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PITT

Pittsburgh 6 at West Virginia 17

WVU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:20 · Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 9 yds to the PITT 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:04: Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete — PITT win probability +5.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:45: Kole Taylor 7 Yd pass from Nicco Marchiol (Michael Hayes Kick) — WVU win probability +13.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:09: Ben Sauls 36 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +6.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 5:05: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +15.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:53: Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 28 — WVU win probability +8.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:20WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39PITT 4th & 3 at WVU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09WVU 4th & 4 at PITT 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:30PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:07WVU 4th & 4 at PITT 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−1.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:09PITT 4th & 8 at WVU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:53PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 28, down 1
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20WVU 4th & 1 at PITT 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−4.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:57WVU 4th & 4 at PITT 24, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%−0.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01PITT 4th & 16 at PITT 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:19WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:42PITT 4th & 1 at WVU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:53WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 34, up 11
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:25PITT 4th & 20 at PITT 22, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:12WVU 4th & 12 at PITT 15, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:45WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:05WVU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3154% → 54%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.7%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
53.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
53.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
53.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 9 yds to the PITT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 6:2646% → 47%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the PITT 37Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
53.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+13
53.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
53.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 16 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
53.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+12
53.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the WVU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
53.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the WVU 6Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
53.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 3Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 3Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
53.4%
Ben Sauls 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:1354% → 54%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
53.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
54.0%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
53.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
53.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
54.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+15
53.2%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PITT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
54.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
54.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+6
53.6%
Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
53.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3047% → 47%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
52.6%
C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the WVU 48 Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 42Similar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 8
OWN 42
-1
52.6%
Che Nwabuko run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 41Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
52.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
52.2%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-5
52.7%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 44Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
53.3%
Caleb Junko punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:5353% → 54%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 24Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
53.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
53.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 38Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+17
54.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 17 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
54.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
54.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
54.6%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the PITT 39Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
53.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, downed at the PITT 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1048% → 46%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.5%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the PITT 1Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
52.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the PITT 4Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
52.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 5Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+1
53.0%
Daniel Carter run for 1 yd to the PITT 6Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
53.7%
Caleb Junko punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:1054% → 56%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
53.9%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Solomon DeShields for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 38Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+13
51.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 13 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+13
53.1%
Jaylen Anderson run for 13 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
53.6%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 33Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
54.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 31Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+15
53.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Devin Carter for 15 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
54.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 14Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-4
55.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 18 Nicco Marchiol fumbled, recovered by PITT Bam BrimaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1449% → 49%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
50.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-26
50.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Aubrey Burks return for 26 yds to the PITT 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
64.2%
Kole Taylor 7 Yd pass from Nicco Marchiol (Michael Hayes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 4:3139% → 43%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.4%
Daniel Carter run for 3 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
61.3%
Daniel Carter run for 7 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
59.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
59.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 48Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-3
60.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 45Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+20
62.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Bub Means for 20 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
59.9%
West Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
59.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
59.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
62.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+7
63.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 7 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
56.7%
Ben Sauls 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
60.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4741% → 39%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the PITT 26Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
58.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
58.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 28Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+12
61.3%
Caleb Junko punt for 45 yds , Preston Fox returns for 12 yds to the WVU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 61 yds · 7:3362% → 79%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
61.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+8
62.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
63.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
63.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the PITT 39Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
63.7%
Jaylen Anderson run for no gain to the PITT 39Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
62.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-9
64.5%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Shayne Simon for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 46Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+10
62.4%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Holding (M.J. Devonshire) to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
64.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 32Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+6
65.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the PITT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
66.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 10 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
66.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds to the PITT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 1Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-15
79.1%
West Virginia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (CJ Donaldson Jr.) to the WVU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2824% → 25%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
76.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 12 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-40
75.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Beanie Bishop Jr. return for 40 yds to the PITT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5683% → 84%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
83.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
83.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
83.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 1 yd to the PITT 24Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
84.2%
Michael Hayes 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:4418% → 14%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
82.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
81.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
81.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.1%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the PITT 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
82.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 42Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-5
84.4%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Branson Taylor) to the PITT 37Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
85.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+3
85.9%
Caleb Junko punt for 54 yds , Preston Fox returns for 3 yds to the WVU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 5:3587% → 90%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
86.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 14Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
86.7%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+8
86.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
87.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+14
87.7%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Preston Fox for 14 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for no gain to the WVU 41Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
91.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
91.1%
Rodney Gallagher run for 1 yd to the WVU 45Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+4
90.4%
Oliver Straw punt blocked by Rasheem Biles blocked by Rasheem Biles Braylan Lovelace return for 4 yds to the WVU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1812% → 9%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
87.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
89.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Bub Means for 5 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
88.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+4
89.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 4 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
90.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the WVU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3793% → 94%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
93.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
93.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+1
93.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 34Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 3
OWN 34
-11
94.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for a loss of 11 yards to the PITT 23 Pittsburgh Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Glenn) to the PITT 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:156% → 5%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+27
93.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 27 yds to the PITT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daniel Carter for no gain to the PITT 32Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
94.5%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 22Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 20
OWN 22
0
94.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 20
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 20
OWN 22
-9
95.5%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Tyrin Bradley for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:4197% → 97%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.5%
Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 7Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-10
96.6%
West Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 17Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+2
97.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the PITT 15Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
97.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the PITT 15Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+6
97.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:132% → 2%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
97.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the PITT 14Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
97.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Malachi Ruffin return for no gain to the PITT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:4098% → 98%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-3
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:05
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q2 4:45
Kole Taylor 7 Yd pass from Nicco Marchiol (Michael Hayes Kick)
+13.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:53
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 28
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com