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SYR

Syracuse 3 at Florida State 41

FSU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:14 · Brady Denaburg 37 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+16.7Home team on offense+23.7Score differential+16.0Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:05: Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:26: Brady Denaburg 37 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +0.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:41: Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 58 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:11: Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:47: Lawrance Toafili run for 50 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:24SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:33SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:44SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55FSU 4th & 6 at SYR 30, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26SYR 4th & 6 at FSU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:45FSU 4th & 4 at SYR 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:55SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:03FSU 4th & 1 at SYR 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:57SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:09FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:54FSU 4th & 9 at SYR 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:23SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:14SYR 4th & 11 at FSU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:01FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:22SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:06FSU 4th & 11 at SYR 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:21SYR 4th & 7 at FSU 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:00SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:29SYR 4th & 1 at FSU 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:08SYR 4th & 10 at FSU 26, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:05FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:41FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:11FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:47FSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:57FSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2110% → 10%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Shyheim Brown and Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 5 yards to the SYR 20Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
90.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
90.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 14 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+45
90.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Keon Coleman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0590% → 90%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
90.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 11 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
89.9%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FSU 36Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
89.8%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+12
89.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 12 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
89.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 27 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
89.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for a loss of 1 yard Keon Coleman fumbled, forced by Alijah Clark, recovered by FSU Trey BensonSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+7
89.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 7 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+14
89.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 14 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:1710% → 11%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
89.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
89.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
89.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
88.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the SYR 46Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
89.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0389% → 89%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Destyn HillSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Destyn HillSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.0%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FSU 27Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2411% → 11%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
88.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-2
88.6%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 30Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
88.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Keon Coleman returns for no gain to the FSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3989% → 89%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
88.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the FSU 28Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+19
88.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 19 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+19
88.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 19 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
89.0%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
88.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 2 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
88.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
88.6%
Ryan Fitzgerald 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:1412% → 13%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 11 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
88.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
88.0%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 41Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+18
88.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 18 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
87.4%
Donovan Brown pass complete to Garrett Shrader for 9 yds to the FSU 32Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+8
86.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
87.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the FSU 20Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
86.8%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the FSU 20Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
87.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
86.7%
Brady Denaburg 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3287% → 91%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.3%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.3%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 30Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
87.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 12 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
91.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 58 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 5 Garrett Shrader fumbled, forced by Joshua Farmer, recovered by FSU Jared Verse , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds to the SYR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2591% → 91%
Q2 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.3%
Deuce Spann run for 1 yd to the SYR 4Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Trey BensonSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle MorlockSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Destyn HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:359% → 9%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
90.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 7Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 7
-6
91.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Shyheim Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 1Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 13
OWN 1
0
91.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 13
OWN 1
+16
91.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 16 yds to the SYR 17 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SYR 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5292% → 92%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-15
91.8%
Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FSU 46Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
91.8%
Trey Benson run for 19 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
91.8%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
91.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Trey BensonSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+7
91.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
91.6%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SYR 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:579% → 9%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-1
91.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 26Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+22
91.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 22 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
90.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 8
50
-4
90.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
90.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
91.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:4292% → 93%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
92.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Destyn Hill for 5 yds to the FSU 17Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
91.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+8
91.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Destyn Hill for 8 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 11 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
92.0%
Jordan Travis sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the FSU 24 Jordan Travis fumbled, forced by Kevin Jobity Jr., recovered by FSUSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 22
OWN 24
+5
91.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+6
92.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 6 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · -5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
92.2%
TEAM rush for loss of 1 yard to the SYRACUSE17, PENALTY SYRACUSE substitution infraction 5 yards to the SYRACUSE13, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:5892% → 92%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.9%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FSU 30Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
91.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon ColemanSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+27
91.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 27 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
92.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 4 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-3
92.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Destyn Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
92.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
91.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:318% → 8%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
91.8%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the SYR 4Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+5
91.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
92.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+4
92.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 13Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+7
91.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 54 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 7 yds to the FSU 20 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5692% → 97%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+39
92.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 39 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
92.7%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+14
92.9%
Trey Benson run for 14 yds to the SYR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
93.0%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
93.0%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the SYR 2Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:443% → 3%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
97.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+27
97.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 27 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+22
97.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 22 yds to the FSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.8%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the FSU 18Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
97.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the FSU 14Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
97.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to LeQuint AllenSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 6
OPP 14
-5
97.3%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FSU 19Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
97.4%
Brady Denaburg 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 3:0198% → 98%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
97.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FSU 38Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
98.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 2 yds to the FSU 40Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
98.1%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle MorlockSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 3 yds to the FSU 45Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon ColemanSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 7
OWN 45
-5
98.0%
Florida State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FSU 40Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 12
OWN 40
-5
98.0%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 35Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+5
98.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds , D'Marcus Adams returns for 5 yds to the SYR 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:302% → 1%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
98.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 15 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
98.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+72
98.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 72 yds to the SYR 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q3 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.7%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
98.7%
Jordan Travis sacked by Justin Barron and Derek McDonald for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 11Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Trey BensonSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
98.8%
Ryan Fitzgerald 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:291% → 1%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
98.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
50
0
98.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
50
+3
98.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 3 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
98.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to D'Marcus AdamsSimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
98.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FSU 22Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
99.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 7 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+13
99.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 13 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.1%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 45Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
99.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 2
50
+50
99.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 50 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Juwaun Price run for no gain to the SYR 25Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
99.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 58 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 13 yds to the FSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Caziah Holmes for 16 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 7 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 44 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27INT
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:330% → 0%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the SYR 29Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Juwaun Price for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the FSU 45Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the FSU 42Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 1 yd to the FSU 41Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the FSU 34Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+8
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Dan Villari for 8 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Juwaun PriceSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 10
OPP 26
-13
100.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted Greedy Vance Jr. return for 13 yds to the FSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:11
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q2 7:41
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 58 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+4
TD · Q1 9:05
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com