Try the model
GT

Georgia Tech 23 at Miami 20

MIA
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Hard Rock Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-9MIA 35.3%Aidan Birr 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q4 12:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:11 · Aidan Birr 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+11.4Home team on offense−18.1Garbage-time factor−5.5Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:19: Haynes King run for 6 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +12.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 1:09: Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +22.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:11: Aidan Birr 27 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +9.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:55: Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +32.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:01: Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — GT win probability +70.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:10GT 4th & 9 at GT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:09MIA 4th & 4 at GT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14GT 4th & 4 at MIA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59MIA 4th & 6 at GT 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:29GT 4th & 3 at GT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06MIA 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:32GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:06MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:42GT 4th & 11 at GT 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:11GT 4th & 4 at MIA 9, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%−1.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−17.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:23MIA 4th & 17 at GT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−8.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−21.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:41GT 4th & 15 at GT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q3 6:37MIA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:19GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:09GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:55MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:01GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:508% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the GT 26 Jamal Haynes fumbled, recovered by GT Jamal HaynesSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
92.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
92.1%
David Shanahan punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:5592% → 91%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
91.9%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
91.8%
Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MIA 28Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
91.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.5%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the GT 49Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
91.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 48Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+9
91.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 21
OWN 28
+12
90.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the MIA 40Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
90.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 45Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-2
90.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5510% → 10%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
90.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 3 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-3
90.3%
Haynes King run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 45Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
90.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 6 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
90.0%
David Shanahan punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:1190% → 89%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.1%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 26Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+12
89.9%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 12 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
89.9%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 43Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
89.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 6 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.7%
Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
89.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
89.1%
Dylan Joyce punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2411% → 12%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
88.9%
Miami Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the GT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.7%
Haynes King run for 1 yd to the GT 26Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
88.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Benson for 6 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for no gain to the GT 32Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.1%
David Shanahan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MIA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1688% → 88%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.2%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 35Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
88.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 9 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
88.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
88.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
50
0
87.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 4
50
0
87.5%
Dylan Joyce punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT
15 plays · 49 yds · 6:1013% → 17%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
86.9%
Trey Cooley run for no gain to the GT 5Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
86.9%
Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Corey Flagg Jr.) to the GT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.6%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
86.3%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
86.3%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.8%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
85.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 8 yds to the GT 38Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
84.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
84.5%
Haynes King run for 13 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
83.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
83.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Avery Boyd for 1 yd to the MIA 41Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
82.5%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 46Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
83.1%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:1686% → 84%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
85.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 8 yds to the MIA 43Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
86.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
86.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
85.9%
Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the GT 46Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
85.6%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
85.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 25 yds to the GT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
85.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
85.9%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 18 yds Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GT 25Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+4
85.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 21Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
84.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5319% → 19%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.4%
Trey Cooley run for 4 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
80.5%
Trey Cooley run for 1 yd to the GT 30Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
80.4%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GT 25Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.6%
Trey Cooley run for 3 yds to the GT 28Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.1%
David Shanahan punt for 49 yds, downed at the MIA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 1:2282% → 85%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
81.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
82.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 4 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
83.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+11
82.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
83.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 10 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
82.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 12 yds to the GT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
83.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 9 yds to the GT 16Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
82.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
83.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+30
85.3%
Andres Borregales 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5683% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
82.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 22Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+20
83.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 20 yds to the MIA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
84.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 43Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
84.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the MIA 45Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+4
83.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 4 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
82.3%
Dylan Joyce punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GT 13Similar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
81.6%
(11:58) KING, Haynes pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to SINGLETON, JR., Eric caught at the GAT12 and advanced to the GAT20 (DAVIS, Jaden), clock 11:53. PENALTY GAT Holding on LEONARD, Dylan enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the GAT13 to the GAT7 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5818% → 17%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+5
81.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 12Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
81.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
82.2%
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the GT 12Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
82.6%
David Shanahan punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:5983% → 90%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
50
+3
83.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
83.5%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the GT 46Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+6
82.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the GT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
83.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 7 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
83.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
83.5%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the GT 24Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
83.3%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
90.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Riley Williams for 22 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1711% → 26%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
88.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Benson for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 23Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
88.9%
Haynes King run for 6 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+34
89.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 34 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
87.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
87.4%
(04:59) KING, Haynes pass to the right incomplete intended for BOYD, Avery thrown to the MIA27; QB hurried by MAUIGOA, Francisco, clock 04:55. PENALTY MIA Roughing the Passer on MAUIGOA, Francisco enforced 15 yards from the MIA37 to the MIA22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
86.3%
Haynes King run for 14 yds to the MIA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
86.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Benson for 7 yds to the MIA 1Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
86.9%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Ethan Mackenny) to the MIA 6Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.2%
Haynes King run for 6 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3278% → 78%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for no gain to the MIA 25Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:2627% → 50%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
72.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 16 yds to the MIA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
72.4%
Haynes King run for 6 yds to the MIA 4Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.7%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17INT
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:4857% → 44%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 25Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+47
56.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 47 yds to the GT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
62.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
62.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
59.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
44.4%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Connor Scaglione) to the MIA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0355% → 65%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+13
44.9%
Trey Cooley run for 13 yds to the MIA 7Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-4
43.5%
Zach Pyron run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 11Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
44.3%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the MIA 9Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
35.3%
Aidan Birr 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1641% → 73%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 26Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
40.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 10 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 40Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+57
39.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 57 yds to the GT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:1838% → 41%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 14 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
58.5%
Trey Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 38Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
59.3%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5972% → 76%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
71.7%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the GT 11Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-1
71.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 12Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-9
68.4%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Paul Moala for a loss of 9 yards to the GT 21Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+39
75.7%
Andres Borregales 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:4228% → 25%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.1%
Haynes King sacked by Rueben Bain Jr. and Branson Deen for a loss of 5 yards to the GT 20Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
73.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
74.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
75.4%
David Shanahan punt for 58 yds, downed at the MIA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23FUMBLE
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:5777% → 95%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
76.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 25Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
77.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 29Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
79.8%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 5 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
81.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 39Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+15
87.4%
(02:37) CHANEY, JR., Donald rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the MIA42 (WHITE JR., Andre), clock 02:32. PENALTY GAT Face mask on WHITE JR., Andre enforced 15 yards from the MIA42 to the GAT43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
88.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the GT 38Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+4
88.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
89.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
92.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 32Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+2
93.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the GT 30Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+4
94.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 26 fumbled, recovered by GT Kyle KennardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:2417% → 95%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
82.6%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+30
83.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 30 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
5.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
19.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 4 yds Jacolby George fumbled, recovered by GT Myles Sims , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-70.7
TD · Q4 9:55
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+32.8
TD · Q3 1:09
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-22.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com