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CAM

Campbell 7 at North Carolina 59

UNC
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadCAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreCAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Tai Goode run for no gain to the UNC 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:40: Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 19 yds for a TD (Caleb Dowden KICK) — CAM win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:56: Omarion Hampton run for 54 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:36: Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 31 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:27: Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:23: Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:48CAM 4th & 3 at UNC 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25UNC 4th & 14 at UNC 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59CAM 4th & 12 at CAM 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15UNC 4th & 6 at CAM 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41CAM 4th & 7 at CAM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:47CAM 4th & 9 at UNC 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:09CAM 4th & 18 at CAM 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:21UNC 4th & 9 at midfield, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:55CAM 4th & 14 at CAM 35, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:08CAM 4th & 21 at CAM 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:26UNC 4th & 8 at CAM 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00CAM 4th & 1 at UNC 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:26CAM 4th & 23 at UNC 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:35CAM 4th & 4 at UNC 46, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:44UNC 4th & 12 at UNC 18, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:20UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:40CAM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:56UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:36UNC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:27UNC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:23UNC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:13UNC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:58UNC Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CAMDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:121% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 8 yds to the CAM 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
99.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the CAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Ezeriah AndersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 7 yds to the CAM 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
PENALTY UNC Offside (Murphy,Myles) 5 yards from CAM47 to UNC48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.4%
Lamagea McDowell run for 5 yds to the UNC 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to VJ Wilkins for no gain to the UNC 41Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
99.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Ezeriah AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 1 yd to the UNC 41Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-3
99.2%
Drake Maye sacked by Ethan Quarshie for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 38Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Tom Maginness punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.1%
PENALTY CAM False Start (Santiago,Alex) 5 yards from CAM15 to CAM10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
99.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Shannon HenrySimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 15
OWN 10
-5
99.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the CAM 5Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+8
99.1%
Lamagea McDowell run for 8 yds to the CAM 13Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
99.0%
Jack Brady punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3999% → 99%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 8 yds to the CAM 43Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+9
99.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the CAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the CAM 33Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+13
99.0%
British Brooks run for 13 yds to the CAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.0%
British Brooks run for 7 yds to the CAM 13Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
99.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+3
99.0%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the CAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 10 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:321% → 2%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the CAM 39Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
98.9%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the CAM 40Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
98.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 12 yds to the UNC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
98.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 39 yds to the UNC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the UNC 8Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun McDowell,Lamagea rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC08 (Fox,Tomari; Gray,Cedric) PENALTY CAM Holding (Burch,Isaiah) 10 yards from UNC08 to UNC18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
98.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Brandon Fitez for 4 yds to the UNC 14Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-5
98.9%
PENALTY CAM False Start (Kelsey,Jalen) 5 yards from UNC14 to UNC19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
98.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 19 yds for a TD (Caleb Dowden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:1498% → 98%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
98.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 75 yds North Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Willie Lampkin) to the UNC 20Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+19
98.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 19 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.3%
British Brooks run for 7 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
98.3%
British Brooks run for 5 yds to the CAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.3%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.1%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the CAM 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+2
98.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the CAM 45Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
97.9%
Drake Maye punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:342% → 3%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 6 yds to the CAM 26Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
97.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to VJ Wilkins for 4 yds to the CAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the CAM 32Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
97.8%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 11 yds to the CAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.7%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 3
50
+2
97.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UNC 48Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-10
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKay,Chris rush left for 13 yards gain to the UNC35 (Lane,Antavious) PENALTY CAM Holding (Beckett,Baraka) 10 yards from UNC48 to CAM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+4
97.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Javonte Kinsey for 4 yds to the CAM 46Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+9
97.1%
Jack Brady punt for 39 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 9 yds to the UNC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4597% → 98%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
97.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
97.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 6 yds to the UNC 42Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
97.4%
Drake Maye run for 4 yds to the UNC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 54 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 9MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:032% → 3%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
97.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 7 yds to the CAM 31Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
97.5%
Lamagea McDowell run for 5 yds to the CAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 11 yds to the CAM 47 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 6 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
97.4%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the UNC 46Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
97.4%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 7 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.4%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
97.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 6 yds to the UNC 30Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
97.4%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
97.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Hajj-Malik pass incomplete short middle to Kelsey,Jalen broken up by Allen,Marcus QB hurried by Echols,Power, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (Allen,Marcus) 10 yards from UNC27 to UNC17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
97.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 6 yds to the UNC 11Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-5
97.3%
PENALTY CAM False Start 5 yards from UNC11 to UNC16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Tai GoodeSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
