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BGSU

Bowling Green 38 at Georgia Tech 27

GT
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:23 · Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 13 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+16.4Home team on offense−34.6Score differential−21.1Garbage-time factor−11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:37: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 14 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:33: Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:13: Terion Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +30.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:28: Deshawn Jones Jr. 45 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +18.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:25: Malik Rutherford 15 Yd pass from Haynes King (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GT win probability +10.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:35BGSU 4th & 13 at GT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:43GT 4th & 8 at GT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46BGSU 4th & 9 at GT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:56GT 4th & 11 at GT 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:27BGSU 4th & 14 at GT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:19GT 4th & 10 at GT 47, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:19BGSU 4th & 7 at GT 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:19GT 4th & 1 at BGSU 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−2.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−11.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:23GT 4th & 4 at BGSU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:23BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:01BGSU 4th & 15 at GT 35, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:43GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:40GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:16BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:37BGSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:33BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:13BGSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:28BGSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:25GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:35GT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
93.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 53 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:087% → 8%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.9%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on MOALA, Paul enforced (Paul Moala) to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.9%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 42Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+14
92.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 14 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
92.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Eddie Kelly and Zeek Biggers for a loss of 10 yards to the BGSU 46Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+7
92.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 7 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
92.5%
Jackson Kleather punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5593% → 93%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
92.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 20 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
92.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 19 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
92.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+15
92.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 15 yds to the BGSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Christian Leary for 11 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:247% → 9%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 6 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
92.7%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
92.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andrew Bench for 8 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+32
92.7%
Terion Stewart run for 32 yds to the GT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.4%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the GT 26Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
92.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+10
92.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 10 yds to the GT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
92.4%
Camden Orth run for 3 yds to the GT 13Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+11
92.2%
Camden Orth run for 11 yds to the GT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+3
92.2%
(04:53) QB Keeper ORTH, Camden rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the GT5, End of Play. PENALTY GT Personal Foul on KELLY, Eddie enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the GT2 to the GT1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2891% → 91%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
91.4%
Trey Cooley run for 1 yd to the GT 30Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-5
91.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Trey Cooley for a loss of 5 yards to the GT 25Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 14
OWN 25
-5
91.2%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Eric Singleton Jr.) to the GT 20Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+11
91.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 11 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
90.8%
David Shanahan punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:579% → 10%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
90.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andrew Bench for 2 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
90.7%
Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
90.2%
(01:35) HILIARE, Odieu rush up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the GT32, out of bounds. PENALTY BG Holding enforced 10 yards from the GT45 to the BG45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+6
90.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 6 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+5
90.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 5 yds to the GT 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
90.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
90.4%
Jackson Kleather punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5091% → 90%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
90.5%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 19Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
90.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
90.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
89.9%
David Shanahan punt for 60 ydsSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
90.0%
Bowling Green Penalty, False Start (Odieu Hiliare) to the BGSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:2910% → 13%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+11
90.2%
Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the BGSU 42Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
89.7%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+27
89.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Terion Stewart for 27 yds to the GT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
89.2%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Kevin Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the GT 36Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+17
89.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 17 yds to the GT 19Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
89.5%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the GT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-10
89.3%
Bowling Green Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GT 29Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 21
OPP 29
+7
89.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
89.9%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
89.2%
Camden Orth run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 19Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
87.2%
Alan Anaya 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0287% → 87%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
87.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 15 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
87.8%
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the GT 47Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
87.7%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
87.0%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 47
-7
86.5%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the GT 40 fumbled, recovered by BGSU Finn HoganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:4215% → 22%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
85.5%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 42Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
85.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+5
86.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 5 yds to the GT 37Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+10
86.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 10 yds to the GT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
85.0%
Bowling Green Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GT 34Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+8
85.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 8 yds to the GT 26Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+12
85.0%
Terion Stewart run for 12 yds to the GT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
