8%
Malachi Fields 38 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:3399% → 98%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
1.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 46 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
1.3%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the UVA 29Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
1.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
1.6%
John Love 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:491% → 0%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the UVA 31Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
0.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 4 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 36 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for no gain to the VT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
1.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 36Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
0.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
1.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
1.0%
Peter Moore punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
0.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the UVA 34Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+34
0.7%
Da'Quan Felton 34 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Love Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Kobe PaceSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for no gain to the UVA 29Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
0.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 2 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
0.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 29Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-5
0.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron rush middle for 8 yards gain to the VPI37 (Sanker,Jonas) PENALTY VPI Illegal Shift 5 yards from VPI29 to VPI24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
0.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Tucker HollowaySimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
0.6%
Peter Moore punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Suderian Harrison at the UVA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
0.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jack Griese for 14 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Ethan DaviesSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
0.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Jaden Keller) to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 42Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+6
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+26
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 26 yds to the VT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Malachi Fields 3 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
0.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the UVA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the UVA 32Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+6
0.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the UVA 26Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
0.3%
Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the UVA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
0.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the UVA 16Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
0.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 4 yds to the UVA 12Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
0.3%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the UVA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Malachi Thomas 7 Yd Run (John Love Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 28END OF GAME
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:530% → 0%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Amaad Foston run for 8 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
0.1%
Jared Rayman run for 11 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
0.1%
Jared Rayman sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 43Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+6
0.1%
Donte Hawthorne run for 6 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
0.1%
Donte Hawthorne run for 5 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.1%
Jared Rayman run for 2 yds to the VT 44Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
0.1%
Donte Hawthorne run for 10 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Jared Rayman pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
0.1%
Donte Hawthorne run for 5 yds to the VT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:53
Tucker Holloway run for 33 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q2 5:30
Bhayshul Tuten run for 32 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q3 11:12
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 84 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com