Try the model
PITT

Pittsburgh 13 at Syracuse 28

SYR
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Yankee Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+16.3SYR 59.8%Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for aTD (Brady Denaburg KICK)AWAY 13 - HOME 14 · Q3 7:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:24 · Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense+4.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Pregame prior−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:30: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +12.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:56: LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the PITT 48 — SYR win probability +8.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:24: Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +16.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:41: Jayden Bellamy 23 Yd Interception Return (Brady Denaburg Kick) — SYR win probability +20.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:19: Dan Villari 27 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick) — SYR win probability +8.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:14PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:19PITT 4th & 3 at SYR 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:23PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 25, down 4
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:09SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:00PITT 4th & 16 at SYR 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00PITT 4th & 1 at SYR 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−4.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:24SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−1.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−11.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:14PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 19, down 1
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:30SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 2, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%−3.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−17.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:13PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:20SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 20, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00SYR 4th & 7 at PITT 28, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:17SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:30PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:24SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:41SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:19SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4346% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
46.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 34 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+12
46.1%
Dan Villari run for 12 yds to the PITT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
46.1%
Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the PITT 5Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
46.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+8
46.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
46.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
46.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
46.1%
Ike Daniels run for 4 yds to the PITT 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-5
46.1%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 18Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
46.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the PITT 22Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0351% → 50%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
48.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
48.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
49.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 5 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
50.3%
Caleb Junko punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3950% → 53%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
50.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
50.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
50.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
50.9%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 41Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
52.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
51.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
53.3%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 37 Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by PITT David Green [NHSG] QB Keeper SHRADER, Garrett rush to the right for a loss of 9 yards, SHRADER, Garrett fumbled at SYR38 forced by HAYES, Dayon, recovered by PIT GREEN, David at the SYR37, returned 0 yards to the SYR37, End of Play, clock 04:35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:1649% → 50%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
51.0%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
50.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
50.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 26Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+8
50.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 8 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+1
50.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 1 yd to the SYR 17Similar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
49.6%
Ben Sauls 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:5451% → 51%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
51.3%
Dan Villari run for 7 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
51.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
52.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
52.6%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
51.8%
LeQuint Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
51.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0248% → 45%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
51.6%
Kenny Johnson run for 6 yds to the PITT 22Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
53.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
53.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daniel Carter for no gain to the PITT 25Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Caleb Junko punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1453% → 53%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
53.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
53.1%
Dan Villari pass complete to Garrett Shrader for 6 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
53.5%
run for 1 yd to the SYR 37 Dan Villari fumbled, recovered by SYR Dan Villari [NHSG] Direct snap to VILLARI, Dan rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard, VILLARI, Dan fumbled at SYR37 forced by O'BRIEN JR., Phillip, recovered by SYR VILLARI, Dan at the SYR37, returned 0 yards to the SYR37, End of Play.Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
52.6%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 32Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
52.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:0948% → 41%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
52.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 9 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+6
51.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
51.1%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
51.2%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 32Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
52.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 11
OPP 32
-5
58.6%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
59.2%
Caleb Junko punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5657% → 57%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
57.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
57.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
57.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
58.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
57.3%
run for no gain to the SYR 36 Dan Villari fumbled, recovered by SYR [NHSG] Direct snap to VILLARI, Dan rush up the middle for no gain, VILLARI, Dan fumbled at SYR33 forced by MCMILLON, Donovan, recovered by SYR CRUZ, Joe at the SYR36, returned 0 yards to the SYR36, out of bounds.Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
57.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:3440% → 57%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+65
59.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 65 yds to the SYR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
54.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 16Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+6
55.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 6 yds to the SYR 10Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
43.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4847% → 44%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
46.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 16Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
46.5%
Dan Villari pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
45.7%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
44.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:3657% → 67%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
42.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+27
43.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 27 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
40.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
40.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
41.7%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Daejon thrown to the SYR5. PENALTY SYR Offsides enforced 5 yards from the SYR29 to the SYR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+9
40.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 9 yds to the SYR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+33
32.9%
Ben Sauls 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 27 yds · 4:0462% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.0%
Kenny Johnson run for 9 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
36.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 11 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
36.0%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
50
+4
35.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
35.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the SYR 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
37.4%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
34.3%
Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 48 Christian Veilleux fumbled, recovered by SYR Jayden Bellamy [NHSG] QB Keeper VEILLEUX, Christian rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards, VEILLEUX, Christian fumbled at SYR48 , recovered by SYR BELLAMY, Jayden at the SYR48, returned 0 yards to the SYR48, End of Play, clock 10:56.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:3243% → 60%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
43.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
43.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
43.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
43.7%
Dan Villari pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
43.6%
run for 10 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
45.2%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 29Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
45.1%
run for 3 yds to the PITT 26Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
43.5%
run for 5 yds to the PITT 21Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+21
59.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1042% → 39%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
57.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
58.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for 7 yds to the PITT 19Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
58.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
60.7%
punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:4460% → 61%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
60.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
50
+5
62.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 45Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
62.7%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 45Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+38
62.0%
run for 38 yds to the PITT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
63.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the PITT 6Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
63.7%
Dan Villari pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
62.2%
Dan Villari pass complete to Elijah Wright for 4 yds to the PITT 2Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the PITT 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4941% → 20%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
59.2%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 3Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-23
79.7%
Jayden Bellamy 23 Yd Interception Return (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4621% → 15%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.0%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
78.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
80.6%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
79.6%
Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 34 Christian Veilleux fumbled, recovered by SYR Terry Lockett [NHSG] QB Keeper VEILLEUX, Christian rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, VEILLEUX, Christian fumbled at PIT34 , recovered by SYR LOCKETT, Terry at the PIT34, returned 0 yards to the PIT34, End of Play, clock 14:55.Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
84.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PITT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:3685% → 93%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+2
84.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the PITT 27Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
93.0%
Dan Villari 27 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0610% → 9%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.3%
Caleb Junko punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:5393% → 97%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
93.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
93.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+12
93.2%
run for 12 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
93.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
93.7%
run for 12 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
93.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the PITT 33Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
93.6%
run for 5 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
93.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 31Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+7
93.7%
run for 7 yds to the PITT 24Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
97.0%
run for 4 yds to the PITT 20Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+38
96.7%
Brady Denaburg 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:595% → 5%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
95.2%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 36 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
94.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 7 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
95.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the SYR 35 fumbled, recovered by SYR Kevon Darton [NHSG] HAMMOND JR., Rodney rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards, HAMMOND JR., Rodney fumbled at SYR34 forced by THOMPSON, Stefon, recovered by SYR DARTON, Kevon at the SYR35, returned 0 yards to the SYR35, End of Play, clock 04:21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 4:1697% → 99%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.3%
Juwaun Price run for 4 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
97.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the SYR 49 Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
97.5%
run for 4 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
97.5%
run for 6 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+16
97.6%
Juwaun Price run for 16 yds to the PITT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
97.6%
Juwaun Price run for 6 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
98.9%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 24Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+1
98.9%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 23Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-5
98.8%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PITT 28Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
98.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by PRICE, Juwaun at PIT30 (team loss of 2); SYR turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:41
Jayden Bellamy 23 Yd Interception Return (Brady Denaburg Kick)
+20.6
TD · Q3 7:24
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q2 2:30
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com