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WAKE

Wake Forest 31 at Syracuse 35

SYR
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.2SYR 59.8%Tyler Black 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 5:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:30 · Tyler Black 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+4.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:57: Dan Villari pass complete to Damien Alford for 47 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +12.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:23: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +13.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:38: Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Kern pass to Wesley Grimes for Two-Point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +25.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 10:24: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 37 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +16.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WAKE win probability +22.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:52WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:30WAKE 4th & 8 at SYR 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−5.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:30SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:57WAKE 4th & 3 at SYR 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−6.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:56WAKE 4th & 10 at SYR 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−8.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:00SYR 4th & 1 at WAKE 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−3.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−15.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 5:44SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:00WAKE 4th & 4 at SYR 4, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.2%−5.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−23.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 7:08SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:29WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:59SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:57SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:32WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:23SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:38WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:24SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:20WAKE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:0843% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
57.4%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
57.4%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
57.4%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (Justice Ellison) to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
57.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, downed at the SYR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4458% → 61%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
57.7%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
57.6%
run for 5 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
57.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
57.6%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
57.7%
run for 7 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
57.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
57.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
57.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
57.8%
run for 1 yd to the WAKE 39Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
57.8%
Dan Villari pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 4 yds to the WAKE 35Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+35
61.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 35 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3939% → 44%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
60.6%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 48 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
59.4%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 8 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
59.4%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the SYR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
56.2%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 16 yds for a TD (Tyler Black KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 9:3058% → 66%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.7%
run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
57.6%
run for 2 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
57.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 11 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.3%
run for no gain to the SYR 40Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
58.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+9
58.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
58.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
58.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+12
58.6%
run for 12 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
59.9%
run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+10
59.9%
run for 10 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
59.9%
run for 1 yd to the WAKE 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
59.9%
run for 3 yds to the WAKE 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
59.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 7 yds to the WAKE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
59.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the WAKE 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
59.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the WAKE 1Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:2936% → 40%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.9%
Michael Kern run for 8 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
62.6%
Tate Carney run for 8 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
62.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
61.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
61.6%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
61.7%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+15
62.7%
Syracuse Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Stefon Thompson) to the SYR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
60.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (Taylor Morin) to the SYR 25Similar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+10
61.4%
Michael Kern run for 10 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
60.7%
Taylor Morin run for 2 yds to the SYR 13Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
61.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (Taylor Morin) to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
62.0%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
59.8%
Tyler Black 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6END OF HALF
18 plays · 74 yds · 5:3062% → 66%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.2%
run for 4 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
62.3%
run for 2 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
61.6%
run for 3 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
61.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
63.0%
run for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
63.8%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 35Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+17
62.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 17 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
64.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
64.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
64.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-3
64.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 36Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+15
64.2%
DENABURG, Brady field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (wide left) [kick was spotted at WFU44]. PENALTY WFU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the WFU36 to the WFU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
65.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the WAKE 16Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+15
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 15 yds to the WAKE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:0364% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
63.5%
run for 23 yds to the WAKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
66.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+47
78.8%
Dan Villari pass complete to Damien Alford for 47 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2524% → 39%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.4%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.7%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
75.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the WAKE 46Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
74.9%
Michael Kern run for 2 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
74.7%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 28 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
72.9%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
72.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the SYR 19Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+2
74.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 2 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+6
75.3%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the SYR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
72.9%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
72.9%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the SYR 2Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
61.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Black KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4868% → 67%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
67.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.2%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Nick Andersen return for no gain to the SYR 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4839% → 35%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
60.6%
Tate Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 34Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
60.7%
Michael Kern run for 5 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+9
62.2%
Tate Carney run for 9 yds to the SYR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
60.2%
Michael Kern sacked by Kevon Darton for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+6
62.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 6 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
62.3%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
65.4%
Tyler Black 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:3369% → 88%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
68.9%
run for 7 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
69.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
69.1%
run for 4 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+29
69.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 29 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
73.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the WAKE 26Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
73.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the WAKE 25Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
71.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+12
71.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the WAKE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
74.6%
run for no gain to the WAKE 13Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4515% → 40%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
84.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 59 yds to the SYR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
59.7%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Kern pass to Wesley Grimes for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1470% → 88%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.5%
run for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
71.5%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 33Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
69.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 12 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
72.1%
run for 1 yd to the SYR 46Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
71.8%
run for 2 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+15
70.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
87.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 37 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0413% → 39%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.4%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
85.7%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Barron) to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
82.8%
Michael Kern sacked by Kevon Darton and Derek McDonald for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+7
83.8%
Tate Carney run for 7 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+9
84.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the SYR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
82.7%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
60.6%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3678% → 77%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.8%
run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
77.8%
run for 1 yd to the SYR 29Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
76.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:4437% → 29%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
63.0%
Michael Kern run for 13 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
61.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
60.4%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
62.6%
KERN, Michael pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the SYR0. PENALTY SYR Pass Interference enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the SYR9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
60.4%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
60.4%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the SYR 4Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
62.5%
Michael Kern sacked by Kevon Darton and Caleb Okechukwu for 0 yards to the SYR 4Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.2%
Michael Kern pass intercepted Jason Simmons Jr. return for no gain to the SYR 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5789% → 91%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
88.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
90.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 10Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
89.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at SYR11 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
91.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at SYR10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:38
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Kern pass to Wesley Grimes for Two-Point Conversion)
-25.2
TD · Q4 7:20
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-22.2
TD · Q4 10:24
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 37 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com