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WAKE

Wake Forest 13 at Virginia Tech 30

VT
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:34 · Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior+6.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:42: Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +6.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:59: K. Drones pass to J. Lane for 75 yds for a TD (J. Love KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:20: Matthew Dennis 28 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +10.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:06: John Love 36 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +2.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:47: Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 12 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:17VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17VT 4th & 6 at VT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:44WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:09VT 4th & 4 at VT 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:48VT 4th & 6 at WAKE 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:02WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:23VT 4th & 11 at WAKE 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:20WAKE 4th & 5 at VT 10, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:53WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:21WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:03VT 4th & 4 at VT 9, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:13WAKE 4th & 1 at VT 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−5.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:53VT 4th & 6 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.7%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:49VT 4th & 9 at WAKE 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−9.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:37WAKE 4th & 11 at VT 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−6.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:06VT 4th & 1 at WAKE 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−3.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−12.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:37WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:18WAKE 4th & 18 at VT 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:42VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:47VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4357% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 26Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
57.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
57.1%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the VT 29Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
57.0%
Peter Moore punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3743% → 43%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
57.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-2
57.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 36Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
57.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Justice Ellison for 5 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
57.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1557% → 57%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
57.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 19Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
57.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 5 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
57.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
56.9%
Peter Moore punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2543% → 43%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
57.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 23Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
57.3%
Mitch Griffis run for 4 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
57.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
57.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 36Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
57.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
56.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
57.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 49 yds, downed at the VT 3Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
56.9%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:2557% → 57%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
57.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
57.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+11
56.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
57.3%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
57.3%
Wake Forest Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
57.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 34Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+8
57.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
58.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
57.2%
Peter Moore punt for 44 yds , returns for no gain to the WAKE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:5743% → 44%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
57.4%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the WAKE 14Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+15
57.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
56.9%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+15
57.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Keonta Jenkins) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
50
-1
55.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 49Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
56.5%
Mitch Griffis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0259% → 58%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
58.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 15 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
59.2%
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
59.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
59.8%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
59.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
58.2%
John Love 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:0943% → 45%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
56.6%
Michael Kern sacked by Jorden McDonald for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+10
56.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+8
55.6%
Tate Carney run for 8 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
55.2%
Michael Kern pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
54.9%
Michael Kern sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the VT 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:4860% → 67%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
59.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 19 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
60.3%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the WAKE 23Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+20
60.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 20 yds to the WAKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4036% → 35%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.1%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 24Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
64.5%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
63.6%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
65.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:3565% → 68%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.1%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
65.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 10 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
67.4%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Illegal Snap on MOORE, Kaden enforced (Peter Moore) to the VT 33Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 15
OWN 33
-3
66.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 30Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+18
66.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 18 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
68.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 33 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
69.5%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (Jaylin Lane) to the WAKE 24Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
69.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+4
68.9%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
69.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
68.2%
John Love 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
60.8%
K. Drones pass to J. Lane for 75 yds for a TD (J. Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 3:3441% → 35%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.7%
Michael Kern pass complete to Justice Ellison for 3 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
57.8%
(03:26) KERN, Michael sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the WF31 (KENDRICKS, Mario), clock 03:23. PENALTY VT Face mask on MCDONALD, Jayden enforced 15 yards from the WF38 to the VT47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
56.6%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 48Similar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
58.0%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
58.6%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+15
59.3%
(02:47) KERN, Michael pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the VT28, clock 02:38. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on CANTEEN, Derrick enforced 15 yards to the VT37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
56.4%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 9 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
54.9%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the VT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
54.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
54.0%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
53.9%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the VT 10Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
54.7%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
64.7%
Matthew Dennis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0731% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.7%
Michael Kern run for 7 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
67.3%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.2%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
68.7%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
69.9%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
70.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:0771% → 72%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
71.9%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+30
71.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 30 yds Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by WAKE Caelen CarsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5431% → 29%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
69.2%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 30Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+10
70.2%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 10 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-2
68.0%
Michael Kern run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 38Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
70.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds , returns for no gain to the VT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0371% → 71%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
71.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
72.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+4
72.0%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 9Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
71.3%
Peter Moore punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4031% → 30%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
69.0%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
67.8%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
68.3%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the VT 46Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
70.0%
Michael Kern run for no gain to the VT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 6:2678% → 82%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
77.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
78.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 6
50
0
77.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 6
50
+18
75.8%
Cole Nelson run for 18 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
79.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 3 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
78.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 7 yds to the WAKE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
79.1%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the WAKE 17Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
79.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+8
78.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the WAKE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
79.7%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 12 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by VT Kyron DronesSimilar
Q3 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
81.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 6 yds to the WAKE 6Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
80.2%
Kyron Drones sacked by Chelen Garnes and Malik Mustapha for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 9Similar
Q3 0:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
82.4%
John Love 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1219% → 22%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
81.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 24 yds to the WAKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
79.7%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 17 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
78.3%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 8 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+12
78.0%
Justice Ellison run for 12 yds to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-11
78.0%
Michael Kern sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 11 yards to the VT 25Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 21
OPP 25
-5
79.8%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 30Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 26
OPP 30
+15
80.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the VT 15Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
80.6%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+34
78.3%
Matthew Dennis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 4:3183% → 90%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.2%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
84.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
85.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 15 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
87.0%
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
87.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 9 yds to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
87.5%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
87.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+36
89.8%
John Love 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0511% → 11%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
88.6%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 15 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
88.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Cameron Hite for 6 yds to the WAKE 45Similar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.6%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+12
88.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Justice Ellison for 12 yds to the VT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
88.0%
Michael Kern run for 2 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-6
88.6%
Michael Kern sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:5692% → 99%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
92.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the WAKE 45Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
92.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
93.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 16 yds to the WAKE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
93.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
94.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the WAKE 13Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
94.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the WAKE 12Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
98.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 12 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
97.9%
Michael Kern sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
98.1%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+1
98.1%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 29Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+16
98.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 16 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
98.0%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 42 Mitch Griffis fumbled, recovered by WAKE Mitch GriffisSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+34
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 34 yds to the VT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-8
97.7%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 8 yards to the VT 32Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 18
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 18
OPP 32
-6
98.1%
Mitch Griffis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
(00:09) [NHSG] Kneel down by DRONES, Kyron at VT37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:20
Matthew Dennis 28 yd FG GOOD
+10
TD · Q2 3:59
K. Drones pass to J. Lane for 75 yds for a TD (J. Love KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q2 10:42
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com