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Georgia Tech 45 at Virginia 17

UVA
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:48 · David Shanahan punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−2.7Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Pregame prior+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:30: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Joshua Rawlings for 9 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +3.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:42: Haynes King run for 2 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +5.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:24: Haynes King run for 34 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +10.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: Dontae Smith run for 33 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +14.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:41: Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 58 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +14.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q2 4:30UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q3 6:53UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:21GT 4th & 3 at GT 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:30GT 4th & 6 at UVA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:26GT 4th & 7 at UVA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:29UVA 4th & 4 at GT 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00UVA 4th & 13 at GT 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:48GT 4th & 14 at UVA 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:16UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:40GT 4th & 15 at UVA 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:53GT 4th & 4 at UVA 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:24UVA 4th & 7 at GT 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:32GT 4th & 6 at GT 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:30UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:42GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:24GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:28GT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:41GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:57GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:47UVA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:56GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1855% → 54%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
55.4%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the UVA 10Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
55.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 1 yd to the UVA 9Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
54.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 7
OWN 9
+23
53.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 62 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for 23 yds to the UVA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4756% → 54%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
56.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the UVA 27Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
55.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Kobe PaceSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
54.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5153% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
52.9%
Tony Muskett pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
52.9%
Tony Muskett run for 6 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
52.9%
Perris Jones run for 6 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
52.9%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
53.4%
Tony Muskett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4847% → 46%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
53.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the GT 18Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+1
53.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 1 yd to the GT 17Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+1
53.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 1 yd to the GT 18Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+6
53.6%
David Shanahan punt for 58 yds , Ethan Davies returns for 6 yds to the UVA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:5153% → 57%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
53.4%
Mike Hollins run for 11 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
53.6%
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the UVA 42Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+21
53.6%
Grady Brosterhous pass complete to Malik Washington for 21 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
53.8%
Mike Hollins run for 9 yds to the GT 28Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
53.9%
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the GT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
53.9%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+13
53.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 13 yds to the GT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Joshua Rawlings for 9 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0444% → 45%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
55.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 18 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
55.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
55.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 1 yd to the UVA 35Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
55.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Malik RutherfordSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+8
55.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 8 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
55.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the UVA 28Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+4
55.1%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the UVA 24Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
55.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
55.2%
Aidan Birr 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7MISSED FG
15 plays · 38 yds · 5:2656% → 56%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
55.4%
Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+15
55.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass intercepted by Brooks,LaMiles at UVA39 Brooks,LaMiles return 0 yards to the UVA39 (Hollins,Mike) PENALTY GAT Face Mask (Scott,Makius) 15 yards from UVA29 to UVA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
56.4%
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
56.4%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
55.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 15 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
56.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
56.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Suderian HarrisonSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+6
56.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 6 yds to the GT 35Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+7
55.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the GT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
56.9%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the GT 24Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
56.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-7
56.5%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 7 yards to the GT 31Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
55.8%
Will Bettridge 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:1844% → 52%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
56.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the GT 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
55.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
55.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 1 yd to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Christian LearySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
55.6%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+9
55.2%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
54.8%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+7
54.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Brett Seither for 7 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+3
54.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the UVA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
54.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 11 yds to the UVA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
54.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 4 yds to the UVA 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
54.1%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the UVA 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+2
54.7%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the UVA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
54.1%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the UVA 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
54.1%
Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Jonas Sanker) to the UVA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.4%
Haynes King run for 2 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1352% → 52%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
51.9%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
53.8%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 42Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
52.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UVA 49 Anthony Colandrea fumbled, recovered by GT Jaylon King No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush right for 7 yards gain to the UVA49 fumbled by Colandrea,Anthony at UVA48 forced by Johnson,Kenan recovered by GAT King,Jaylon at UVA49, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10Uncategorized
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:4152% → 49%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
47.9%
Haynes King sacked by Ben Smiley III for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 11
50
+11
48.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 11 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
47.9%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
