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VT

Virginia Tech 17 at Marshall 24

MRSH
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:17 · Peter Moore punt for 46 yds, downed at the MRSH 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense−2.5Pregame prior+5.0Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:50: Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:10: Rasheen Ali run for 56 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:22: Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:14: Kyron Drones run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +12.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40: TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 33 — MRSH win probability +8.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 7:41VT 4th & 3 at MRSH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:49MRSH 4th & 10 at VT 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:17VT 4th & 10 at VT 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:47VT 4th & 4 at MRSH 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:13MRSH 4th & 11 at VT 46, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    66.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:55MRSH 4th & 3 at VT 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39VT 4th & 2 at VT 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:16MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 24, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:54VT 4th & 10 at VT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:50MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54VT 4th & 8 at VT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:49VT 4th & 24 at VT 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:12VT 4th & 9 at VT 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:44MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:50VT 4th & 15 at VT 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:38MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:55MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:50VT 4th & 3 at VT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−2.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:43VT 4th & 6 at MRSH 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−4.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:59VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:50MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:10MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:22MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:14VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5144% → 45%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.3%
Kyron Drones sacked by Eli Neal and Sam Burton for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 23Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
56.3%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
56.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 12 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
56.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the VT 42Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+27
56.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 27 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
55.0%
Kyron Drones run for 31 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0755% → 55%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
55.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 10 yds to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
55.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the MRSH 43Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
55.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
55.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
55.2%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted Keli Lawson return for 4 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5446% → 47%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
54.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
53.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
53.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the MRSH 36 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
53.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 5 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
53.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:4854% → 53%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
54.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 32Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+12
53.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 12 yds to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.2%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Caleb McMillanSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
53.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 8 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
54.3%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
54.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 13 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
54.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
54.6%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Caleb McMillanSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
53.8%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
52.8%
Rece Verhoff 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2548% → 47%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
52.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
52.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-5
52.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 31Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+1
52.5%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 32Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
52.6%
Peter Moore punt for 46 yds, downed at the MRSH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:2052% → 59%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
52.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 23Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+10
52.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 10 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
51.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 10 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
52.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 44Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
52.3%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
52.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.8%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the VT 47Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+35
52.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 35 yds to the VT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
53.2%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Caleb McMillanSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
59.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5444% → 47%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
56.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for no gain to the VT 26Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
56.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 15 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
55.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 5 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+49
54.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 49 yds to the MRSH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
53.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the MRSH 4Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
52.9%
John Love 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3254% → 61%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 26Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
53.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
53.3%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
54.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the MRSH 42Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
55.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
61.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 56 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:3841% → 42%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
59.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
59.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 12 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
58.1%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VT 45 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by MRSH Jahsen Wint , return for 1 yd to the VT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:2562% → 68%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
62.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 46Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
62.9%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
62.5%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 37Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-10
62.7%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the VT 32 Marshall Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the VT 47Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+1
61.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the VT 46Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 11
OPP 46
+24
60.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 24 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
64.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 3 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+8
64.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the VT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
64.4%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-1
64.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 6Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+2
63.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the VT 4Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
68.3%
Rece Verhoff 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0034% → 34%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
65.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 4 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
64.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
64.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
66.5%
Peter Moore punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the MRSH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:1968% → 66%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
67.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-7
67.4%
Cam Fancher sacked by Pheldarius Payne for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 9Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 17
OWN 9
+15
67.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 15 yds to the MRSH 24Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
65.6%
John McConnell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1934% → 31%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
65.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
66.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
67.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
69.4%
Peter Moore punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the MRSH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4268% → 68%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
67.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MRSH 14Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
67.8%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the MRSH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5870% → 68%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 4 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+4
68.4%
John McConnell punt for 48 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 4 yds to the VT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:4831% → 30%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
69.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+22
69.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 22 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
67.0%
Jaylin Lane run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 6
50
-8
66.6%
Kyron Drones sacked by Owen Porter and Sam Burton for a loss of 8 yards to the VT 42Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+6
70.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 6 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
70.5%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds, downed at the MRSH 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 3:2371% → 88%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
70.8%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the MRSH 2Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+4
70.8%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+15
71.8%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+61
73.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 61 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
76.4%
Cam Fancher sacked by Pheldarius Payne and Mario Kendricks for a loss of 5 yards to the VT 23Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+22
76.0%
Ethan Payne run for 22 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.0%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the VT 1Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:2816% → 15%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 23Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-7
84.9%
Kyron Drones sacked by Eli Neal and Mike Green for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 16Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 19
OWN 16
-5
85.4%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 11Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
85.5%
Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the VT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1688% → 89%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
88.3%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 15
50
+3
88.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+3
88.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the VT 44Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
88.8%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted Keonta Jenkins return for no gain to the VT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:1314% → 12%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
86.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 1 yd to the VT 23Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
87.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+9
87.4%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
86.2%
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-6
85.7%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 33Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
88.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
88.2%
Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the MRSH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2192% → 92%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
91.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 7 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-4
92.3%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 40Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
92.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
91.6%
John McConnell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:4711% → 9%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
88.6%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
89.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 28Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
89.9%
Kyron Drones sacked by TyQaze Leggs for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 18Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 20
OWN 18
+5
90.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
90.9%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the MRSH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5993% → 94%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
93.2%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MRSH 14Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+5
93.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+3
93.6%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 22Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+5
93.8%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MRSH 27Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+1
94.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 1 yd to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+5
93.6%
John McConnell punt for 42 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 5 yds to the VT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:169% → 22%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 7 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+21
91.0%
Kyron Drones run for 21 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
90.8%
Jaylin Lane run for 7 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
90.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the MRSH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
90.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 9 yds to the MRSH 17Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+1
90.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the MRSH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
77.7%
Kyron Drones run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:1488% → 92%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 26Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
88.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
89.3%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the MRSH 32 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the MRSH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 48Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-4
91.3%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 44Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+3
92.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 3 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+22
91.8%
John McConnell punt for 46 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 22 yds to the VT 29 Virginia Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 2:0613% → 12%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
86.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 3 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
87.0%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
86.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+19
88.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 19 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
84.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 15 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
82.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 8 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
79.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
81.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the MRSH 31Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-5
86.5%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRSH 36Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
87.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:14
Kyron Drones run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-12.8
TD · Q3 7:22
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+9.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 33
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com