Try the model
CLEM

Clemson 31 at Syracuse 14

SYR
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · JMA Wireless Dome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:17 · Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Brown at the CLEM 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense−24.9Pregame prior−5.8Score differential−11.8Garbage-time factor−7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:26: Dan Villari 28 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Brady Denaburg Kick) — SYR win probability +4.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:23: Beaux Collins 47 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick) — CLEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Brady Denaburg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — SYR win probability +6.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:23: Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +11.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:38: Phil Mafah run for 32 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:08SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:44CLEM 4th & 5 at SYR 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:38SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:06CLEM 4th & 2 at SYR 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    67.5%−1.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−6.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:25SYR 4th & 10 at CLEM 39, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:32SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:49SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:45CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:53SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:58CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:17SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−2.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:31CLEM 4th & 6 at SYR 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−1.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:14SYR 4th & 12 at midfield, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:18CLEM 4th & 6 at SYR 46, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:03CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:53CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:26SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:23CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:23SYR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:38CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2630% → 30%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
29.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
30.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
30.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 19 yds to the CLEM 45 Garrett Shrader fumbled, forced by Justin Mascoll, recovered by CLEM Payton PageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0470% → 70%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
30.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 4 yds to the CLEM 49Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
30.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+16
30.3%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Randall, Adam, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference 16 yards to the SYRACUSE35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
30.3%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+10
30.4%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the SYR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
30.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 2 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
30.9%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the SYR 14Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
29.7%
Troy Stellato 14 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4830% → 30%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
30.2%
Garrett Shrader sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-4
30.2%
Garrett Shrader sacked by T.J. Parker and Tyler Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 14Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+5
29.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+31
29.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 35 Syracuse Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1671% → 70%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
29.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
29.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-2
29.5%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 45Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+23
30.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 8 Clemson Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-14 Yards) to the SYR 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
30.4%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 3 LeQuint Allen fumbled, recovered by CLEM Xavier Thomas , return for 20 yds to the SYR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2771% → 73%
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
29.4%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the SYR 2Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.6%
Will Shipley 2 Yd Run (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2328% → 32%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for no gain to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 12 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
28.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
27.8%
Allen, LeQuint rush for 16 yards to the CLEMSON47, PENALTY SYRACUSE holding (Petry, Mark) 10 yards to the SYRACUSE27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+37
27.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 37 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
27.5%
Dan Villari pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
27.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+28
32.2%
Dan Villari 28 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:4669% → 69%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.7%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
30.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 11 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
29.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
30.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 8 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
29.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
29.6%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 11
50
0
29.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 11
50
-9
30.1%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 9 yards to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 20
OWN 41
+2
31.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds , D'Marcus Adams returns for 2 yds to the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5231% → 31%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
31.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
30.7%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (Dan Villari) to the SYR 15Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+10
30.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 10 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
30.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Tyler Brown at the CLEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10DOWNS
16 plays · 70 yds · 6:1269% → 72%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
31.2%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the CLEM 23 Will Shipley fumbled, forced by Marlowe Wax, recovered by CLEM Will ShipleySimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
30.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+9
31.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
30.7%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
31.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+16
31.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 16 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
29.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 2 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-5
29.5%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Trent Howard) to the CLEM 48Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
30.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Misun KelleySimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+16
31.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (Marlowe Wax) to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
29.4%
Tyler Brown run for 23 yds to the SYR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
29.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
28.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 4 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
28.3%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the SYR 5Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 2
OPP 5
-7
28.1%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:3531% → 32%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
31.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
31.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+12
30.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
31.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 8 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+14
33.1%
Villari, Dan pass incomplete, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference 14 yards to the CLEMSON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
33.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
33.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+57
31.7%
Brady Denaburg 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 0:5573% → 82%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
27.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+14
27.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 14 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
17.9%
Beaux Collins 47 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4422% → 21%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
21.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
20.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tyler Brown at the CLEM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:2782% → 86%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
18.3%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 14Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+8
18.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 8 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+27
17.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 27 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
16.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 5 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
15.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 2 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
15.1%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Briningstool, Jake, PENALTY SYRACUSE offside (Jobity Jr., Kevin) 5 yards to the SYRACUSE39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
14.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 14 yds to the SYR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+42
14.1%
Jonathan Weitz 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:5381% → 85%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
19.1%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
19.1%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Collins, Beaux, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Johnson, Isaiah) 15 yards to the CLEMSON45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+47
17.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 47 yds to the SYR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
16.8%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 5 yards to the SYR 13Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-8
16.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 21Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 0
OPP 21
0
16.2%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the SYR 21Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 0
OPP 21
+38
14.7%
Jonathan Weitz 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0616% → 14%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 8 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
16.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 34Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
15.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
15.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-4
15.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Barrett Carter and Justin Mascoll for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
14.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 49 yds, downed at the CLEM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5887% → 87%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
13.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
13.1%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the CLEM 15Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
13.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+48
13.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 48 yds , D'Marcus Adams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4714% → 13%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
14.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the SYR 37Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-4
13.8%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+7
13.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
13.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4389% → 89%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
11.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
10.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
11.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+5
11.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 49 yds , D'Marcus Adams returns for 5 yds to the SYR 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2813% → 12%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
12.8%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Ruke Orhorhoro for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+14
12.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 14 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+6
13.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
13.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 8
50
0
13.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 8
50
-8
13.0%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. and T.J. Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
12.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Brown at the CLEM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:5092% → 93%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
8.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 18Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+18
8.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 18 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
7.6%
Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+17
6.6%
Will Shipley run for 17 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
6.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for a loss of 7 yards Jake Briningstool fumbled, forced by Myles Farmer, recovered by SYR Jayden Bellamy , return for 13 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:379% → 22%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
9.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+35
9.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 35 yds to the CLEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
9.6%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the CLEM 1Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 0
OPP 1
-5
10.4%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 6Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 4:4782% → 88%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.0%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 24Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
18.3%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 23Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
16.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 19 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
12.4%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 37Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+16
13.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 16 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
11.8%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-1
11.3%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 43Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
11.4%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Collins, Beaux, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Shipley, Will) off-setting, PENALTY SYRACUSE Pass Interference (Johnson, Isaiah) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-5
11.4%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Mayes) to the SYR 48Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
11.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 11
OPP 48
+5
12.8%
Swanson, Aidan punt 38 yards to the SYRACUSE10, Adams, D'Marcus return 5 yards to the SYRACUSE15, PENALTY SYRACUSE running into kicker (Sparrow, Anwar) 5 yards to the SYRACUSE43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
12.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:3813% → 13%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
13.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 4 yds to the SYR 13Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+8
12.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 8 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
12.5%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Jeremiah Trotter Jr. return for no gain to the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
3.0%
Phil Mafah run for 32 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:195% → 3%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
4.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
4.0%
Shrader, Garrett pass incomplete to Allen, LeQuint, PENALTY CLEMSON personal foul 10 yards to the SYRACUSE47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
3.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Garrett Shrader for no gain Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by SYR Garrett ShraderSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
3.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 48Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+2
3.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 12
50
0
2.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3898% → 98%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
50
+5
2.0%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
1.7%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the SYR 45Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-1
1.7%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 46Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
1.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:502% → 2%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
2.4%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the SYR 6Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+5
1.7%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the SYR 11Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+15
1.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 15 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
1.8%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
1.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Kendall Long for 5 yds to the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:23
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q2 2:23
Beaux Collins 47 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick)
-9.9
TD · Q4 6:38
Phil Mafah run for 32 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com