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BC

Boston College 17 at Syracuse 10

SYR
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2023 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:10 · Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.4Pregame prior+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:48: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Owen McGowan for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +11.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:18: Brady Denaburg 36 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +7.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18: Liam Connor kickoff for 60 yds , Darrell Gill Jr. return for 22 yds to the SYR 27 — BC win probability +47.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:18: Brady Denaburg kickoff for 50 yds — SYR win probability +14.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:27: LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the BC 36 — SYR win probability +11.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:15BC 4th & 11 at BC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:55BC 4th & 6 at SYR 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:10SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:16BC 4th & 11 at BC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51SYR 4th & 8 at BC 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:23BC 4th & 12 at BC 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:47BC 4th & 1 at SYR 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.5%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:47BC 4th & 1 at SYR 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−2.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:10BC 4th & 9 at BC 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:06SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−4.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:04BC 4th & 1 at SYR 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−4.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−16.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:18SYR 4th & 8 at BC 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−12.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:38BC 4th & 4 at BC 31, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%−1.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:35BC 4th & 4 at SYR 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−2.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:59SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:33SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:48BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:4546% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
53.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos run for 5 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin, broken up by Justin BarronSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete, broken up by Anwar SparrowSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+6
54.4%
Sam Candotti punt for 43 yds , Donovan Brown returns for 6 yds to the SYR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:1754% → 55%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
54.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+6
54.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+4
54.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
54.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 4 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
54.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 3 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
54.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Umari Hatcher for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Vinny DePalma) to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
54.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 3 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
55.1%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:0346% → 47%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
50
+7
53.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 7 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
53.6%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 44Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 6 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
53.7%
pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+18
53.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 18 yds to the SYR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
53.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 12 yds to the SYR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.5%
pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
53.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the SYR 6Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Lewis Bond, broken up by Justin BarronSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
53.5%
Liam Connor 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4553% → 52%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
53.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
53.7%
Allen,LeQuint rush middle (Arnold,Kam).Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
53.0%
Syracuse Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
52.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5447% → 46%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
53.5%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
53.7%
pass incomplete to Dino TomlinSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
54.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin, broken up by Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+8
54.2%
Sam Candotti punt for 47 yds , LeQuint Allen returns for 8 yds to the SYR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:4353% → 58%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
53.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 32 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
55.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
55.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+27
58.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 27 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4943% → 44%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
57.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
57.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
56.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 19 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
55.5%
Cam'ron Barfield run for 4 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
55.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 1 yd to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-6
56.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 47 Thomas Castellanos fumbled, recovered by SYR Anwar SparrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5360% → 58%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
59.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
59.5%
pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
58.9%
pass incomplete to LeQuint AllenSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
57.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2842% → 40%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
58.4%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 4Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+2
58.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
59.3%
pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
60.0%
Loren DiLoreto punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3661% → 60%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
60.5%
pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
60.3%
Allen,LeQuint rush right (Rooks,George).Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
59.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 7:5942% → 56%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.3%
pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
58.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
58.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
57.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
56.5%
Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
56.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-1
56.2%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
56.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
57.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
55.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
56.0%
Barfield,Cam rush middle (Gould,Jaeden).Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
56.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
57.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
55.9%
pass incomplete to Josiah GriffinSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
56.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 11 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
55.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 11 yds to the SYR 15 for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, substitution infraction (Yards) to the SYR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
54.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the SYR 14Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+12
55.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Defensive pass interference (12 Yards) to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Owen McGowan for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:4150% → 53%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
50.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
52.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 4 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, roughing passer (Vinny DePalma) to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
53.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 2 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-1
53.6%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 39Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+57
52.6%
Brady Denaburg 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:1750% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
50.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Dan Villari for 5 yds to the SYR 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
50.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
49.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
50.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Dan Villari for 3 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+18
50.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 18 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
53.2%
Syracuse Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+2
50.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 2 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-3
51.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+5
49.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 5 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
47.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:3352% → 53%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
48.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
46.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 6 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
47.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
46.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
46.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
45.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Jaden Williams, broken up by Gregory DelaineSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
46.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
50
-5
45.5%
Dino Tomlin run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+33
47.2%
Sam Candotti punt for 42 yds , Donovan Brown returns for 33 yds to the SYR 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 1:0452% → 46%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
51.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Umari Hatcher, broken up by Cole BatsonSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
49.9%
Syracuse Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 41Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 15
OWN 41
-5
48.7%
Syracuse Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 20
OWN 36
-7
48.1%
Allen,LeQuint rush (Clinkscales,CJ), PENALTY SYR illegal block 7 yards to the SYR43. Syracuse Penalty, illegal block (-7 Yards) to the SYR 29Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 27
OWN 29
+8
47.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 19
OWN 37
0
46.6%
pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 19
OWN 37
+22
45.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0258% → 58%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
42.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 1
50
0
41.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete, broken up by Braylen IngrahamSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 1
50
+2
42.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
41.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+12
41.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 12 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
40.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 5 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
39.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
41.5%
Robichaux,Kye rush middle (Wax,Marlowe).Similar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
42.1%
Castellanos,Thomas rush middle (McDonald,Derek).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17FG
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:4647% → 59%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+56
46.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 56 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
54.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 2 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+1
54.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the BC 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-1
51.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 18Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
58.6%
Brady Denaburg 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Umari Hatcher, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0074% → 76%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
26.3%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+21
26.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 21 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
24.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the SYR 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:4936% → 38%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
35.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+10
35.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
37.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:0374% → 79%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.8%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
24.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Lewis Bond, broken up by Jaeden GouldSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
25.8%
pass incomplete to Dino TomlinSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
27.2%
Sam Candotti run for 6 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
24.4%
Cam'ron Barfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+19
26.5%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
22.6%
pass incomplete to Jaedn SkeeteSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
22.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+2
23.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
20.6%
Sam Candotti punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3626% → 20%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
26.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Umari Hatcher, broken up by Amari Jackson Syracuse Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 10Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
26.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 2 yds to the SYR 12Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
25.9%
pass incomplete to LeQuint AllenSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+9
24.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
20.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:3683% → 91%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
16.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
50
+1
14.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the SYR 49Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
14.7%
pass incomplete to Dino TomlinSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+12
15.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 12 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
14.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 9 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
14.2%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
14.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
14.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+8
9.0%
Andre Hines run for 8 yds to the SYR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
9.2%
Andre Hines run for 3 yds to the SYR 7Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0591% → 91%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
9.3%
Andre Hines run for 6 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
9.1%
Andre Hines run for 3 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+12
9.2%
Andre Hines run for 12 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
8.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 13
OPP 27
-3
9.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18
Liam Connor kickoff for 60 yds , Darrell Gill Jr. return for 22 yds to the SYR 27
-47.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:18
Brady Denaburg kickoff for 50 yds
+14.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:27
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the BC 36
+11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com