Try the model
FSU

Florida State 31 at Clemson 24

CLEM
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:39 · Aidan Swanson punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 9Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior−4.3Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:12: Will Shipley 10 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick) — CLEM win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:22: Jordan Travis 2 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) — FSU win probability +12.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:32: Will Shipley 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Weitz Kick) — CLEM win probability +17.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:31: Kalen DeLoach 56 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) — FSU win probability +20.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Keon Coleman 24 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) — FSU win probability +21.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:39CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:48FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47CLEM 4th & 6 at FSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:23FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.2%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:00FSU 4th & 6 at CLEM 30, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:03CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:26FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:55FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:31CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:08FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:18CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−4.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:03FSU 4th & 21 at FSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−12.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:45CLEM 4th & 10 at FSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−5.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−32.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:12FSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 39, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.1 ptsWent for it · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%−7.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−10.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:33CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:10FSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:12CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22FSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:32CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:31FSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1445% → 46%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.4%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
45.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake Briningstool, broken up by Kalen DeLoachSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
45.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
45.7%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 37Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
45.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 6 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
46.2%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
46.2%
Clemson Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 40Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
46.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4554% → 53%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
46.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 8 yds to the FSU 28Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
46.2%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
46.4%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 35Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+8
46.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 8 yds to the FSU 43Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
46.3%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
46.3%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 48Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
46.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman, broken up by Andrew MukubaSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
47.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Brown at the CLEM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3FG
18 plays · 79 yds · 5:5747% → 50%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
46.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam Randall, broken up by Fabien LovettSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
46.9%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 10Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+12
46.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 12 yds to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
47.3%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Braden Fiske) to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
47.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
48.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler Brown, broken up by Jared VerseSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
47.7%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
48.7%
Klubnik, Cade pass complete to Briningstool, Jake for 15 yards to the FLORIDAST30, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Randall, Adam) 15 yards to the CLEMSON40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 25
OWN 40
0
47.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux Collins, broken up by Fentrell Cypress IISimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+18
47.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 18 yds to the FSU 42Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+25
48.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 25 yds to the FSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
49.4%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Blake Miller) to the FSU 22Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+3
49.4%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the FSU 19Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+9
49.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 9 yds to the FSU 10Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-3
49.5%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 13Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
49.8%
Jonathan Weitz 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4850% → 48%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the FSU 28Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
49.6%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 25Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
50.8%
Jordan Travis sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 18Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
51.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:1252% → 58%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
51.5%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
51.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 13 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
52.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 28 yds to the FSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
52.5%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the FSU 3Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
52.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the FSU 1Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
52.9%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Briningstool, Jake, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Bethune, Tatum) 0 yards to the FLORIDAST1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.1%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the FSU 1Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.1%
Cade Klubnik 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1743% → 50%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Markeston DouglasSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 13 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson, broken up by Jalyn PhillipsSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
57.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 37Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+10
59.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 10 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
58.6%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
58.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 14 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
58.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 9 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+7
57.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 7 yds to the CLEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
57.7%
Trey Benson run for 12 yds to the CLEM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Rodney HillSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
58.2%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the CLEM 7Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
50.4%
Keon Coleman 7 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:4554% → 68%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
54.2%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+14
54.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 14 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
56.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
57.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
57.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 33 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
58.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the FSU 10Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
67.8%
Will Shipley 10 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4133% → 49%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 11 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
67.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keon Coleman for 38 yds to the CLEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
63.1%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson, Johnny, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Jones, Sheridan) 15 yards to the CLEMSON11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
63.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the CLEM 10Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+8
63.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds to the CLEM 2Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
51.3%
Jordan Travis 2 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0756% → 57%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.5%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
56.5%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 5 yards to the CLEM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5144% → 51%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
56.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 41 yds to the CLEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
51.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 1 yd to the CLEM 33Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
52.0%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
53.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 6 yds to the CLEM 25Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
54.8%
Travis, Jordan pass complete to Coleman, Keon for 10 yards to the CLEMSON15, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
48.6%
Ryan Fitzgerald 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5153% → 51%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 12 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
53.8%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 35Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
52.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
51.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler Brown, broken up by Jarrian JonesSimilar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+9
51.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 52 yds , Keon Coleman returns for 9 yds to the FSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3050% → 47%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
50.0%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 18Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+2
50.7%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FSU 20Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+5
52.0%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson, Johnny, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Thomas, Xavier) 5 yards to the FLORIDAST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
51.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:4653% → 77%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
53.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
55.8%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
55.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 17 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
58.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
57.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 1 yd to the FSU 46Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+12
56.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 12 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
59.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the FSU 30Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+16
59.5%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the FSU 28 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Fabien Lovett) to the FSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
59.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 13 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.8%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the FSU 1Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.4%
Will Shipley 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Weitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2529% → 27%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 8 yds to the FSU 33Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
68.3%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Coleman, Keon, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDAST28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
70.4%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Darion WilliamsonSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
73.4%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 57 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 11 yds to the CLEM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1077% → 61%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
76.7%
Phil Mafah run for 46 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.8%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+56
60.9%
Kalen DeLoach 56 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:4555% → 56%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
55.0%
Will Shipley run for 16 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam Randall, broken up by Azareye'h ThomasSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
56.7%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 40Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+8
53.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 8 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
56.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:1749% → 49%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
51.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+29
51.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 29 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
47.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
48.5%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 42Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
50.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 4 yds to the FSU 46Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
51.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds, downed at the CLEM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:4655% → 52%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
54.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
54.4%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 7Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+13
52.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 13 yds to the CLEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 21Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
55.8%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Mayes) to the CLEM 16Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
55.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+4
53.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 4 yds to the CLEM 20Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
52.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:1049% → 46%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
51.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
52.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon ColemanSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-9
54.1%
Travis, Jordan pass complete to Wilson, Johnny for 9 yards to the FLORIDAST27, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Byers, Jeremiah) 9 yards to the FLORIDAST9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 19
OWN 9
-2
53.9%
Jordan Travis sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 7Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 21
OWN 7
+10
54.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 59 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 10 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:1160% → 59%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
60.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 7 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-3
61.8%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 48 Cade Klubnik fumbled, recovered by CLEM Cade KlubnikSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+12
59.1%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Collins, Beaux, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Green, Renardo) 12 yards to the FLORIDAST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
62.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the FSU 32Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
63.8%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
64.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the FSU 26Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
64.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 1 yd to the FSU 25Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+13
62.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 13 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
65.1%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 13Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
66.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake Briningstool, broken up by Patrick PaytonSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+1
63.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the FSU 12Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
58.6%
Jonathan Weitz 29 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:2851% → 53%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
49.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 25 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
43.7%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FSU 46Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
44.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
46.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 15 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
40.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
41.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon Coleman, broken up by Jalyn PhillipsSimilar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
43.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson, broken up by Nate WigginsSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
47.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keon ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
60.4%
Will Shipley run for 13 yds to the FSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 81%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the CLEM 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
19.4%
Keon Coleman 24 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24Uncategorized
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
24.0%
Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the FSU 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
25.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for no gain to the FSU 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
23.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.2
TD · OT 0:00
Keon Coleman 24 Yd pass from Jordan Travis (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)
-21.7
TD · Q3 0:31
Kalen DeLoach 56 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)
-20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com