48.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 1 yd to the UVA 38Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
48.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
50.1%
PENALTY GAT Delay Of Game (King,Haynes) 5 yards from UVA38 to UVA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
50.8%
David Shanahan punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:0653% → 63%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
47.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
47.4%
Haynes King run for 10 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
47.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+6
47.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Benson for 6 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+34
37.3%
Haynes King run for 34 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5238% → 36%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
38.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.9%
Daniel Sparks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:0462% → 79%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
37.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 12 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
36.3%
Haynes King run for 29 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
35.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Dontae rush left for 1 yard gain to the UVA28 (Sanker,Jonas; Kyle,Tayvonn) PENALTY GAT Holding (Robinson II,Corey) 10 yards from UVA29 to UVA39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+1
35.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dontae Smith for 1 yd to the UVA 38Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+5
35.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+33
20.8%
Dontae Smith run for 33 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:2827% → 33%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
27.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 13 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
28.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UVA35 (Scott,Makius, Harris,Kevin) PENALTY GAT Face Mask (Harris,Kevin) 15 yards from UVA38 to GAT47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
30.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 25 yds to the GT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
33.3%
Will Bettridge 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1972% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 8 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
28.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
27.2%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+11
27.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 11 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
26.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun King,Haynes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UVA46 (Hardy,Caleb) PENALTY GAT Holding (Williams,Jordan) 10 yards from UVA48 to GAT42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+58
12.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 58 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2518% → 17%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.6%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
17.6%
Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
18.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 1 yd to the UVA 33Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
16.7%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17Uncategorized
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3689% → 91%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
10.9%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+15
10.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 15 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
10.4%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 9
50
0
10.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 9
50
+12
10.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dontae Smith for 12 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
10.3%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+3
10.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the UVA 38Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
10.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
11.1%
PENALTY GAT Delay Of Game (King,Haynes) 5 yards from UVA38 to UVA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
8.7%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 5:0093% → 96%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
7.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
7.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
7.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 5 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
7.1%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GT 44Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
7.1%
Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the UVA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
7.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the UVA 43Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
6.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the UVA 42Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
7.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the UVA 43Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
4.3%
David Shanahan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the UVA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:296% → 4%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
5.8%
Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the UVA 9Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+14
5.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 14 yds to the UVA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
6.0%
Anthony Colandrea run for 12 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
6.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
6.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
5.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+9
5.2%
Kobe Pace run for 9 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
5.4%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
5.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
4.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:2797% → 100%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
3.0%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GT 37Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+22
3.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Dontae Smith for 22 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
2.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the UVA 38Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+28
2.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 18 yds to the UVA 20 for a 1ST down Virginia Penalty, Targeting (Malcolm Greene) to the UVA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.5%
Dontae Smith run for 10 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:100% → 3%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
0.4%
Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
0.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete short middle to Fields,Malachi PENALTY GAT Holding (Johnson,Kenan) 10 yards from UVA38 to UVA48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+28
0.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 28 yds to the GT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
0.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 9 yds to the GT 15Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
0.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the GT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
3.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 8 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:5198% → 100%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
1.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 1 yd to the UVA 43Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+43
0.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 43 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:290% → 0%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 14 yds to the GT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
0.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush left for 4 yards gain to the GAT34 (Scott,Makius) PENALTY UVA Holding (Steen,Blake) 10 yards from GAT38 to GAT48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+5
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 5 yds to the UVA 47Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 25
OWN 47
+13
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 13 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 12
OPP 40
-4
0.3%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by D'Quan Douse for a loss of 4 yards to the GT 44Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 16
OPP 44
+15
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony sacked for loss of 12 yards to the UVA44 (Kennard,Kyle) PENALTY GAT Face Mask (Kennard,Kyle) 15 yards from GAT44 to GAT29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
0.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the GT 24Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+9
0.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the GT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.2%
Zach Pyron run for 5 yds to the GT 20Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+5
0.2%
Zach Pyron run for 5 yds to the GT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the GT 30Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Evan Dickens run for 6 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Avery BoydSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Zach Pyron pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+6
0.1%
David Shanahan punt for 48 yds , Ethan Davies returns for 6 yds to the UVA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
0.1%
Amaad Foston run for 3 yds to the UVA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:41
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 58 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q2 0:28
Dontae Smith run for 33 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-14
TD · Q2 2:24
Haynes King run for 34 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com