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WAKE

Wake Forest 21 at Duke 24

DUKE
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2023 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:56 · Porter Wilson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+0.8Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:00: Jordan Waters run for 4 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +12.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:35: Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +18.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:40: Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jordan Moore for 29 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +28.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:12: (04:12) WATERS, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 21 yards to the WFU42 (SLOCUM, Evan). PENALTY DU Holding on PARKER II, Brian enforced 10 yards from the DU37 to the DU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — DUKE win probability +14.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Todd Pelino 26 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +31.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:29WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21WAKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:58WAKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−1.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:22DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:56WAKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−9.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:56DUKE 4th & 2 at DUKE 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:54DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−5.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:25DUKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:53WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:36DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00DUKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−13.2
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−32.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:10WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:22DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:10WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:00DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:35WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:40DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2627% → 27%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
73.1%
Justice Ellison run for 10 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
72.9%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Terry Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the WAKE 33Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+2
72.9%
Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the WAKE 35Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+6
72.9%
Mitch Griffis run for 6 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
72.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5373% → 72%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.7%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
72.7%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-5
72.4%
Duke Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 19Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+4
72.3%
Grayson Loftis run for 4 yds to the DUKE 23Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
72.0%
Porter Wilson punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
72.2%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:2128% → 32%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+7
72.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the WAKE 26Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+16
72.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 16 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
71.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 14 yds to the DUKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
71.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the DUKE 41Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
71.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+10
71.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
70.7%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 25 yds to the DUKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.0%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:4269% → 68%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.0%
Grayson Loftis run for no gain to the DUKE 25Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
68.3%
Grayson Loftis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the DUKE 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0333% → 33%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
67.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the DUKE 13Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
67.1%
Mitch Griffis run for no gain to the DUKE 13Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+5
66.8%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds to the DUKE 8Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+27
66.7%
Matthew Dennis 27 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5967% → 65%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
67.3%
Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+12
67.3%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jordan Moore for 12 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
67.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
66.3%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
65.9%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
65.3%
Porter Wilson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4034% → 35%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
65.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 16Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
65.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-1
65.2%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Jaylen Stinson for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 17Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
65.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0266% → 72%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
65.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+25
65.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 25 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
72.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 32 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:1731% → 33%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
69.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
69.0%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+18
69.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 18 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
67.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 9 yds to the DUKE 40Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+6
67.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the DUKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
66.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the DUKE 31Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
66.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
66.7%
Mitch Griffis run for no gain to the DUKE 25 Mitch Griffis fumbled, recovered by WAKE Mitch Griffis (10:48) [NHSG] QB Keeper GRIFFIS, Mitch rush up the middle for no gain, GRIFFIS, Mitch fumbled at DU25 , recovered by WFU GRIFFIS, Mitch at the DU25, returned 0 yards to the DU25, End of Play.Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-2
67.1%
Tate Carney run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
70.1%
Grayson Loftis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:3335% → 44%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
65.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the DUKE 21Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
65.3%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds to the DUKE 16Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+8
65.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the DUKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.4%
Mitch Griffis run for 8 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:1060% → 71%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Jordan Waters run for no gain to the DUKE 25Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.8%
Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+24
59.2%
Jordan Waters run for 24 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
60.8%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
60.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+13
60.1%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 13 yds to the WAKE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
61.3%
Jaquez Moore run for 7 yds to the WAKE 19Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-1
60.9%
Jordan Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 20Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
59.1%
Grayson Loftis run for 5 yds to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
59.8%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the WAKE 12Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
59.6%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the WAKE 7Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
