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UNC

North Carolina 20 at Clemson 31

CLEM
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:53 · Tyler Davis run for 6 yds to the CLEM 46 Tyler Davis fumbled, recovered by UNC Kaimon Rucker No Huddle Davis,Tyler rush left for 6 yards loss to the CLEM46 fumbled by Davis,Tyler at CLEM48 forced by Lane,Antavious recovered by UNC Rucker,Kaimon at CLEM46, End Of Play.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+16.7Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:10: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:03: Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:15: Phil Mafah run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:20: Omarion Hampton run for 55 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +12.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:19: Will Shipley run for 33 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +8.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 12UNC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNC 4th & 6 at CLEM 45, tied
    Close callWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    29.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:24UNC 4th & 8 at UNC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:53CLEM 4th & 1 at UNC 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CLEM 4th & 1 at UNC 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:21UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:20CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:32UNC 4th & 2 at CLEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−2.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:18CLEM 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:34UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:14UNC 4th & 14 at UNC 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:05CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:48UNC 4th & 6 at CLEM 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−1.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:15CLEM 4th & 1 at UNC 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−9.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:47UNC 4th & 13 at UNC 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:33CLEM 4th & 4 at UNC 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−5.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:03UNC 4th & 1 at CLEM 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−3.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:44CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:17UNC 4th & 20 at UNC 20, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:41CLEM 4th & 14 at UNC 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:00CLEM 4th & 24 at UNC 26, up 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:31UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:10CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:03CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:15CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:20UNC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:19CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:03UNC Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:5730% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+24
69.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 24 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
69.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
50
0
69.7%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
50
+5
69.7%
Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+43
69.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 43 yds to the CLEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
69.7%
PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from CLEM02 to CLEM07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
68.9%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the CLEM 7 Omarion Hampton fumbled, recovered by UNC T.J. Parker Shotgun Hampton,Omarion rush middle for 0 yards to the CLEM07 fumbled by Hampton,Omarion at CLEM07 forced by Woods,Peter recovered by CLEM Parker,T.J. at CLEM07, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4769% → 69%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
69.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
69.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 9Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
69.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 8
OWN 9
0
68.8%
Aidan Swanson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5231% → 31%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 49Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Tom Maginness punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:3169% → 68%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
69.0%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the CLEM 9Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+1
68.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 1 yd to the CLEM 10Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+22
68.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 22 yds to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
69.1%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
69.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
69.2%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.4%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
69.3%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the UNC 49Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
69.4%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the UNC 48Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+6
68.4%
Tyler Davis run for 6 yds to the CLEM 46 Tyler Davis fumbled, recovered by UNC Kaimon Rucker No Huddle Davis,Tyler rush left for 6 yards loss to the CLEM46 fumbled by Davis,Tyler at CLEM48 forced by Lane,Antavious recovered by UNC Rucker,Kaimon at CLEM46, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2233% → 37%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
67.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 7 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
66.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the CLEM 37Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
67.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
62.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 33 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0464% → 62%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
63.9%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
63.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 1 yd to the CLEM 30Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+8
61.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 55 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 8 yds to the UNC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:4838% → 39%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
62.4%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
62.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 13 yds to the UNC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
60.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 64 yds run for 64 yds Omarion Hampton fumbled, forced by Nate Wiggins, recovered by UNC No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Omarion rush right for 64 yards gain to the CLEM00 fumbled by Hampton,Omarion at CLEM01 forced by Wiggins,Nate, Touchback. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field has been overturned. The player didn't cross the goalline (OVERTURNED PLAY: No Huddle-Shotgun #28 O.Hampton rush right for 64 yards gain to the CLEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:2962% → 69%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
61.8%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
62.4%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
62.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 26 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
62.7%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the UNC 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
62.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 3 yds to the UNC 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+8
62.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 8 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
63.3%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the UNC 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+7
63.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the UNC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
63.2%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
63.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
62.6%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the UNC 4Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
61.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the UNC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 1 yd to the UNC 3Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4935% → 35%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
64.6%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
65.3%
Drake Maye run for 6 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.5%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
64.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 5 yds to the UNC 40Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
64.1%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to British BrooksSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
64.6%
Tom Maginness punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0166% → 64%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
66.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
65.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the CLEM 21Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
65.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
64.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4837% → 39%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
62.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 19 yds to the UNC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
61.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 6
50
+4
61.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 4 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+1
61.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the CLEM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1468% → 66%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
67.5%
PENALTY CLEM False Start (Mayes,Mitchell) 5 yards from CLEM45 to CLEM40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+6
66.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
67.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+2
66.5%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Clemson Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 5
50
0
65.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4438% → 36%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the UNC 21Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
62.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Maye,Drake pass incomplete short middle to Hampton,Omarion PENALTY CLEM Pass Interference (Trotter Jr.,Jeremiah) 3 yards from UNC21 to UNC24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
62.4%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
63.3%
North Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Antavious Lane) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+15
64.0%
Tom Maginness punt for 35 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 15 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3966% → 68%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
65.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
