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BC

Boston College 38 at Georgia Tech 23

GT
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:15 · David Shanahan punt for 50 yds, downed at the BC 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+14.6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:52: Thomas Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +15.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:06: Haynes King run for 71 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +14.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:08: Haynes King pass complete to Avery Boyd for 19 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr PAT MISSED) — GT win probability +13.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:24: Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +20.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:44: Thomas Castellanos run for 43 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +26.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:15GT 4th & 11 at GT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15BC 4th & 6 at BC 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:02GT 4th & 4 at BC 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:51BC 4th & 4 at GT 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:17BC 4th & 2 at BC 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:40GT 4th & 7 at GT 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:24BC 4th & 10 at GT 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02GT 4th & 11 at BC 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23BC 4th & 1 at GT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−1.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:41BC 4th & 6 at GT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:07GT 4th & 8 at GT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:34BC 4th & 10 at GT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:53GT 4th & 8 at BC 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:44BC 4th & 1 at GT 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−11.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−8.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:48GT 4th & 4 at GT 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:49GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:42BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:52BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:06GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:08GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:24BC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44BC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:24BC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4565% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
65.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 17 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
65.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-5
65.0%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GT 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
64.8%
David Shanahan punt for 50 yds, downed at the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0035% → 35%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
64.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
64.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
65.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
65.0%
Sam Candotti punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1365% → 65%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
65.1%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 45Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+7
65.0%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
65.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
64.8%
David Shanahan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4FG
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:1135% → 36%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
64.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 12 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
64.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Taji Johnson for 19 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
64.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 45 yds to the GT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
64.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
64.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 6 yds to the GT 6Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
63.8%
Liam Connor 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:5664% → 67%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
63.8%
Haynes King run for 14 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
64.3%
Trey Cooley run for 3 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
64.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 10 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
64.5%
Trey Cooley run for 7 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
64.7%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the BC 31 Trey Cooley fumbled, recovered by GT Trey Cooley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
64.7%
Trey Cooley run for 9 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
64.7%
Trey Cooley run for no gain to the BC 22Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
64.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
64.7%
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
66.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 16 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3234% → 34%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.7%
Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
65.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
66.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
65.7%
Sam Candotti punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3565% → 61%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
65.3%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the GT 24Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
65.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-30
61.3%
Amari Jackson 30 Yd Interception Return (Liam Connor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0262% → 61%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
62.9%
Haynes King run for 8 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
62.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
62.9%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
62.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
61.2%
David Shanahan punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:1639% → 40%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
61.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
60.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
60.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 5 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
60.0%
Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 12
OWN 40
+15
60.3%
CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TOMLIN, Dino broken up by SHELLEY, Rodney at the GT41. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on SHELLEY, Rodney enforced 15 yards to the GT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
59.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
59.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+3
60.0%
Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
60.8%
Boston College Penalty, Delay Of Game (Elijah Jones) to the GT 45Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
60.3%
Sam Candotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:2260% → 62%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
60.3%
Boston College Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Nigel Tate) to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
60.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 11 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
62.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 18 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
62.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
63.5%
Trey Cooley run for 5 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
59.6%
Trey Cooley run for 1 yd to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
60.7%
Trey Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
60.6%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
59.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
62.2%
Aidan Birr 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1040% → 59%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.7%
Alex Broome run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24 Alex Broome fumbled, recovered by BC Alex BroomeSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
60.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
60.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
58.7%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
57.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
50
+3
57.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
57.1%
Boston College Penalty, Holding Face mask on HERGEL, Kyle enforced (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+30
59.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 30 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
56.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 33Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
54.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+10
56.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 10 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+11
56.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 11 yds to the GT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
41.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:5247% → 50%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
47.0%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 22Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+13
46.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 13 yds to the GT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
47.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 9 yds to the GT 44Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
49.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 10 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
50.0%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:3655% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+24
43.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 24 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
42.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
41.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1846% → 61%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
46.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
46.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 11 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
46.7%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GT 29Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+71
61.3%
Haynes King run for 71 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:2541% → 43%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 11 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
57.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 20 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
55.2%
CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass to the right complete for 4 yards to BOND, Lewis caught at the GT47 and advanced to the GT40 (KING, Jaylon). PENALTY GT Offsides on KENNARD, Kyle enforced 5 yards from the GT44 to the GT39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 5
OPP 39
0
54.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
54.8%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
54.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the GT 30Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
53.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 3 yds to the GT 27Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-2
55.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 29Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
56.7%
Liam Connor 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3461% → 59%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
60.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
59.9%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
58.6%
David Shanahan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3343% → 42%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
57.4%
Thomas Castellanos run for 30 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
53.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
53.8%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the GT 43Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
55.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
57.7%
Sam Candotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:2660% → 80%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
60.4%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the GT 13Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+17
60.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 17 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
61.1%
Trey Cooley run for 1 yd to the GT 31Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
61.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+37
59.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Trey Cooley for 37 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
66.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 15 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
66.1%
Trey Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
79.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Avery Boyd for 19 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3829% → 57%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
70.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+31
70.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 31 yds to the GT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
67.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
64.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 5 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+27
66.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to George Takacs for 27 yds to the GT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:2552% → 50%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.1%
Haynes King run for 6 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
54.7%
Haynes King run for 20 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
57.8%
KING, Haynes pass to the left complete for 7 yards to RUTHERFORD, Malik caught at the BC42 and advanced to the BC42, End of Play. PENALTY GT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LEFTWICH, Jakiah enforced 5 yards from the BC49 to the GT46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
53.9%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
53.2%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+7
49.4%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
49.5%
David Shanahan punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:0953% → 83%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
46.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
47.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+19
49.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 19 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
43.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
43.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
43.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+43
17.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 43 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4521% → 19%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.8%
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the GT 27 Jamal Haynes fumbled, recovered by GTSimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
19.0%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:3087% → 95%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+57
13.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 57 yds to the GT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 49 yds · 1:376% → 7%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 1 yd to the GT 26Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
5.8%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
5.7%
KING, Haynes pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BLAYLOCK, Dominick thrown to the GT47. PENALTY BC Offsides on TONGRONGOU, Gilbert enforced 5 yards from the GT26 to the GT31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
5.9%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
5.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 5 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
6.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 29 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
7.2%
Dontae Smith run for 11 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
6.7%
Haynes King pass intercepted Elijah Jones fumbled, recovered by BC George RooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:4296% → 99%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
3.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
3.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+10
4.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
3.6%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
3.4%
Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
1.5%
Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
1.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the GT 38Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
0.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.9%
[SG] Kneel down by CASTELLANOS, Thomas at GT36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:44
Thomas Castellanos run for 43 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
-26.1
TD · Q4 14:24
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
-20.7
TD · Q2 0:52
Thomas Castellanos run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com