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VT

Virginia Tech 3 at Louisville 34

LOU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:57 · Brady Hodges punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense+28.0Pregame prior+6.2Score differential+19.7Garbage-time factor+11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:52: Isaac Guerendo run for 39 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +5.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:11: Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 00:11 — LOU win probability +2.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:38: Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 37 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +9.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:21: Isaac Guerendo run for 20 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST down — LOU win probability +2.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:58: Isaac Guerendo run for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead PAT MISSED) — LOU win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:49VT 4th & 21 at VT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14LOU 4th & 1 at VT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:49VT 4th & 14 at LOU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41VT 4th & 20 at VT 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:07LOU 4th & 2 at VT 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−0.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 24 at LOU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:36LOU 4th & 20 at LOU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:07VT 4th & 14 at VT 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:13VT 4th & 8 at VT 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:57LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10VT 4th & 13 at VT 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:45LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:13VT 4th & 2 at VT 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:41VT 4th & 6 at VT 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:25LOU 4th & 11 at VT 43, up 31
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:53LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:38LOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:58LOU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:16LOU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:1128% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
71.7%
Kyron Drones sacked by Stephen Herron and TJ Quinn for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 15Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
71.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
71.6%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 16Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-2
71.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 14Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
71.5%
Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, downed at the VT 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:4372% → 73%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
71.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the VT 49Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+18
71.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 18 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
71.6%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 36Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+4
71.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+7
71.5%
Jack Plummer run for 7 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+3
71.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
71.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
71.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the VT 14Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+4
71.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+9
71.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 4:0427% → 27%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
72.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 12 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
72.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds to the LOU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
71.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the LOU 41Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-7
71.9%
Kyron Drones sacked by Benjamin Perry for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 48Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 14
OPP 48
0
73.0%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the LOU 48Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
73.4%
Peter Moore punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:5073% → 79%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
73.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 11Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+6
72.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the LOU 17Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+10
72.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman for 10 yds to the LOU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
73.2%
Jack Plummer run for 7 yds to the LOU 34Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+27
73.7%
Isaac Guerendo run for 27 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
78.9%
Isaac Guerendo run for 39 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:0523% → 22%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
76.8%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 21Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-5
77.0%
Jaylin Lane run for a loss of 5 yards to the VT 16Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 20
OWN 16
-9
77.2%
Kyron Drones sacked by Ramon Puryear for a loss of 9 yards to the VT 7Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 29
OWN 7
0
78.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (Alan Tisdale) to the VT 4Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 32
OWN 4
+12
78.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
78.3%
Peter Moore punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:2479% → 80%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
78.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
79.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 12 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
80.2%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Chris Bell) to the LOU 40Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+50
79.9%
Isaac Guerendo run for 60 yds Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 37Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 18
OWN 37
+11
79.6%
Jack Plummer run for 11 yds to the LOU 48Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+18
80.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Joey Gatewood for 18 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
81.0%
Louisville Penalty, Encroachment on LIFSON, Josh enforced (-5 Yards) to the VT 39Similar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
81.0%
Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the VT 39Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+17
81.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 17 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.7%
Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the VT 22Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
80.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 23Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+9
80.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 9 yds to the VT 14Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
80.2%
Brock Travelstead 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 6:0120% → 18%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.0%
Kyron Drones run for 12 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
79.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
79.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
79.9%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the LOU 47Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
79.3%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
79.2%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the LOU 42Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+15
79.7%
(02:36) DRONES, Kyron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GREENE, Ayden thrown to the LOU8, clock 02:26. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on KELLY, Cam'Ron enforced 15 yards to the LOU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
78.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the LOU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
78.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the LOU 12Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
79.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the LOU 12Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-15
80.7%
(00:20) DRONES, Kyron pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to GOSNELL, Stephen caught at the LOU8 and advanced to the LOU4 (QUINN, T.J.), clock 00:13. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on WRIGHT, Dae'Quan enforced 15 yards to the LOU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 24
OPP 27
0
83.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 24
OPP 27
+44
81.8%
John Love 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:1582% → 80%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
81.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 30Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-7
80.9%
Jack Plummer sacked by Cole Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 23Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 20
OWN 23
0
80.4%
Brady Hodges punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2319% → 17%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
81.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 19 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT Bhayshul Tuten (13:30) [NHSG] TUTEN, Bhayshul rush to the left for a loss of 7 yards, TUTEN, Bhayshul fumbled at VT19 forced by GILLOTTE, Ashton, recovered by VT TUTEN, Bhayshul at the VT19, returned 0 yards to the VT19, End of Play, clock 13:04.Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 17
OWN 19
0
81.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 17
OWN 19
+3
82.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 3 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
82.9%
Peter Moore punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:1783% → 94%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
83.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
83.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 44Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
83.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 5 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
84.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 14 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
93.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 37 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:049% → 9%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
91.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
90.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Kyron Drones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:2394% → 96%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
93.9%
Isaac Guerendo run for 20 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
94.0%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the VT 12Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
96.4%
Isaac Guerendo run for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:404% → 3%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
96.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 5 yds to the VT 20Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
96.5%
Jaylin Lane run for 7 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
96.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 11 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
96.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
97.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, downed at the LOU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0898% → 98%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
97.5%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 24Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the LOU 24Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+8
97.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for 8 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
97.8%
Brady Hodges punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:412% → 2%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for no gain to the VT 22Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+13
97.9%
Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
98.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 14 yards to the VT 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 21
+11
98.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Peter Moore punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 34Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+1
98.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 35Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-3
98.6%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 32Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Brady Hodges punt for 45 yds, downed at the VT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.7%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+10
98.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 4 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
98.8%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-1
99.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:5099% → 100%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Isaac Guerendo run for 36 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the VT 19Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Bryce Duke for 3 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Peter Moore punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 6:12100% → 100%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 34Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the LOU 43Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
TURNER, Maurice rush up the middle for no gain to the LOU43 (WOODSON, Caleb), clock 05:01. PENALTY VT Offsides on LOVETT, Dante enforced 5 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU48 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Maurice Turner run for no gain to the LOU 48Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 10 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
100.0%
(03:05) TURNER, Maurice rush to the right for no gain to the VT42 (PAYNE, Pheldarius;LOVETT, Dante), clock 03:04. PENALTY LOU Holding on LIFSON, Josh enforced 10 yards from the VT42 to the LOU48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Maurice Turner run for no gain to the VT 43Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Brady Hodges punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Chance Black run for no gain to the VT 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:38
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 37 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 14:52
Isaac Guerendo run for 39 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+5.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:11
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 00:11
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com