50
+22
67.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 7 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Don Chapman) to the UNC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
68.5%
Will Shipley run for 19 yds to the UNC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
68.5%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the UNC 5Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the UNC 7 Will Shipley fumbled, recovered by UNC Kevin Hester Jr. No Huddle-Shotgun Shipley,Will rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNC07 fumbled by Shipley,Will at UNC06 forced by Rucker,Kaimon recovered by UNC Hester Jr.,Kevin at UNC07, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:4138% → 36%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
61.8%
Drake Maye run for 16 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
61.2%
Drake Maye sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the UNC 15Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+9
61.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 9 yds to the UNC 24Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-5
62.3%
Drake Maye sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UNC 19Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
63.6%
Tom Maginness punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
15 plays · 57 yds · 1:1166% → 77%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
66.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 8 yds to the UNC 49Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
67.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
67.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 18 yds to the UNC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
68.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
68.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
66.7%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+14
66.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass intercepted by Biggers,Giovanni at UNC00, Touchback PENALTY UNC Roughing The Passer (Gray,Cedric) 14 yards from UNC27 to UNC13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
68.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the UNC 9Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
68.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the UNC 6Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+3
66.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the UNC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.0%
D. Maye takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5575% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Ronan HanafinSimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
73.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 46 yds , Nate McCollum returns for no gain to the UNC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:1726% → 26%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
74.5%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
74.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 28Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+9
75.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
73.7%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 39Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
73.3%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
73.7%
Drake Maye run for 13 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
72.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 4 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
71.9%
Caleb Hood pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
72.3%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-2
74.4%
Drake Maye sacked by Khalil Barnes for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:3378% → 87%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
77.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 31 yds to the UNC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
78.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 8 yds to the UNC 17Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
78.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 5 yds to the UNC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
78.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
78.7%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the UNC 3Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
77.7%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the UNC 3Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
86.8%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5514% → 27%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
84.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 16 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
72.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 55 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0179% → 90%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
78.6%
Will Shipley run for 31 yds to the UNC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
81.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the UNC 40Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
80.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 5 yds to the UNC 35Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
79.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass incomplete deep left to Stellato,Troy PENALTY UNC Offside (Rucker,Kaimon) 5 yards from UNC35 to UNC30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
81.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
81.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass incomplete short right to Shipley,Will PENALTY CLEM Holding offsetting UNC Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+33
89.8%
Will Shipley run for 33 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:3212% → 11%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.4%
PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UNC25 to UNC20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+30
88.5%
Drake Maye run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
50
0
85.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
50
+3
86.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-5
86.5%
PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from CLEM47 to UNC48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-5
88.0%
PENALTY UNC False Start (Rolland,Spencer) 5 yards from UNC48 to UNC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+4
88.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 4 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
89.5%
Tom Maginness punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24FG
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:1492% → 97%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
92.3%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 12Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
92.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+17
92.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 17 yds to the CLEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
93.1%
Phil Mafah run for 9 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
93.5%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
93.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 14 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+36
93.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 36 yds to the UNC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
93.6%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the UNC 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
93.6%
No Huddle Klubnik,Cade pass incomplete short right to Pope,Banks PENALTY CLEM Illegal Shift 5 yards from UNC05 to UNC10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
93.6%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
93.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
96.5%
Jonathan Weitz 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:304% → 10%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.0%
PENALTY UNC False Start (Pounds,Diego) 5 yards from UNC25 to UNC20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
96.0%
Drake Maye run for 17 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
95.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Maye,Drake sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UNC36 (Capehart,DeMonte) PENALTY CLEM Face Mask (Capehart,DeMonte) 15 yards from UNC37 to CLEM48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
95.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+10
95.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 10 yds to the CLEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
94.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 19 yds to the CLEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
94.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the CLEM 9Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
94.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 5 yds to the CLEM 4Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
95.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the CLEM 3Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
89.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1993% → 94%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
93.3%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
93.2%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 32Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the UNC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:277% → 5%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.9%
North Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from UNC25 to UNC20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 20
OWN 20
0
94.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
94.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28MISSED FG
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3695% → 97%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
95.3%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the UNC 19Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
96.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the UNC 26Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+2
96.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the UNC 24Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
96.9%
Jonathan Weitz 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 29INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.9%
Drake Maye pass intercepted Nate Wiggins return for no gain to the UNC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · -2 yds · 2:3797% → 98%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
97.4%
North Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahvaree Ritzie) to the UNC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.4%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the UNC 9Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
97.4%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the UNC 6Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-5
97.4%
PENALTY CLEM False Start (Briningstool,Jake) 5 yards from UNC06 to UNC11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
97.4%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the UNC 11Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 9
OPP 11
-15
98.7%
PENALTY CLEM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from UNC11 to UNC26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 24
OPP 26
-1
98.0%
H. Helms takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:20
Omarion Hampton run for 55 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
-12
TD · Q2 0:03
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q3 3:19
Will Shipley run for 33 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com