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VT

Virginia Tech 17 at Florida State 39

FSU
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:34: Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +2.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:47: Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 64 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 99 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +4.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:19: Trey Benson run for 62 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:28: Trey Benson run for 85 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 7:42VT 4th & 9 at VT 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50VT 4th & 5 at VT 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:10VT 4th & 7 at VT 21, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:39FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 39, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37VT 4th & 12 at FSU 12, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:41FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 22, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:27VT 4th & 1 at FSU 49, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:00VT 4th & 2 at FSU 39, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24VT 4th & 1 at FSU 21, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:59VT 4th & 14 at VT 35, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:34FSU 4th & 1 at VT 13, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23FSU 4th & 7 at VT 8, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−3.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:12VT 4th & 8 at VT 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:39VT 4th & 22 at FSU 36, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:57VT 4th & 9 at VT 48, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:37FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 35, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:13FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:44FSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:34FSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:46VT Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:47VT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:19FSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:28FSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:2294% → 93%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
93.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
93.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 14 yds to the VT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
93.6%
Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FSU 41 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Benson) to the FSU 49Similar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 12
OWN 49
-5
93.5%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 44Similar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 17
OWN 44
+6
93.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 11
50
+4
93.3%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
93.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.2%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson, Johnny, PENALTY VATECH offside (Pollard, Norell) 5 yards to the VATECH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+2
93.2%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+8
93.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 8 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
93.0%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
92.9%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the VT 13Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
92.7%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the VT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
92.7%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
93.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds for a TD (B. Courtney Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:187% → 7%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for no gain to the VT 21Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
92.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the VT 22Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
93.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
93.0%
Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:4593% → 94%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
92.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 9 yds to the FSU 43Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
92.9%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
92.8%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 6
50
+19
92.7%
Trey Benson run for 19 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon ColemanSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
92.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
93.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 28 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:407% → 7%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
93.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+32
93.3%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 32 yds to the VT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:0194% → 95%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
93.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 16 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle MorlockSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
93.8%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 30Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+11
93.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 11 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
93.7%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the VT 18Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
93.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kyle MorlockSimilar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
95.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:095% → 4%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
95.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 18Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
95.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+3
95.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 3 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+1
95.6%
Peter Moore punt for 42 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 1 yd to the FSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3196% → 96%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
95.6%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (Maurice Smith) to the FSU 33Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
95.5%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
95.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 4 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Jordan Travis run for 10 yds to the FSU 49 Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Casey Roddick) to the FSU 39Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
96.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
95.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:234% → 6%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
95.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 12 yds to the VT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
95.8%
Drones, Kyron pass pass intercepted by Thomas, Azareye'h at the VATECH45, Thomas, Azareye'h return 0 yards to the VATECH45, PENALTY FLORIDAST roughing passer (Turner Jr., Byron) 15 yards to the VATECH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
95.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
50
+40
95.8%
Kyron Drones run for 40 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.8%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the FSU 10Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
96.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 12Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
94.5%
John Love 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2796% → 95%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
95.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 28Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
95.2%
Jordan Travis sacked by C.J. McCray for a loss of 6 yards to the FSU 22Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
95.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
19 plays · 70 yds · 6:146% → 10%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
94.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
94.3%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 40Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+5
94.6%
Florida State Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the VT 45Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
94.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
94.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 6 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
94.2%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
94.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
94.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+9
94.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 9 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
94.0%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
94.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the FSU 23Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
94.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 2 yds to the FSU 21Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
94.1%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the FSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
93.8%
Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the FSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
93.4%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the FSU 5Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
91.6%
Jordan Travis sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 10 yards to the FSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1887% → 93%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
86.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 13 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
92.9%
Trey Benson run for 62 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:098% → 8%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 14 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-6
91.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 35Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
91.9%
Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, downed at the FSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:1693% → 95%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
92.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Rodney Hill for 8 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+30
92.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Destyn Hill for 30 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
93.0%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jalen Stroman) to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
93.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 2 yds to the VT 20Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
93.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds to the VT 14Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
92.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the VT 13Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
93.1%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the VT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
93.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
93.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
93.3%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (Markeston Douglas) to the VT 10Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+2
93.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the VT 8Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
94.9%
Ryan Fitzgerald 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:576% → 5%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
94.1%
Drones, Kyron rush for 5 yards to the VATECH30, PENALTY VATECH holding (Thomas, Malachi) 10 yards to the VATECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
94.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 20Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+21
94.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 21 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
94.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
93.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 1
50
-2
93.7%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 48 Kyron Drones fumbled, forced by Patrick Payton, recovered by VT Kyron DronesSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
95.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VT 43Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+48
95.2%
Peter Moore punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 18 Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deuce Spann) to the FSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5396% → 96%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
96.2%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 10Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+11
96.3%
Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
96.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 8 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-5
96.6%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 24Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
96.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
96.4%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+8
96.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 59 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 8 yds to the VT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:465% → 3%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.3%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
95.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 11 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
95.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 5
50
+8
95.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 8 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
95.6%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Greene, Ayden, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Greene, Ayden) 15 yards to the VATECH43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+5
96.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+10
96.2%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Lane, Jaylin, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Jones, Jarrian) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
95.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 18 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
95.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-7
96.2%
Kyron Drones sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 31Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 17
OPP 31
+5
96.5%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDAST offside (Verse, Jared) 5 yards to the FLORIDAST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 12
OPP 26
-10
96.3%
Drones, Kyron pass complete to Gosnell, Stephen for 14 yards to the FLORIDAST12, PENALTY VATECH holding (Meadows, Brody) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 22
OPP 36
+21
96.6%
Kyron Drones run for 21 yds to the FSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
99.2%
Trey Benson run for 85 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.4%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VT 48Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4099% → 100%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.4%
Trey Benson run for 8 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Rodney Hill run for 5 yds to the FSU 32Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
99.5%
Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+46
99.5%
Bryce Duke run for 31 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Quindarrius Jones) to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.5%
Bryce Duke run for 8 yds to the FSU 31 Bryce Duke fumbled, forced by Akeem Dent, recovered by VT Tucker HollowaySimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
99.4%
Chance Black run for 3 yds to the FSU 28 Chance Black fumbled, forced by Conrad Hussey, recovered by FSU Conrad HusseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 26Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 24Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 14
OWN 24
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:19
Trey Benson run for 62 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 14:47
Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 64 yds , Bhayshul Tuten return for 99 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q4 8:28
Trey Benson run for 85 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com