57.9%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the WAKE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
Jordan Waters run for no gain to the WAKE 4Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.4%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:3236% → 37%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
63.9%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+4
63.0%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
63.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3867% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.6%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 2 yds to the DUKE 27Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
66.7%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
65.1%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
64.3%
Porter Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:2038% → 39%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
62.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+11
61.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
60.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
59.4%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
58.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
58.1%
Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
57.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the DUKE 22Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
58.9%
(11:04) QB Keeper GRIFFIS, Mitch rush up the middle for a loss of 10 yards, GRIFFIS, Mitch fumbled at DU30 , recovered by DU DILLON, Cam at the DU32, returned 0 yards to the DU32, End of Play. PENALTY DU Offsides on OBEN, R.J. enforced 4 yards from the DU22 to the DU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-3
58.5%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 21Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
60.9%
Matthew Dennis 39 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5565% → 63%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
64.8%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
65.0%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 27Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
63.7%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jordan Moore for 2 yds to the DUKE 29Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
62.9%
Porter Wilson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:1439% → 64%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
61.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 36Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+61
60.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 61 yds to the DUKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
55.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the DUKE 1Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
54.8%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (Spencer Clapp) to the DUKE 6Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
54.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the DUKE 5Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
36.2%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:3442% → 37%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
42.3%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 8Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+7
41.6%
Grayson Loftis run for 7 yds to the DUKE 15Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+7
40.1%
Grayson Loftis run for 7 yds to the DUKE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
41.2%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 20Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
40.2%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-4
38.5%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Kevin Pointer for a loss of 4 yards to the DUKE 16Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
37.2%
Porter Wilson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:4567% → 69%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
32.6%
(00:45) CLAIBORNE, Demond rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the WFU48 (HALL, Aaron;MORRIS JR., Nick). PENALTY DU Offsides on PEEBLES, Aeneas enforced 5 yards from the WFU44 to the WFU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
32.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 49Similar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 5
OWN 49
0
31.7%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
31.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds to the DUKE 46 Mitch Griffis fumbled, recovered by DUKE Aeneas Peebles (15:00) [NHSG] GRIFFIS, Mitch scrambles up the middle for a gain of 5 yards, GRIFFIS, Mitch fumbled at DU46 forced by FREEMAN, Tre, recovered by DU PEEBLES, Aeneas at the DU46, returned 0 yards to the DU46, End of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2341% → 37%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
40.5%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
41.6%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
40.0%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
37.1%
Porter Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5569% → 68%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
30.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the WAKE 16Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
30.6%
Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
30.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
32.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:3440% → 68%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
39.6%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
38.8%
Wake Forest Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Aiden Hall) to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
67.5%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jordan Moore for 29 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4743% → 46%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Mitch Griffis run for 7 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
53.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
54.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
52.3%
Mitch Griffis sacked by DeWayne Carter and Vincent Anthony Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
54.8%
Mitch Griffis run for 6 yds to the WAKE 45Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
54.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalon Calhoun at the DUKE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0960% → 58%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+20
60.0%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 20 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
61.0%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 36Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
62.7%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
61.2%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
58.2%
Porter Wilson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:1846% → 39%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
53.7%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 19 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
51.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
48.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 7
50
+3
47.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 3 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
47.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 7 yds to the DUKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
46.6%
Mitch Griffis pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
60.9%
(04:12) WATERS, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 21 yards to the WFU42 (SLOCUM, Evan). PENALTY DU Holding on PARKER II, Brian enforced 10 yards from the DU37 to the DU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 26FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 3:4159% → 95%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-1
58.7%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 26Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 21
OWN 26
+8
57.5%
Grayson Loftis run for 8 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+14
55.2%
(02:12) LOFTIS, Grayson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the WFU35. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on JONES, DaShawn enforced 14 yards to the DU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
63.4%
Jaylen Coleman run for 7 yds to the WAKE 45Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
64.7%
Jaylen Coleman run for 5 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
64.6%
Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+15
64.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (DaShawn Jones) to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
68.7%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the WAKE 10Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
69.1%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the WAKE 7Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 2
OPP 7
0
65.6%
(00:31) [NHSG] Kneel down by LOFTIS, Grayson at WFU9 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
94.5%
Todd Pelino 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Todd Pelino 26 yd FG GOOD
+31.7
TD · Q4 11:40
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jordan Moore for 29 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
+28.7
TD · Q3 4:35
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com