97.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
96.7%
Caleb Dowden 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1197% → 98%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+24
97.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the CAM 38 for a 1ST down Campbell Penalty, Personal Foul (Taylor Behl) to the CAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds to the CAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
98.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 31 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the CAM 26Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
97.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 13 yards to the CAM 13Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+4
97.6%
Lamagea McDowell run for 4 yds to the CAM 17Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
97.7%
Jack Brady punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 1:4298% → 99%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
98.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 7 yds to the CAM 42Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
98.2%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
98.1%
British Brooks run for 9 yds to the CAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
98.2%
British Brooks run for 11 yds to the CAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
98.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 8 yds to the CAM 14Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
98.1%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+10
98.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 10 yds to the CAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2499% → 99%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the CAM 32Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-15
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Maye,Drake pass incomplete short middle to Nesbit,Bryson PENALTY UNC Personal Foul (Pounds,Diego) 15 yards from CAM32 to CAM47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+28
99.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 28 yds to the CAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 5 yds to the UNC 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+45
99.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 45 yds to the CAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 15INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 2 yds to the CAM 23Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
99.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 13 yds to the CAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Jalen KelseySimilar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the CAM 38Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
99.7%
PENALTY CAM False Start (Kelsey,Jalen) 5 yards from CAM38 to CAM33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+15
99.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 15 yds to the CAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 11 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds to the CAM 44Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-6
99.8%
Drake Maye sacked by CJ Tillman for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 9
50
0
99.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson NesbitSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 9
50
0
99.8%
Tom Maginness punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Fitez at the CAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
99.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the CAM 6Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+33
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 33 yds to the CAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Campbell Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hajj-Malik Williams) to the CAM 27Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 22
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to VJ Wilkins for 8 yds to the CAM 35Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Ezeriah AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 14
OWN 35
-19
99.9%
Jack Brady sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 19 yards to the CAM 16 Jack Brady fumbled, recovered by UNC Will Hardy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
99.8%
North Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CAM 23Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 17
OPP 23
+2
99.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the CAM 21Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 21 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Chaney FitzgeraldSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 1 yd to the CAM 26Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Hajj-Malik pass incomplete short right QB hurried by Atkinson,Beau, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (Chatman,Armani) 9 yards from CAM26 to CAM35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 1 yd to the CAM 34Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-4
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Amare Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the CAM 30Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Tai Goode for 6 yds to the CAM 24Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 21
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jack Brady punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 13 yds to the CAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 16 yds to the CAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brooks,British rush right for 3 yards gain to the CAM25 (Behl,Taylor), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Holding (Copenhaver,John) 10 yards from CAM28 to CAM38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
British Brooks run for 6 yds to the CAM 32Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
British Brooks run for 1 yd to the CAM 31Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 5 yds to the CAM 26Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Noah Burnette 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 21PUNT
15 plays · 32 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chris McKay Jr. run for no gain to the CAM 25Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 17 yds to the CAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for no gain to the CAM 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 7 yds to the CAM 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Brandon Fitez for 2 yds to the UNC 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the UNC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to VJ WilkinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+16
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 16 yds to the UNC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete to Ezeriah AndersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 8 yds to the UNC 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to VJ Wilkins for no gain to the UNC 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
PENALTY CAM Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNC38 to UNC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 23
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jack Brady punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Conner Harrell run for no gain to the UNC 20Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Kellan Hood run for 7 yds to the UNC 27Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+12
99.9%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Deems May for 12 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.9%
Conner Harrell run for 61 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris McKay Jr. run for no gain to the CAM 25Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
100.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 17 yds to the CAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
Chris McKay Jr. run for 1 yd to the CAM 41Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
100.0%
run for no gain to the CAM 41 fumbled, recovered by UNC Tyler Thompson No Huddle-Shotgun Campbell rush middle for 0 yards to the CAM41 fumbled by Campbell at CAM41 recovered by UNC Thompson,Tyler at CAM41, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Hajj-Malik pass incomplete short right broken up by Jones,D.J. QB hurried by Thompson,Tyler PENALTY CAM Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting UNC Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Tai Goode run for no gain to the CAM 48Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Tai Goode run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 8
50
+4
100.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 4 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Jack Brady punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Kellan Hood run for 5 yds to the UNC 25Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jordan Louie run for no gain to the UNC 25Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hood,Kellan rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNC30 (Wilkes,Jack) PENALTY UNC Holding (Rice,Zach) 10 yards from UNC25 to UNC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Jefferson Boaz pass complete to Kellan Hood for 3 yds to the UNC 18Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Tom Maginness punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the CAM 45Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
PENALTY UNC Disconcerting Signals (Macrae,Gibson) 4 yards from CAM45 to CAM49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Tai Goode run for 4 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Tai Goode run for no gain to the UNC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:27
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 1:40
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for 19 yds for a TD (Caleb Dowden KICK)
-0.8
TD · Q2 2:36
Drake Maye pass complete to Devontez Walker for 31 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com