84.2%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the GT 14Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
84.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
77.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 14 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 1:5380% → 76%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 12 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.4%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
81.2%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the GT 46Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
81.1%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
81.5%
Bowling Green Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Joseph Sipp Jr.) to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
82.6%
Haynes King sacked by Billie Roberts for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 25Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 14
OPP 25
0
81.6%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 14
OPP 25
0
79.3%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Haynes King) to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 32
OPP 43
0
76.2%
David Shanahan punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
75.8%
[NH] Kneel down by BG at BG12 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2724% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
75.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 50 yds to the GT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
73.0%
Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the GT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
73.0%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the GT 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
73.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+10
73.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 10 yds to the GT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
73.0%
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the GT 1Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:0860% → 56%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
59.7%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 21Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+8
59.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 8 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+9
59.1%
KING, Haynes pass to the right incomplete intended for RUTHERFORD, Malik thrown to the GT38. PENALTY BG Pass Interference on SIPP JR., Joseph enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the GT38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
61.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 24 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
62.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 15 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
64.1%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
64.1%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 14Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
57.1%
Haynes King run for no gain to the BGSU 14Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
55.6%
Haynes King run for no gain to the BGSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 5:0645% → 79%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
54.8%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
55.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-16
55.9%
BAZELAK, Connor pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to IBRAHIM, Abdul-Fatai caught at the BG31 and advanced to the BG33 (KING, Jaylon). PENALTY BG Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the BG17 to the BG8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 16
OWN 8
+16
56.4%
Connor Bazelak run for 16 yds to the BGSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
54.4%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
55.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+10
56.1%
BAZELAK, Connor pass short up the middle incomplete intended for HILIARE, Odieu thrown to the BG25. PENALTY GT Holding on DANIELS, Omar enforced 10 yards from the BG22 to the BG32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
53.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 23 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
51.8%
Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
51.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 28 yds to the GT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
51.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
20.9%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:3928% → 10%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
28.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 19 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-45
10.2%
Deshawn Jones Jr. 45 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 1:5810% → 21%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+31
9.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
50
0
10.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
50
+16
10.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 16 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
11.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
11.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
11.4%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+13
10.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 13 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
21.4%
Malik Rutherford 15 Yd pass from Haynes King (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3789% → 90%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.1%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
11.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 4 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
11.3%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
9.9%
Sami Sir punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19INT
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:1113% → 12%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
12.6%
Bowling Green Penalty, Targeting on LORFILS, Darius enforced (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
50
0
13.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
50
+18
13.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 18 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
14.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 13 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
12.4%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 60 yds · 8:1191% → 98%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
8.9%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 5Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
9.1%
QB Keeper BAZELAK, Connor rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the BG3 (BIGGERS, Zeek;KENNARD, Kyle). PENALTY GT Face mask on BIGGERS, Zeek enforced 15 yards from the BG5 to the BG20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
8.2%
Terion Stewart run for 17 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
7.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
7.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 4 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
7.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
7.6%
Terion Stewart run for 10 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
3.7%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 45Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+15
3.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 15 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
3.4%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 32Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-10
3.5%
KEITH, Ta'ron rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the GT20 (POWELL-LEE, Clayton). PENALTY BG Holding on FATUKASI, Tunde enforced 10 yards from the GT32 to the GT42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 22
OPP 42
+3
1.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+4
1.8%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the GT 35Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
2.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:261% → 5%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
1.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 10 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
1.2%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
1.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 8 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
1.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 4 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
1.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
1.2%
Haynes King run for 15 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
1.5%
Haynes King sacked by Adrian Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 31Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+15
1.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Dontae Smith for 15 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.4%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
4.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 16 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:3497% → 97%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.5%
[NH] Kneel down by BG at BG49 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
3.7%
[NH] Kneel down by BG at BG48 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
3.3%
[NH] Kneel down by BG at BG47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:13
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
-30.1
TD · Q3 2:28
Deshawn Jones Jr. 45 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick)
-18.3
TD · Q3 11:33
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com